Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $22.65 $16.65 278%
FE-5   WIN (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $34.00 $26.00 325%
    DD (8/6/2/1)-(6/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-2 $28.85 $12.85 80%
FE-6   DD (6/4/2/5)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $44.25 $32.25 269%
FE-7   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $21.60 $13.60 170%
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $28.50 $16.50 138%
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80  1-3-4 $17.38 $12.58 262%
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $24.30 $12.30 103%
FE-8   DD (4/3/2/1)-(4/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-1 $53.35 $37.35 233%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :47 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEER MOSA 2 6 45½ 22½   11½ 14¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 37% 1.70 1.15 W
3  SILENT SUMMIT 3 2 56½ 44½   32½ 24¾ (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 12.00 6% 16.50 16.40 P
4  BEST AND FINAL 4 5 67 65¾   64½ 39¼ (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 4.10  
5  IRISH RAIDER 5 3 13½ 12½   21½ 411½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 25% 3.00 3.40  
1  KOWBOYS SEQUEL 1 4 23½ 32½   43½ 511¾ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 15.90  
6  AS FOR A KING 6 1 34½ 55½   54½ 616¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50 3.70  
 
FE-2   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIGNATURE RING 4 3 1nk 11½   12 11 (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 5.00 3.20  
4  SHES HOT TO TROT 3 2 55½ 33½   22 21 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 21% 3.80 6.60 P
1  SMOKEN CHLOE 1 5 44½ 54½   32½ 35 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 49% 1.10 0.65 S
7  ALWAY'S ROSIE 6 1 66 65½   64½ 48 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50 8% 11.40 13.05  
2  MISS SCHILLER 2 4 33 43½   44 510¼ (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 15.00 30.10  
6  GOLDEN SPRING 5 6 2nk 21½   54 616¾ (robillard jo)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 6.15  
SCR  ASHCAR NELLIE               (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZING SUCCESS 1 3 41½ 3½   2nk 1¾ (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 3.60  
4  SUNYANI 4 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¾ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00 24% 3.10 1.95 P
2  UNION COLONEL 2 6 52 4¾   31 31 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 S
5  RELOAD BULLET 5 1 31 5¾   52 45¼ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 1.95  
3  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 3 2 1½ 2nk   41½ 55½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 6.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
6  MUSICAL STRIDE 6 5 63½ 64¾   64½ 69¼ (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 29.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ARKLE               (krczmar ze)CAMPOS LUIS 124 2.50    
 
FE-4   09/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN 7 4 32 1½   11 12¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
3  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 3 6 52½ 43½   32 22¼ (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 120 10.00 13.45  
1  MISS D'S PRIDE 1 3 11 2½   21 34¼ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 S
6  SPANISH SERENADE 6 7 76½ 66   55 45¼ (loescher p)CAMPOS LUIS 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.10  
5  DISCOVERY CHART 5 1 63½ 76   43½ 59¾ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 20.60  
4  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 4 5 42½ 54½   65½ 610¼ (cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00 14.95  
2  PRINCE FOR A DAY 2 2 21 33   75½ 711 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 14% 6.30 3.00  
SCR  DELIRIO               (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 5.00    
 
FE-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 33 21   1½ 13 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 14% 6.00 16.00 W
8  INDY COWBOY 8 7 46 44   32 23 (wills daniel)MORAN PIETRO 115 12.00 1.95  
3  RYE'S MY GUY 3 5 78 88¼   53 34½ (dipaola santi)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 3.95  
1  GOLDEN WIND 1 4 12½ 11   2½ 44½ (adamo anthony)AEBLY FRASER 115 3.00 3.15  
7  CHASING BOURBON 7 8 68 56½   63¼ 55 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 6.10  
5  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 5 6 88¼ 66½   73¾ 67¾ (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.85  
4  FAJARDO 4 3 57 76¾   83¾ 711¾ (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 16% 5.30 24.70  
6  UNSTABLE STORM 6 2 22½ 32   42 814½ (rideout shawn)MORENO OMAR 120 2.50 40% 1.50 5.80  
 
