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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			WIN	(7/8/1/3/2)						5	$2.00	$10.00	3		$11.86			$1.86				19%
			EXA	(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)						20	$2.00	$40.00	3-8		$49.08			$9.08				23%
			TRI	(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-8-7		$52.95			$22.95				77%
			SFT	(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)-(7/8/1/3/2)						120	$0.10	$12.00	3-8-7-1		$28.07			$16.07				134%
			DD	(2/7/5)-(7/8/1/3/2)						15	$1.00	$15.00	2-3		$22.69			$7.69				51%
CD-4			WIN	(7/8/6/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	7		$8.74			$0.74				9%
CD-6			TRI	(2/9)-(2/9/4/7/5)-(2/9/4/7/5)						24	$0.50	$12.00	2-4-5		$21.04			$9.04				75%
			SFT	(2/9)-(2/9/4/7/5)-(2/9/4/7/5)-(2/9/4/7/5)						48	$0.10	$4.80	2-4-5-9		$19.75			$14.95				311%
CD-8			WIN	(4/3/1/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$13.92			$5.92				74%
CD-9			WIN	(5/8/12/9/6)						5	$2.00	$10.00	9		$22.56			$12.56				126%
			DD	(4/3/1/6)-(5/8/12/9/6)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-9		$70.42			$50.42				252%
CD-10			WIN	(10/5/1/4/11)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$16.54			$6.54				65%
			DD	(5/8/12/9/6)-(10/5/1/4/11)						25	$1.00	$25.00	9-4		$104.47			$79.47				318%
			PK3	(4/3/1/6)-(5/8/12/9/6)-(10/5/1/4/11)						100	$0.50	$50.00	3-9-4		$522.56			$472.56				945%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/15/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	GREEK HEIRESS									(schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						4.50		55%		0.80		1.20	W
8	ROSE PALACE									(desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						5.00						4.13
7	STAND BY YOU									(watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 121						5.00		12%		7.00		3.73	S
5	ABITIBI									(esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121						6.00		5%		19.00		21.50
3	MERCY WARREN									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50						2.58
6	ARELLA STAR									(orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 121						15.00						33.35
SCR	IN MY OPINION									(estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 121						20.00
SCR	SUMMER OF MISCHIEF									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121						2.50

CD-2			09/15/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	D'ORO UNBRIDLED									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						5.00		8%		12.20		4.93	W
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNBRIDLED FOREVER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8	EGLISE									(lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.50		26%		2.80		2.76	P
		(by FROSTED out of AHH CHOCOLATE by CANDY RIDE)
7	DUKE OF DUVAL									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.00		35%		1.90		2.75	S
		(by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
1	BOURBON SOCIETY									(wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						4.00		11%		8.30		4.41
		(by BERNARDINI out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
2	MOMENTUM FILES									(devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124						12.00		5%		19.00		13.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
9	CAN'T STOP WILLIS									(milligan )TORRES A 120						20.00						44.34
		(by NYQUIST out of INDELIBLE by TIZNOW)
5	MAGNIFICENT RAGS									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						6.00						7.83
		(by UNION RAGS out of MAGNIFICENT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4	READY AS EVER									(mott william)TORRES A 120						10.00						14.95
		(by MORE THAN READY out of AL ANDALEEB by BERNARDINI)
6	HE'S A JOKER									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120						10.00						16.21
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHE'S PRETTY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)

CD-3			09/15/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	ZECA DIABO									(caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 124						4.50						4.06
6	MISCHIEVOUS M									(vance thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						15.00		5%		19.00		13.75	P
4	CHUN MONEY									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						8.00		★				5.52	S
12	NOBLE EAGLE									(beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 121						12.00		5%		19.00		16.53
11	SKELLY ROAD									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						5.00						5.92
3	NOT SO HOLY									(lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						5.00		28%		2.60		10.66
10	REDEPOSIT									(foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121						4.00		41%		1.50		2.44
7	LINE OF SCRIMMAGE									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						5.00						6.95
9	MACHO VILLA									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 124						20.00						71.62
8	NATIONAL ECLIPSE									(williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						30.00						74.93
5	HIGH FIVE SY									(wismer g)SANTANA JR 121						30.00						77.48
1	CONSTITUTIONREVIEW									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						12.00						18.83
SCR	GENERAL ISSUE (FR)									(cook brian)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00
SCR	IMPERIO									(casse no)SANTANA JR 121						8.00

CD-4			09/15/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	FAN THE FIRE									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						3.00		37%		1.70		3.37	W
2	UPSTRIKER									(vanden berg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						3.50						6.37
6	SOARING BIRD									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						4.00		14%		5.90		3.26	S
8	BEST OF GREELEY									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121						6.00		23%		3.30		2.26
3	JAMMING EDDY									(jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121						6.00						7.46
1	ONCOMING TRAIN									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						10.00						11.81
4	ONE FOR RICHIE									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121						10.00		5%		19.00		8.00
SCR	MAN ON THE MOON									(vance thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						12.00
SCR	ROBO MAN									(holden darr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						12.00

