Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-5   SFT (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-7-4-3 $3.66 $1.26 53%
CD-10   EXA (9/1/4/11/7)-(9/1/4/11/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-4 $100.82 $60.82 152%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:114 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEAR OF UNION 3 3 52 43 3 1½ 1 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 1.93  
SEVEN TAYLORS 4 1 1½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 2.00 2.38  
LEBOMBO 7 4 7 7 45 44 3 (medina ro)TORRES A 120 6.00 13.39  
STRADIVARIAN 2 5 2½ 1½ 1nk 32 410¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 8% 11.40 14.89  
SOUND OF VICTORY 6 6 42 5 5 5 510¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 3.84  
ROSENOW 1 7 63 65 7 611½ 626¼ (heitzman eric)NAVAS YOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.53  
TRAP LINE 5 2 31 3 6 713½ 741½ (vanden br)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 68% 0.50 4.55  
 
CD-2   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER HOME 5 1 3 22   2½ 1½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 7.12  
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 3 11 12   1½ 2½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 11% 7.90 2.38 P
MAZOKU 7 4 4 33   32 32 (butcher j)BEALMEAR C 114 3.00 58% 0.70 1.98 S
SEQUIN LADY 1 5 5 54   43 4 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 2.61  
SAVE THE BEES 4 2 21 4   5 5 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
A NEW PEACE 6 6 65 67   68 610¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 7.15  
ANN KOR 3 7 7 79   710 713 (manning john)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 20.00 56.75  
 
CD-3   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE JAMES 1 5 4 33   2 1 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 2.06  
XAVI 3 2 11 1   1 2 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.25 P
COACH CLINT 4 3 21 2   33 36 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 35% 1.90 0.99 S
RAGNOW 2 4 5 44   46 413¼ (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 28% 2.50 6.41  
MISTER WOODFORD 5 1 3 56   59 518¼ (demeritte)BEALMEAR C 112 5.00 4.94  
SCR  BEIJING BOSS               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00    
SCR  BORROWED TIME               (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  CAJUN SWAGGER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALYESKA 6 10 117 95   5 11 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6.24  
  (by VEKOMA out of GULL ISLAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CONTEMPLATE 4 1 11 1nk   1½ 21 (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 24% 3.20 9.20 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GEEZ ELOISE 7 11 6 6   4 3 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 13.08 S
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAIR LILY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
ENSORCELL 3 6 21 4   6 4 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 31.46  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ON FIRE BABY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
11  NORTHERN VOYAGE 10 2 4 2nk   2½ 5 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 27% 2.80 3.59  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPANY by TAPIT)
10  STYLET 9 5 5 31   3 6 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 29% 2.50 2.98  
  (by CARACARO out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
AMARTH 8 9 9 73   8 76 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 2.47  
  (by MCKINZIE out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE 2 7 31 52   7 87 (catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 22.15  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SCHON by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  RANCH LIFE 11 4 10 11   10 910½ (douaihy m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 82.55  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SUMMEROFSIXTYTHREE by MALIBU MOON)
IN FOR A SPIN 1 8 8 10   9 1016¾ (caramori cai)TORRES A 119 20.00 58.08  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
BOOT TRICK 5 3 7 8   1114¾ 1127¾ (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 20.79  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
SCR  SUNCOAST COWGIRL               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LADY EKATI by TALE OF EKATI)
 
CD-5   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTOWN MIKA 5 1 1 12   13 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 18% 4.70 1.58 W
MOON FLEET 6 4 2 22   23 2 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.41 P
CHANISA 4 5 32 43   3 3 (shirer matt )TORRES A 121 3.50 52% 0.90 2.34 S
BUSINESS AS USUAL 3 6 4 3   47 412¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 5% 18.70 5.01  
FLORIS 2 2 7 710½   617 521 (duvall william)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 24.22  
LADLE 7 3 5 57   517 622 (miller f)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 14.74  
BYZANTINE 1 7 64 6   720 733¼ (cano juan)BEALMEAR C 114 15.00 31.51  
SCR  MISS MAXIMUS               (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 2.50    
 