FE-6   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Le Cinquieme Essai Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VICTORY MARCH 3 4 43 1½   13 15¾ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 62% 0.60 0.50 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
1  WHERE IS ESSA 1 5 32½ 41½   23 25¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 5.95  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of WHERE IS EGBERT by WHERE'S THE RING)
6  FOUR ACES HIGH 6 1 54½ 52   34½ 313 (sim)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
  (by OLD FORESTER out of WOODLAND CITY by AL MUFTI)
4  MAGIC TOMAHAWK 4 6 610½ 69   67 413½ (pion sylvain)AEBLY FRASER 122 15.00 33.45  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LADY CARRINGTON by LEMON DROP KID)
2  NAMEOFTHEGAME 2 3 1½ 2½   45½ 514¾ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 6.25  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ADESTE by MONTBROOK)
5  VINNIE VAN GO 5 2 2½ 3½   56 622¾ (adamo anthony)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.80 13% 6.70 4.95  
  (by J P'S GUSTO out of VAN BRIT by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  MISTER BANJOMAN               (powell dale )HUSBANDS TERRY 122 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MESA MIRAGE by SKY MESA)
 
FE-7   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rondeau Bay Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAC AMOUR 1 1 11 11½   11 11 (robillard juli)STEIN JUSTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LOOKS LIKE RAIN by MEDICEAN)
3  WAR PAINTER 3 7 62¾ 43½   31 21 (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 31% 2.20 1.20 P
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MORNING TALE by TALE OF EKATI)
4  LITTLE TEDDY 4 4 41¼ 21½   21 33½ (dipaola sant)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 39% 1.60 2.40 S
  (by FRAC DADDY out of EXPLOSIVE LEAH by SILENT NAME (JPN))
6  POETIC AMY 6 5 52¼ 74¾   53 44 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 48.65  
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
7  TABLOID MATERIAL 7 2 31 32½   42½ 55¼ (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 10.90  
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of HANNAH SUE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  RED ELEANOR 5 3 21 64½   65½ 68¾ (rag)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 14.00  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of MOURNA by SILVER TRAIN)
2  JUST FOLLOW ME 2 6 74¼ 54½   76½ 722¾ (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 122 3.00 10% 9.10 4.10  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of MARILYNS LAST LOVE by ONE WAY LOVE)
 
FE-8   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lake Erie Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIOR HOT SHOT 1 3 21 1nk   1½ 11 (ross a)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.00 13% 6.70 2.00 W
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of EXECUTIVE DREAMER by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
7  YACHT BOY 7 8 86¼ 53¾   32 21 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 5.00 9.35  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of CAWAJA BEACH by WHERE'S THE RING)
2  ITS TIME TO SHINE 2 4 11 2nk   2½ 31 (ross john )CAMPOS LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 32.05 S
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of PLATINUM STEEL by EDDINGTON)
8  GAROFOLI 8 2 55 63¾   42½ 41¼ (ross a)AEBLY FRASER 118 6.00 5.85  
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of SKY MOTHER EARTH by SKY CONQUEROR)
3  NO MORE OPTIONS 3 5 65 810¾   57 55¾ (krczmar zelk)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00 10% 8.90 4.80  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of STONEY MISS by BIRDSTONE)
6  CRIMINAL INTENT 6 7 75¼ 75¾   68 68¾ (flint steve)MUNGER RYAN 118 20.00 46.85  
  (by RELOAD out of PHILZANA by PHILANTHROPIST)
4  LIVE LUCKY 4 6 33 43½   711½ 718 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.75  
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of STORMY VENUS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  FRAC RIGHT 5 1 43½ 32½   812½ 825½ (fairlie scott )CIVACI SAHIN 118 8.00 20.30  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
 
