Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.86  
CD-2   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.24  
CD-3   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.12  
CD-4   Win (10/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $14.48  
CD-5   Win (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.16 $5.16  
CD-6   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.02 $6.02 0.02
CD-7   Win (7/3/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
CD-8   Win (8/7/5/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $14.80  
CD-9   Win (2/9/3/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $13.06  
CD-10   Win (9/1/4/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:114 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FEAR OF UNION 3 3 52 43 32½ 1½ 15¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★ 1.93  
4  SEVEN TAYLORS 4 1 1½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 25¾ (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 120 2.00 2.38  
7  LEBOMBO 7 4 73½ 75½ 45 44 37¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 120 6.00 13.39  
2  STRADIVARIAN 2 5 2½ 1½ 1nk 32 410¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 8% 11.40 14.89  
6  SOUND OF VICTORY 6 6 42 53½ 55¼ 56½ 510¾ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 3.84  
1  ROSENOW 1 7 63 65 76¼ 611½ 626¼ (heitzman eric)NAVAS YOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 16.53  
5  TRAP LINE 5 2 31 32½ 65¼ 713½ 741½ (vanden brit)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 68% 0.50 4.55  
 
CD-2   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FOREVER HOME 5 1 31½ 22   2½ 1½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 ★ 7.12  
2  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 3 11 12   1½ 2½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 11% 7.90 2.38 P
7  MAZOKU 7 4 43½ 33   32 32 (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 114 3.00 58% 0.70 1.98 S
1  SEQUIN LADY 1 5 53½ 54   43 42¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 2.61  
4  SAVE THE BEES 4 2 21 43½   55½ 58½ (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
6  A NEW PEACE 6 6 65 67   68 610¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 7.15  
3  ANN KOR 3 7 77½ 79   710 713 (manning j)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 20.00 56.75  
 
CD-3   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLAKE JAMES 1 5 41½ 33   21½ 11½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 2.06  
5  XAVI 3 2 11 11½   11½ 21½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.25 P
6  COACH CLINT 4 3 21 21½   33 36 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 35% 1.90 0.99 S
4  RAGNOW 2 4 52½ 44   46 413¼ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 28% 2.50 6.41  
8  MISTER WOODFORD 5 1 31½ 56   59 518¼ (demeritte l)BEALMEAR C 112 5.00 4.94  
SCR  BEIJING BOSS               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00    
SCR  BORROWED TIME               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  CAJUN SWAGGER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALYESKA 6 10 117 95   53½ 11 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 6.24  
4  CONTEMPLATE 4 1 11 1nk   1½ 21 (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 24% 3.20 9.20 P
8  GEEZ ELOISE 7 11 63¾ 62½   43½ 31¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 13.08 S
3  ENSORCELL 3 6 21 41½   63¾ 43¾ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 31.46  
11  NORTHERN VOYAGE 10 2 41¼ 2nk   2½ 53¾ (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 27% 2.80 3.59  
10  STYLET 9 5 53¼ 31   32½ 64½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 29% 2.50 2.98  
9  AMARTH 8 9 94¾ 73   85¾ 76 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 2.47  
2  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE 2 7 31 52   74¼ 87 (catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 ★ 22.15  
12  RANCH LIFE 11 4 106¾ 118¾   109¾ 910½ (douaihy mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 82.55  
1  IN FOR A SPIN 1 8 84¼ 105¼   99¼ 1016¾ (caramori caio)TORRES A 119 20.00 58.08  
6  BOOT TRICK 5 3 74¼ 84½   1114¾ 1127¾ (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 20.79  
SCR  SUNCOAST COWGIRL               (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOTOWN MIKA 5 1 11½ 12   13 11½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 18% 4.70 1.58 W
7  MOON FLEET 6 4 21½ 22   23 21½ (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.41 P
4  CHANISA 4 5 32 43   33½ 32¼ (shirer a)TORRES A 121 3.50 52% 0.90 2.34 S
3  BUSINESS AS USUAL 3 6 42½ 32½   47 412¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 5% 18.70 5.01  
2  FLORIS 2 2 77½ 710½   617 521 (duvall e)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 24.22  
8  LADLE 7 3 53½ 57   517 622 (miller f)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 14.74  
1  BYZANTINE 1 7 64 69½   720 733¼ (cano m)BEALMEAR C 114 15.00 31.51  
SCR  MISS MAXIMUS               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 2.50    
 
