Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-9   Win (6/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (7/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENS STREET Sep19 Aug25 Jul27 Jun21 Apr27 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Aug26 Aug09 Jul13 Jun19 May09 (salas marcelin)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  WINDY WALK Aug17 Jul12 Jun22 May23 May09 (davis christ)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA Sep19 Aug21 Jul27 Jul17 Jun30 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00    
5  BIRDIE ROSE Sep08 Jul31 Jul22 Jun27 Jun15 (salas marcel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00    
6  KIKI KRAZY Jul04 Jun22 May25 Apr26 Apr06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 6% 15.80    
7  LADY JUNE Jul28 Jul04 Jun07 May02 Apr10 (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORINGA Sep11 Jun29 Jun02     (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  BOURBON SERENGETI Aug08 Jun30 Dec17     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  YUME         (lee joseph)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
4  IMPRACTICAL DIVA Aug26         (mccarthy mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
5  TAPIT QUICK         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
6  MO FOR US Jun16 May25 Apr27 Mar24   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00    
 
CD-3   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADISE LANE Aug05 Dec31 Nov03 Oct01 Aug31 (mott i)TORRES A 120 3.00    
2  CHURNING BERNI Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun07 Apr27 (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAZOOLS Jun21         (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
4  SONHADOR Aug19 Nov18       (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  BABY AVERY Jul13 Jun20 May18 Apr28 Mar29 (vance thoma)BEALMEAR C 115 15.00    
6  INDY LABEL Sep13 Jul04 Jun06 Sep20 Aug04 (shirer matt)TORRES A 120 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA ARMA Sep04 Jan12 Nov25 Aug19   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50    
2  CREATIVE QUALITY Mar15 Dec29 Dec02     (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 5.00    
3  PALACE LIGHTS         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEACH BUNNY Sep14 Jul27 Jun29     (catalano wayne)TORRES A 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  AIR FORCE THUNDER Jul27 Jan15 Jan01 Nov12   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 4.50    
6  MYSTICAL FIRE Sep04 Mar25 Feb18 Jul01   (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  PRINCESS POM POM Sep04 May02 Mar25     (forster t)CASTANON L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LEE Aug10         (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
2  HUEVOS D'ORO Sep12         (orantes r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  BAYTOWN GUVNAH Sep12 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21   (mcentee paul)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAYTOWN BEATLE Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 Jul18 Apr21 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 114 4.50 6% 14.80    
5  VSOP Sep04         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 ★    
6  STUNNING BRUNO Sep05 Aug20 Aug05     (jazdzewski jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
7  LOU MAN Aug11         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 49% 1.00    
8  KERNER Aug05         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
9  BEGFORFORGIVENESS Sep11         (cano muno)TORRES A 119 10.00    
10  VADEN Sep14 Aug12       (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 
CD-6   09/29/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUTED Jul13 Jun21       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  COME TO PAPA Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun09 May11 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
3  TENNESSEE LAMB Aug25 Jun30 Oct14 Sep13 Jul21 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  SWEET FREEDOM Aug25 Jul05 May26 Dec15   (medina robe)TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PADIDDLE Sep01 Aug03 Jun23 Jun02   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  ELKO COUNTY Sep02 Aug21 Jul14 Jun15 Apr27 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
 
CD-7   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW TIME Aug30 Jun23 May11 May27 Apr09 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Sep12 Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 Apr27 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  CITY OF CLOUDS Sep12 Jul13 Jun08 May25 May05 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
4  SUTHERLAND Aug07 Jun08 May18 Mar14 Feb22 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.00    
SCR  DEWY'S BEAST Sep03 Jul15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Sep10 Aug17 Jun22 Jun08 May16 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  STAR NATION Sep18 Aug04 Jun28 Jun12 May24 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARP HERO Sep12 Jun07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul26 (meraz anton)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
SCR  HAPPY AM I Sep14 Jul05 May27 Apr27 Feb03 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.00    
3  CURRENT CLIMATE Aug31 Aug03 Jul05 May24 Apr27 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00    
4  AMERICAN STARLET Jul28 Jun08 May18 Apr27 Sep02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
5  LAURA'S CHARM Aug29 Jul28 Jun23 May26 Apr30 (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
6  CONNIE K Aug04 Jun26 Jun07 Apr28 Mar02 (morse randy)TORRES A 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUGAN KNIGHT Aug12 Jun16 May03 Sep09 Aug04 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  CALL ME FAST Aug31 Jul21 May30 May03 Apr06 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50    
3  HORACE MANN Aug12 Jul04 Apr17 Oct28 Sep04 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
4  BLUE KENTUCKY Aug12 Jun30 May16 Dec29 Nov09 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 May03 Mar30 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
6  SNEAD Dec23 Nov23 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  DUCALE Sep01 Jul20 May25 Dec29 Nov23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 Apr27 (jacobson da)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
9  STRETCH RIDE Aug11 Nov25 Oct14 Sep17   (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
CD-10   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL BOX         (wilkes ian )TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  NANCY LYNN         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
3  MIA'S MOM Aug11         (medina robert)TORRES A 119 12.00    
4  WONDERLAND Aug31 Aug15       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY LIBERTY         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
6  SEVENON         (holsapple hutc)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 30.00    
7  SOUK PLAZA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
8  STELLAR ASSET Jun14         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 30.00    
9  SHIRLEY ANN Aug25 Jul22       (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
10  PARIS LILY         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
11  PRINCESS EM TOO         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
12  BANKING SILVER         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.