FE-9   09/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Molson Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:153 1:422   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE 1 2 52 51¾ 51¾ 41½ 11½ (albu ken)MORAN PIETRO 122 6.00 24.85  
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
5  SWEET SERENADE 5 5 84½ 73¼ 41¾ 1nk 21½ (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 30% 2.30 1.75 P
  (by TONALIST out of MAYA STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
8  TURF AND SURF 8 8 41½ 41½ 1nk 2nk 33½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of WEEKEND IN MALIBU by OLD FORESTER)
3  INITTOWINIT 3 6 73 61¾ 72½ 62¼ 44½ (buttigieg kevi)AEBLY FRASER 118 12.00 31.55  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of GAME by MONTJEU)
6  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 6 7 62½ 83¾ 82½ 52 54½ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 2.50 29% 2.40 6.45  
  (by PALACE out of TOP SEEDED by OLD TOPPER)
2  EMERALD LAKE 2 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 65¼ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 4.40  
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of KIAMIKA by WITH APPROVAL)
7  GLITTER BAY 7 3 2nk 3½ 3.2 74¾ 729¼ (capi m)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 16% 5.10 1.65  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BY THE SHORE by INCLUDE)
4  T'PRING 4 4 3½ 1nk 62 814¾ 844¼ (clemmer krist)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 30.00 76.75  
  (by RELOAD out of DICEY GIRL by YONAGUSKA)
 
FE-10   09/10/2024 6270ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prince Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:362   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VITALITY 2 2 51¼ 53 64½ 2nk 14 (ladauceur )CAMPOS LUIS 126 6.00 9.05  
  (by STREET BOSS out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  AIROSA 1 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 24 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 6.65 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of MRS. HUDSON by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  BEDARD 7 1 41¼ 63½ 75 4¾ 35¾ (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
  (by NYQUIST out of REASON by QUIET AMERICAN)
4  PASSIONED 4 6 72 31½ 32½ 51¼ 46¼ (nixon justin)MORAN PIETRO 126 10.00 8.75  
  (by PAYNTER out of CERTAINLY SPECIAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  WYOMING BILL 3 5 2nk 2nk 2½ 3½ 510¼ (day-phillips ca)MUNGER RYAN 126 10.00 16.30  
  (by CURLIN out of DIXIE CHICKEN by RAHY)
9  PIERRE 9 9 61¾ 74 53½ 62¾ 611 (attard kevin)COHEN DAVID 126 4.00 25% 3.00 7.20  
  (by TAPITURE out of ARCHERETTE by ARCH)
5  MIDNIGHT MASCOT 5 7 93 84½ 85¼ 73¾ 713½ (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 2.50 36% 1.80 3.55  
  (by ARMY MULE out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  JOKESTAR 6 8 83 95½ 97¾ 86¾ 819¾ (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 126 4.50 8.95  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of STARMALINE by STAR GUITAR)
8  SCAT FACTOR 8 10 103 106 108¾ 98¼ 923¼ (jennings aliso)JOHNSON KIRK 126 30.00 63.35  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCAT GAL by SCAT DADDY)
10  ESSEX SERPENT 10 4 3.2 42 43½ 109¼ 1028¾ (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 126 8.00 13% 6.70 3.45  
  (by HONOR CODE out of EILEEN'S GIRL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FE-11   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN ELVIS 1 4 32½ 22 11½ 11½ 11¼ (wieczorek kendra)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 ★ 0.75  
2  JACK THE CAT 2 3 45½ 45½ 32 21½ 21¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 70% 0.40 4.00 P
7  JADE'S DREAM 7 5 56½ 56½ 43 34 36 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.90 S
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 5 8 816½ 814¾ 88½ 56 46¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 13.50  
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 7 710½ 78¾ 64½ 45 59¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 19.35  
8  GREAT GO GO 8 1 12½ 12 21½ 69½ 631½ (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 122 20.00 30.40  
4  SAME AGAIN DOC 4 2 22½ 32 74½ 724½ 7100 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 13.70  
3  MISTER MESEEKS 3 6 610 68½ 54 8100 8100 (mitchell joan )MORAN PIETRO 119 6.00 ★ 4.35  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.