Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $21.18 $9.18 77%
CD-5   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $8.62 $0.62 8%
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-5 $68.00 $36.00 113%
CD-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $11.96 $7.96 199%
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $14.55 $8.55 143%
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/2/6)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-1-5 $19.73 $10.73 119%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WINDY WALK   (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.61  
1  PENS STREET   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 54% 0.90 1.46 P
6  KIKI KRAZY   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 6% 15.80 4.93 S
5  BIRDIE ROSE   (salas marc)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 6.15  
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA   (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00 19.26  
2  CANT KEEP ME DOWN   (salas marcel)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 15% 5.70 11.96  
7  LADY JUNE   (castanon jose )CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.59  
 
CD-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON SERENGETI   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 34% 2.00 1.51 W
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TANZANIA ROAD by ARCH)
1  MORINGA   (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 24% 3.10 5.71 P
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LADY SIPHONICA by SIPHON (BRZ))
6  MO FOR US   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 2.34  
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
5  TAPIT QUICK   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 3.14  
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
4  IMPRACTICAL DIVA   (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 8% 11.90 6.91  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
SCR  YUME   (lee joseph)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
  (by DAAHER out of GIA by GIO PONTI)
 
CD-3   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADISE LANE   (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.00 4.24  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARADISE WOODS by UNION RAGS)
5  BABY AVERY   (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 115 15.00 18.15  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
4  SONHADOR   (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 35% 1.90 1.30 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
6  INDY LABEL   (shirer ma)TORRES A 120 20.00 32.24  
  (by TONALIST out of SWEET AUGUST LADY by CITY ZIP)
3  FAZOOLS   (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.40 34% 1.90 1.84  
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  CHURNING BERNI   (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.47  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CD-4   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CREATIVE QUALITY   (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 5.00 14.44  
3  PALACE LIGHTS   (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.56 P
5  AIR FORCE THUNDER   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 3.06  
4  BEACH BUNNY   (catalano way)TORRES A 121 2.50 42% 1.40 2.29  
1  CHICA ARMA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 6.52  
6  MYSTICAL FIRE   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 30% 2.30 3.18  
7  PRINCESS POM POM   (forster grant )CASTANON L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
 
CD-5   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LOU MAN   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 49% 1.00 3.31 W
5  VSOP   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 ★ 9.19 P
6  STUNNING BRUNO   (jazdzewski )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 11.13  
8  KERNER   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 25.37  
1  MR LEE   (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 18.92  
2  HUEVOS D'ORO   (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 22% 3.60 4.61  
4  BAYTOWN BEATLE   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 4.50 6% 14.80 5.03  
10  VADEN   (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 3.18  
9  BEGFORFORGIVENESS   (cano mu)TORRES A 119 10.00 22.30  
3  BAYTOWN GUVNAH   (mcentee pa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 15.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
 
CD-6   09/29/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUTED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.59 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FINAL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  TENNESSEE LAMB   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 9.78  
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
5  PADIDDLE   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00 2.86 S
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BELLE CHAUSSEE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  COME TO PAPA   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 9.63  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHESACURLINMYTOES by CURLIN)
4  SWEET FREEDOM   (medina ro)TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.51  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
6  ELKO COUNTY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 2.61  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
 
CD-7   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW TIME   (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 41% 1.40 0.94 W
4  SUTHERLAND   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.00 3.55  
2  UNCLE BERLEY   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 33% 2.10 2.25 S
3  CITY OF CLOUDS   (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 9.38  
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE   (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 29.73  
7  STAR NATION   (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 22.35  
SCR  DEWY'S BEAST   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
 
CD-8   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LAURA'S CHARM   (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 39% 1.60 4.98 W
3  CURRENT CLIMATE   (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 1.30  
6  CONNIE K   (morse ran)TORRES A 121 6.00 2.30  
4  AMERICAN STARLET   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 27% 2.70 2.23  
SCR  HAPPY AM I   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.00    
SCR  SHARP HERO   (meraz ant)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
 
CD-9   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HORACE MANN   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 8.33  
7  DUCALE   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 15% 5.50 4.32 P
1  LUGAN KNIGHT   (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 122 15.00 9.57  
9  STRETCH RIDE   (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30 1.98  
6  SNEAD   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50 2.92  
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS   (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 5.47  
4  BLUE KENTUCKY   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.81  
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE   (jacobson )LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  CALL ME FAST   (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50    
 
CD-10   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SOUK PLAZA   (cox h)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 43% 1.30 1.03 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
12  BANKING SILVER   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 10.35  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEAT AND SADDLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  LADY LIBERTY   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 6.96 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHAYJOLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  PARIS LILY   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 12.89  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
9  SHIRLEY ANN   (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 26% 2.90 10.52  
  (by OUTWORK out of HEY PAIGE by STAY THIRSTY)
1  JEWEL BOX   (wilkes ia)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.05  
  (by STREET SENSE out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  WONDERLAND   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MISS SOUTHERN MISS by MORE THAN READY)
11  PRINCESS EM TOO   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 21.03  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PRINCESS WARRIOR by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  NANCY LYNN   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 17.53  
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
3  MIA'S MOM   (medina rober)TORRES A 119 12.00 21.82  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
8  STELLAR ASSET   (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 34.81  
  (by MUNNINGS out of WICKED OBSESSION by TAPIT)
6  SEVENON   (holsapple hu)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 30.00 82.23  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.