CD-5			09/15/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119						10.00						7.23
		(by VOLATILE out of DYING TO DANCE by STREET CRY)
9	WISCONSIN GAL									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						10.00		5%		19.00		29.83	P
		(by ARMY MULE out of DREAM SEQUENCE by SMILE)
7	HALEAKALA (IRE)									(calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						4.00		39%		1.60		4.58	S
		(by VOLATILE out of OUT OF TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
8	SWEET MUSIC (CHI)									(catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 119						10.00						16.13
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LENATAREESE by BROAD BRUSH)
11	HEAR THE QUEEN									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		25%		3.10		2.74
		(by AUDIBLE out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
3	MISS TIFEYE									(baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						15.00		6%		15.90		44.09
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MAXINKUCKEE MISS by LANGFUHR)
10	MACLEAN'S LULLABY									(matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119						6.00		10%		8.70		7.71
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1	FEARLESS LADY									(moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						15.00						39.99
		(by NYQUIST out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
2	DINAHS GIRL									(hartman c)TORRES A 119						10.00						3.62
		(by GIFT BOX out of DOUBLED by EXCHANGE RATE)
6	ROYALEWITHCHEESE									(hiles a)TORRES A 119						20.00						64.81
		(by INSTAGRAND out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5	D'ARGENTO BOLT									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119						10.00						21.57
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of WINNING DOE by RUNNING STAG)
12	DIVINEINTERVENTION									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00						7.52
		(by VOLATILE out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)

CD-6			09/15/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SUNDAY DISRUPTOR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		41%		1.40		0.71	W
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of POCKET GIFT by GREAT NOTION)
4	MARGOT'S ANGEL									(mott i)ORTIZ L 119						4.00		★				3.39	P
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
5	DAWN AFTER DAWN									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						6.00		★				18.02	S
		(by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9	ALONGCOMESAWOMAN									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.50		33%		2.00		6.67
		(by FROSTED out of SEASON TICKET by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
3	RUNNIN N GUNNIN									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00						19.92
		(by GUN RUNNER out of CHARITY BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6	RANDO									(stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119						12.00						54.03
		(by VINO ROSSO out of GAS STATION SUSHI by INTO MISCHIEF)
10	TRADING SECRETS									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 119						15.00						31.34
		(by AUTHENTIC out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
8	CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS									(wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00						32.95
		(by STREET SENSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7	ALEDEAN									(amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00		★				11.73
		(by GAME WINNER out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1	RITA'S LEGACY									(lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						70.60
		(by JUSTIFY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)

CD-7			09/15/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BENEDETTA									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						8.00						4.08
2	HUNTRESS FOR HIRE									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121						8.00		23%		3.30		3.99	P
1	LEMON MUFFIN									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 118						3.50						5.60
10	LIGHTNING MYQUEEN									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120						15.00						33.14
4	COME AS YOU ARE									(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118						10.00						11.14
6	HARBOR SPRINGS									(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118						20.00		5%		19.00		19.58
8	HEY OLIVIA									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 120						4.00		31%		2.20		7.97
5	DETERMINED CANDY									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00						15.61
3	SWEET GAL OF MINE									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118						6.00		14%		6.10		8.64
9	STEAMPUNK									(davis chr)TORRES A 118						20.00						12.66
11	LA FORET									(catalano wayne )VAZQUEZ A 120						12.00		5%		19.00		17.24
13	MISS ROCKETTE									(mott riley)ORTIZ L 118						5.00						8.96
SCR	CURLIN'S MAGIC									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00
SCR	MUGEN									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						3.50
SCR	RED RIVER MAGIC									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						8.00
SCR	SISTER KISSES									(garcia genar)TORRES A 121						15.00

CD-8			09/15/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MINK'S PALACE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		23%		3.40		5.96	W
7	RIPERTON									(lobo h)ROMAN A 120						15.00						20.88
1	V V'S DREAM									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.00		16%		5.40		1.90	S
2	SILVER ROSE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.00						6.09
6	MS. TART									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						10.00		5%		19.00		20.84
4	PRINCESS MADISON									(bauer a)ORTIZ L 120						2.50		33%		2.00		1.11
5	LET THEM WATCH									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118						20.00						48.92
SCR	DOROTHY CROWFOOT									(rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						20.00

CD-9			09/15/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	HURRY HURRY									(sims p)SAEZ LUIS 122						10.00		5%		19.00		10.28	W
10	MACKMAN									(shirer ma)TORRES A 122						30.00						55.80
5	BATON ROUGE (IRE)									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124						3.00		59%		0.70		3.84	S
2	LAMBETH									(mott william)TORRES A 120						15.00						42.89
11	KING KUMBALAY									(correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122						6.00						11.48
8	CREATIVE MINISTER									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						6.00		8%		11.60		6.07
1	BEN FRANKLIN									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122						8.00						5.40
3	EVENT DETAIL									(walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122						20.00						26.64
12	GAME WARDEN									(casse no)SANTANA JR 126						3.50		7%		14.30		3.20
7	BOURBON RESOLVE									(wilkes ian)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						10.00						9.13
4	SINGLE DOT YAHT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						10.00						8.24
6	EXPENSIVE CUT									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122						20.00		5%		19.00		53.50

CD-10			09/15/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS									(brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		7%		13.30		7.27	W
12	B SUDD									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						3.00						2.11
11	MORUNNING									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118						10.00		7%		13.50		4.83	S
1	AL AMEEQ									(mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00		10%		9.10		6.56
10	JUNIOR BUG									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121						3.50		31%		2.20		6.60
5	CATHEDRAL BEACH									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						10.00		15%		5.90		3.36
6	CHRYSO ALOGO									(vasquez germa)CANNON DECLAN 118						20.00						31.18
3	BRIO									(medina robert)DOYLE SOPHIE 118						30.00						52.34
7	G T FIVE HUNDRED									(cano mu)TORRES A 121						20.00						16.54
SCR	B FIFTY TWO									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						8.00
SCR	BEBEDOURO									(lobo h)ROMAN A 118						15.00
SCR	HOLIDAY HOUSE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00
SCR	NORTHERN CHILL									(blair jor)TORRES A 118						6.00
SCR	WILLIE BIRD									(rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						6.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.