CD-6   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:123 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCY GOT GAME 2 2 11½ 11½ 12 15 15¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.01 W
4  LADAN 4 4 42 31½ 22 25 25¾ (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.15  
6  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 6 3 64¼ 52¾ 54½ 37 38½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.00 3.36  
3  EYES OF GOLD 3 1 21½ 21½ 44 48 410¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 1.90  
1  TANGO ZULU 1 6 31½ 41¾ 34 511 516¾ (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.63  
5  HONORS LEGACY 5 5 54 63¼ 65½ 613½ 623½ (mcentee paul)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 21% 3.70 23.61  
 
CD-7   09/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MUHIMMA 3 4 21 2nk   12½ 17½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.90 0.80 W
7  MY LIL PUNKY 7 1 11 1nk   22½ 27½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 34% 2.00 5.49 P
1  EVERLOVING 1 9 42½ 32½   35½ 37½ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 10.00 5.23  
2  BRAVE SAMANTHA 2 2 32 43½   48 411¾ (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.14  
10  BEING MYSELF 9 3 77½ 79   612½ 516¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 6.13  
5  COCKTAIL KISSES 5 6 65½ 68½   512 617 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.87  
8  GOING TO THE SUN 8 8 88 810½   815 719¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 28.62  
6  TAVRIA 6 7 911 913½   916½ 820¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 63.44  
4  LADY AUTHENTIC 4 5 52½ 54½   714½ 922 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 10.90 10.28  
SCR  CALIFORNIA SUNSET               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GAMBLE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  MENDELA               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
 
CD-8   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HIGH FASHION KATE 9 1 21 2½   11½ 12½ (minnock g)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 6.40  
6  DARK FURY 6 4 42 53½   54½ 22½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.35 P
8  GOURMET 8 7 52½ 31½   32½ 33¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 32% 2.10 12.71 S
1  CANDY CRAZE 1 10 74 65½   66½ 44¼ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 20.89  
4  TENENBAUM 4 2 11 1½   21½ 55¾ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 8% 12.10 2.26  
3  KRICKLE 3 5 31½ 42   44 65¾ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.37  
5  SASSY WALKER 5 9 106 97   77 77¼ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 17% 4.80 8.76  
2  RED HOT JEANIE 2 6 62½ 76   87½ 87¼ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 3.98  
10  EDGE OF TOWN 10 8 95 86½   99½ 98¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 19.58  
7  SCRUPULOUS 7 3 84½ 108   1011 1013¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 19% 4.30 15.39  
 
CD-9   09/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AMBER CASCADE 4 6 74½ 73¾ 62¼ 3½ 1¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.53  
2  TWEETSTER 1 7 52½ 52½ 51¾ 4¾ 2¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 58% 0.70 1.48 P
8  PEIGNOIR 7 3 42½ 41½ 2nk 1½ 31 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 19.44  
6  RED RIVER MAGIC 5 2 11 11 1nk 2½ 43¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.01  
7  STARINA 6 8 96 84¾ 84¾ 63¾ 55¾ (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 56.54  
4  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 3 1 31½ 31 4¾ 5¾ 66 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.60  
11  LETSTALKABOUTME 10 9 85 94¾ 95¾ 86¾ 76½ (green troy)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.42  
9  CURL GIRL 8 5 64 63½ 73¾ 97¾ 810¼ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.50 10% 9.40 5.07  
10  MIDSUMMER MARCH 9 4 21 21 3.2 75¼ 910¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 18.49  
3  PLAYBACK 2 10 106½ 105 1010¾ 1022¾ 1050 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 15.00 6% 16.50 25.72  
SCR  CURLIN'S MAGIC               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON'S FAULT 1 2 22½ 23   11 14½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 18% 4.60 2.75 W
4  HANGIN IN THERE 3 7 811½ 811½   34½ 24½ (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 15% 5.80 20.22 P
5  DEPUTY MISCHIEF 4 9 912 912½   97¾ 37½ (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 7.47  
8  NEON NIGHTS 6 3 44 35   45 48 (blair jorda)TORRES A 121 30.00 18.92  
11  CAFE RACER 8 6 56 68½   56½ 58¼ (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00 12% 7.30 6.39  
2  HOLSTER 2 4 66½ 79   77 68¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 19.37  
9  CRUSHED IT 7 1 12½ 13   21 79 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 34% 1.90 2.54  
12  VARVATOS 9 5 34 45½   66½ 89 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 6.30  
7  ATLANTIC CAT 5 8 77½ 58   87¼ 913¼ (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.87  
SCR  LORD NARCISSE               (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
SCR  MO EL GRANDE               (morse randy)BEALMEAR C 114 20.00    
SCR  MOBSTER               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.