CD-6   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:123 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY GOT GAME 2 2 1 1 12 15 1 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.01 W
LADAN 4 4 42 3 22 25 2 (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.15  
WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 6 3 6 5 5 37 3 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.00 3.36  
EYES OF GOLD 3 1 2 2 44 48 410¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 1.90  
TANGO ZULU 1 6 3 4 34 511 516¾ (wismer g)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.63  
HONORS LEGACY 5 5 54 6 6 613½ 623½ (mcentee paul)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 21% 3.70 23.61  
 
CD-7   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUHIMMA 3 4 21 2nk   1 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.90 0.80 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of PRINCESA CAROLINA by TAPIT)
MY LIL PUNKY 7 1 11 1nk   2 2 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 34% 2.00 5.49 P
  (by OUTWORK out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
EVERLOVING 1 9 4 3   3 3 (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 10.00 5.23  
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARWA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
BRAVE SAMANTHA 2 2 32 4   48 411¾ (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.14  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
10  BEING MYSELF 9 3 7 79   612½ 516¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.13  
  (by CURLIN out of FACT FILE by DIXIE UNION)
COCKTAIL KISSES 5 6 6 6   512 617 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.87  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CHOCOLATE KISSES by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GOING TO THE SUN 8 8 88 810½   815 719¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 28.62  
  (by UPSTART out of CASTLE ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
TAVRIA 6 7 911 913½   916½ 820¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 63.44  
  (by FROSTED out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LADY AUTHENTIC 4 5 5 5   714½ 922 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 10.90 10.28  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SURAYA by TIZNOW)
SCR  CALIFORNIA SUNSET               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of REGAL BEAUTY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GOLDEN GAMBLE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ME AND MINE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MENDELA               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CD-8   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FASHION KATE 9 1 21 2½   1 1 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 6.40  
DARK FURY 6 4 42 5   5 2 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.35 P
GOURMET 8 7 5 3   3 3 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 32% 2.10 12.71 S
CANDY CRAZE 1 10 74 6   6 4 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 20.89  
TENENBAUM 4 2 11 1½   2 5 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 8% 12.10 2.26  
KRICKLE 3 5 3 42   44 6 (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.37  
SASSY WALKER 5 9 106 97   77 7 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 17% 4.80 8.76  
RED HOT JEANIE 2 6 6 76   8 8 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 3.98  
10  EDGE OF TOWN 10 8 95 8   9 9 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 19.58  
SCRUPULOUS 7 3 8 108   1011 1013¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 19% 4.30 15.39  
 
CD-9   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMBER CASCADE 4 6 7 7 6 3½ 1¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.53  
TWEETSTER 1 7 5 5 5 4¾ 2¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 58% 0.70 1.48 P
PEIGNOIR 7 3 4 4 2nk 1½ 31 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 19.44  
RED RIVER MAGIC 5 2 11 11 1nk 2½ 4 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.01  
STARINA 6 8 96 8 8 6 5 (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 56.54  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 3 1 3 31 4¾ 5¾ 66 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.60  
11  LETSTALKABOUTME 10 9 85 9 9 8 7 (green tro)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.42  
CURL GIRL 8 5 64 6 7 9 810¼ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50 10% 9.40 5.07  
10  MIDSUMMER MARCH 9 4 21 21 3.2 7 910¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 18.49  
PLAYBACK 2 10 10 105 1010¾ 1022¾ 1050 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 15.00 6% 16.50 25.72  
SCR  CURLIN'S MAGIC               (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON'S FAULT 1 2 2 23   11 1 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 18% 4.60 2.75 W
HANGIN IN THERE 3 7 811½ 811½   3 2 (orseno jos)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 15% 5.80 20.22 P
DEPUTY MISCHIEF 4 9 912 912½   9 3 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 7.47  
NEON NIGHTS 6 3 44 35   45 48 (blair jor)TORRES A 121 30.00 18.92  
11  CAFE RACER 8 6 56 6   5 5 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00 12% 7.30 6.39  
HOLSTER 2 4 6 79   77 6 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 19.37  
CRUSHED IT 7 1 1 13   21 79 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 34% 1.90 2.54  
12  VARVATOS 9 5 34 4   6 89 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 6.30  
ATLANTIC CAT 5 8 7 58   8 913¼ (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.87  
SCR  LORD NARCISSE               (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
SCR  MO EL GRANDE               (morse ran)BEALMEAR C 114 20.00    
SCR  MOBSTER               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.