Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
FE-2   Win (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.40  
FE-3   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.20  
FE-4   Win (8/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
FE-5   Win (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $34.00 $34.00 26.00
FE-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
FE-7   Win (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $21.60 $21.60 13.60
FE-8   Win (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FE-9   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $51.70  
FE-10   Win (5/9/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $20.10  
FE-11   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $3.50  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :47 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEER MOSA 2 6 45½ 22½   11½ 14¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 37% 1.70 1.15 W
3  SILENT SUMMIT 3 2 56½ 44½   32½ 24¾ (agostino geo)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 12.00 6% 16.50 16.40 P
4  BEST AND FINAL 4 5 67 65¾   64½ 39¼ (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 4.10  
5  IRISH RAIDER 5 3 13½ 12½   21½ 411½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 25% 3.00 3.40  
1  KOWBOYS SEQUEL 1 4 23½ 32½   43½ 511¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 15.90  
6  AS FOR A KING 6 1 34½ 55½   54½ 616¼ (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 3.70  
 
FE-2   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIGNATURE RING 4 3 1nk 11½   12 11 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00 3.20  
4  SHES HOT TO TROT 3 2 55½ 33½   22 21 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 21% 3.80 6.60 P
1  SMOKEN CHLOE 1 5 44½ 54½   32½ 35 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 49% 1.10 0.65 S
7  ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 1 66 65½   64½ 48 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50 8% 11.40 13.05  
2  MISS SCHILLER 2 4 33 43½   44 510¼ (robil)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 15.00 30.10  
6  GOLDEN SPRING 5 6 2nk 21½   54 616¾ (robillard josh)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 6.15  
SCR  ASHCAR NELLIE               (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZING SUCCESS 1 3 41½ 3½   2nk 1¾ (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 3.60  
4  SUNYANI 4 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 24% 3.10 1.95 P
2  UNION COLONEL 2 6 52 4¾   31 31 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 S
5  RELOAD BULLET 5 1 31 5¾   52 45¼ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 1.95  
3  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 3 2 1½ 2nk   41½ 55½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 6.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
6  MUSICAL STRIDE 6 5 63½ 64¾   64½ 69¼ (davis richard )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 29.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ARKLE               (krczmar zelk)CAMPOS LUIS 124 2.50    
 
FE-4   09/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN 7 4 32 1½   11 12¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
3  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 3 6 52½ 43½   32 22¼ (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 10.00 13.45  
1  MISS D'S PRIDE 1 3 11 2½   21 34¼ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 S
6  SPANISH SERENADE 6 7 76½ 66   55 45¼ (loescher pau)CAMPOS LUIS 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.10  
5  DISCOVERY CHART 5 1 63½ 76   43½ 59¾ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 20.60  
4  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 4 5 42½ 54½   65½ 610¼ (cohen mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00 14.95  
2  PRINCE FOR A DAY 2 2 21 33   75½ 711 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 14% 6.30 3.00  
SCR  DELIRIO               (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00    
 
FE-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 33 21   1½ 13 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 14% 6.00 16.00 W
8  INDY COWBOY 8 7 46 44   32 23 (wills daniel)MORAN PIETRO 115 12.00 1.95  
3  RYE'S MY GUY 3 5 78 88¼   53 34½ (dipaola santino)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 3.95  
1  GOLDEN WIND 1 4 12½ 11   2½ 44½ (adamo anthony)AEBLY FRASER 115 3.00 3.15  
7  CHASING BOURBON 7 8 68 56½   63¼ 55 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 6.10  
5  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 5 6 88¼ 66½   73¾ 67¾ (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.85  
4  FAJARDO 4 3 57 76¾   83¾ 711¾ (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 16% 5.30 24.70  
6  UNSTABLE STORM 6 2 22½ 32   42 814½ (rideout shawn)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 40% 1.50 5.80  
 
FE-6   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Le Cinquieme Essai Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VICTORY MARCH 3 4 43 1½   13 15¾ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 62% 0.60 0.50 W
1  WHERE IS ESSA 1 5 32½ 41½   23 25¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 5.95  
6  FOUR ACES HIGH 6 1 54½ 52   34½ 313 (simms)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
4  MAGIC TOMAHAWK 4 6 610½ 69   67 413½ (pion sylvain)AEBLY FRASER 122 15.00 33.45  
2  NAMEOFTHEGAME 2 3 1½ 2½   45½ 514¾ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 6.25  
5  VINNIE VAN GO 5 2 2½ 3½   56 622¾ (adamo anthony)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.80 13% 6.70 4.95  
SCR  MISTER BANJOMAN               (powell a)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 15.00    
 
FE-7   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rondeau Bay Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAC AMOUR 1 1 11 11½   11 11 (robillard julie)STEIN JUSTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
3  WAR PAINTER 3 7 62¾ 43½   31 21 (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.20 P
4  LITTLE TEDDY 4 4 41¼ 21½   21 33½ (dipaola santin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 39% 1.60 2.40 S
6  POETIC AMY 6 5 52¼ 74¾   53 44 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 48.65  
7  TABLOID MATERIAL 7 2 31 32½   42½ 55¼ (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 10.90  
5  RED ELEANOR 5 3 21 64½   65½ 68¾ (raghu)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 14.00  
2  JUST FOLLOW ME 2 6 74¼ 54½   76½ 722¾ (tharrenos w)WILSON JAYNE 122 3.00 10% 9.10 4.10  
 
FE-8   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lake Erie Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIOR HOT SHOT 1 3 21 1nk   1½ 11 (ross a)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.00 13% 6.70 2.00 W
7  YACHT BOY 7 8 86¼ 53¾   32 21 (tiller rober)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 5.00 9.35  
2  ITS TIME TO SHINE 2 4 11 2nk   2½ 31 (ross a)CAMPOS LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 32.05 S
8  GAROFOLI 8 2 55 63¾   42½ 41¼ (ross a)AEBLY FRASER 118 6.00 5.85  
3  NO MORE OPTIONS 3 5 65 810¾   57 55¾ (krczmar zelko)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00 10% 8.90 4.80  
6  CRIMINAL INTENT 6 7 75¼ 75¾   68 68¾ (flint steve)MUNGER RYAN 118 20.00 46.85  
4  LIVE LUCKY 4 6 33 43½   711½ 718 (attar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.75  
5  FRAC RIGHT 5 1 43½ 32½   812½ 825½ (fairlie h)CIVACI SAHIN 118 8.00 20.30  
 
FE-9   09/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Molson Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:153 1:422   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE 1 2 52 51¾ 51¾ 41½ 11½ (albu ken)MORAN PIETRO 122 6.00 24.85  
5  SWEET SERENADE 5 5 84½ 73¼ 41¾ 1nk 21½ (raghunath eric)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.75 P
8  TURF AND SURF 8 8 41½ 41½ 1nk 2nk 33½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
3  INITTOWINIT 3 6 73 61¾ 72½ 62¼ 44½ (buttigieg kevin)AEBLY FRASER 118 12.00 31.55  
6  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 6 7 62½ 83¾ 82½ 52 54½ (cathcart steve)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 6.45  
2  EMERALD LAKE 2 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 65¼ (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 4.40  
7  GLITTER BAY 7 3 2nk 3½ 3.2 74¾ 729¼ (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 16% 5.10 1.65  
4  T'PRING 4 4 3½ 1nk 62 814¾ 844¼ (clemmer krista)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00 76.75  
 
FE-10   09/10/2024 6270ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prince Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:362   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VITALITY 2 2 51¼ 53 64½ 2nk 14 (ladauceur ha)CAMPOS LUIS 126 6.00 9.05  
1  AIROSA 1 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 24 (attar)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 6.65 P
7  BEDARD 7 1 41¼ 63½ 75 4¾ 35¾ (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
4  PASSIONED 4 6 72 31½ 32½ 51¼ 46¼ (nixon justin)MORAN PIETRO 126 10.00 8.75  
3  WYOMING BILL 3 5 2nk 2nk 2½ 3½ 510¼ (day-phillips cath)MUNGER RYAN 126 10.00 16.30  
9  PIERRE 9 9 61¾ 74 53½ 62¾ 611 (attard kevin)COHEN DAVID 126 4.00 25% 3.00 7.20  
5  MIDNIGHT MASCOT 5 7 93 84½ 85¼ 73¾ 713½ (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 2.50 36% 1.80 3.55  
6  JOKESTAR 6 8 83 95½ 97¾ 86¾ 819¾ (attard kevi)WILSON JAYNE 126 4.50 8.95  
8  SCAT FACTOR 8 10 103 106 108¾ 98¼ 923¼ (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 126 30.00 63.35  
10  ESSEX SERPENT 10 4 3.2 42 43½ 109¼ 1028¾ (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 126 8.00 13% 6.70 3.45  
 
FE-11   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN ELVIS 1 4 32½ 22 11½ 11½ 11¼ (wieczorek kendra)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 ★ 0.75  
2  JACK THE CAT 2 3 45½ 45½ 32 21½ 21¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 70% 0.40 4.00 P
7  JADE'S DREAM 7 5 56½ 56½ 43 34 36 (robillard juli)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.90 S
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 5 8 816½ 814¾ 88½ 56 46¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 13.50  
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 7 710½ 78¾ 64½ 45 59¾ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 19.35  
8  GREAT GO GO 8 1 12½ 12 21½ 69½ 631½ (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 122 20.00 30.40  
4  SAME AGAIN DOC 4 2 22½ 32 74½ 724½ 7100 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 13.70  
3  MISTER MESEEKS 3 6 610 68½ 54 8100 8100 (mitchell m)MORAN PIETRO 119 6.00 ★ 4.35  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.