Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(2/1/4)-(4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/3/2)-(4/6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/6/3/7)-(7/2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(7/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(7/2/4/3)-(5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/5/3)-(7/2/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/3)-(5/1/4)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/2/6)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CD-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/4)-(6/9/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/9/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/9/7/4)-(7/9/4/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-9   WIN (6/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/4)-(6/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/4)-(6/9/7/4)-(6/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/7/4)-(7/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-10   WIN (7/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/5/1)-(7/9/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENS STREET Sep19 Aug25 Jul27 Jun21 Apr27 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 54% 0.90    
2  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Aug26 Aug09 Jul13 Jun19 May09 (salas marcel)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  WINDY WALK Aug17 Jul12 Jun22 May23 May09 (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA Sep19 Aug21 Jul27 Jul17 Jun30 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00    
5  BIRDIE ROSE Sep08 Jul31 Jul22 Jun27 Jun15 (salas marc)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00    
6  KIKI KRAZY Jul04 Jun22 May25 Apr26 Apr06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 6% 15.80    
7  LADY JUNE Jul28 Jul04 Jun07 May02 Apr10 (castanon jose )CASTANON L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORINGA Sep11 Jun29 Jun02     (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LADY SIPHONICA by SIPHON (BRZ))
2  BOURBON SERENGETI Aug08 Jun30 Dec17     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TANZANIA ROAD by ARCH)
SCR  YUME         (lee joseph)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
  (by DAAHER out of GIA by GIO PONTI)
4  IMPRACTICAL DIVA Aug26         (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
5  TAPIT QUICK         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
6  MO FOR US Jun16 May25 Apr27 Mar24   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00    
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
 
CD-3   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADISE LANE Aug05 Dec31 Nov03 Oct01 Aug31 (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PARADISE WOODS by UNION RAGS)
2  CHURNING BERNI Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun07 Apr27 (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  FAZOOLS Jun21         (brown c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SONHADOR Aug19 Nov18       (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
5  BABY AVERY Jul13 Jun20 May18 Apr28 Mar29 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 115 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
6  INDY LABEL Sep13 Jul04 Jun06 Sep20 Aug04 (shirer ma)TORRES A 120 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SWEET AUGUST LADY by CITY ZIP)
 
CD-4   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA ARMA Sep04 Jan12 Nov25 Aug19   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50    
2  CREATIVE QUALITY Mar15 Dec29 Dec02     (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 5.00    
3  PALACE LIGHTS         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEACH BUNNY Sep14 Jul27 Jun29     (catalano way)TORRES A 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  AIR FORCE THUNDER Jul27 Jan15 Jan01 Nov12   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 4.50    
6  MYSTICAL FIRE Sep04 Mar25 Feb18 Jul01   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  PRINCESS POM POM Sep04 May02 Mar25     (forster grant )CASTANON L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LEE Aug10         (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
2  HUEVOS D'ORO Sep12         (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  BAYTOWN GUVNAH Sep12 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21   (mcentee pa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAYTOWN BEATLE Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 Jul18 Apr21 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 4.50 6% 14.80    
5  VSOP Sep04         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 ★    
6  STUNNING BRUNO Sep05 Aug20 Aug05     (jazdzewski )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
7  LOU MAN Aug11         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 49% 1.00    
8  KERNER Aug05         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
9  BEGFORFORGIVENESS Sep11         (cano mu)TORRES A 119 10.00    
10  VADEN Sep14 Aug12       (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 
CD-6   09/29/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUTED Jul13 Jun21       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FINAL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  COME TO PAPA Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun09 May11 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHESACURLINMYTOES by CURLIN)
3  TENNESSEE LAMB Aug25 Jun30 Oct14 Sep13 Jul21 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
4  SWEET FREEDOM Aug25 Jul05 May26 Dec15   (medina ro)TORRES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
5  PADIDDLE Sep01 Aug03 Jun23 Jun02   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BELLE CHAUSSEE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  ELKO COUNTY Sep02 Aug21 Jul14 Jun15 Apr27 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
 
CD-7   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW TIME Aug30 Jun23 May11 May27 Apr09 (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  UNCLE BERLEY Sep12 Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 Apr27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  CITY OF CLOUDS Sep12 Jul13 Jun08 May25 May05 (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
4  SUTHERLAND Aug07 Jun08 May18 Mar14 Feb22 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.00    
SCR  DEWY'S BEAST Sep03 Jul15 Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Sep10 Aug17 Jun22 Jun08 May16 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  STAR NATION Sep18 Aug04 Jun28 Jun12 May24 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARP HERO Sep12 Jun07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul26 (meraz ant)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
SCR  HAPPY AM I Sep14 Jul05 May27 Apr27 Feb03 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.00    
3  CURRENT CLIMATE Aug31 Aug03 Jul05 May24 Apr27 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00    
4  AMERICAN STARLET Jul28 Jun08 May18 Apr27 Sep02 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
5  LAURA'S CHARM Aug29 Jul28 Jun23 May26 Apr30 (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
6  CONNIE K Aug04 Jun26 Jun07 Apr28 Mar02 (morse ran)TORRES A 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUGAN KNIGHT Aug12 Jun16 May03 Sep09 Aug04 (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  CALL ME FAST Aug31 Jul21 May30 May03 Apr06 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50    
3  HORACE MANN Aug12 Jul04 Apr17 Oct28 Sep04 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
4  BLUE KENTUCKY Aug12 Jun30 May16 Dec29 Nov09 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAN'T HUSH THIS Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 May03 Mar30 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
6  SNEAD Dec23 Nov23 Oct29 Sep24 Aug27 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  DUCALE Sep01 Jul20 May25 Dec29 Nov23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 Apr27 (jacobson )LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
9  STRETCH RIDE Aug11 Nov25 Oct14 Sep17   (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
CD-10   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL BOX         (wilkes ia)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
2  NANCY LYNN         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
3  MIA'S MOM Aug11         (medina rober)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
4  WONDERLAND Aug31 Aug15       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MISS SOUTHERN MISS by MORE THAN READY)
5  LADY LIBERTY         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHAYJOLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  SEVENON         (holsapple hu)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of Y SEVEN by GILDED TIME)
7  SOUK PLAZA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
8  STELLAR ASSET Jun14         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WICKED OBSESSION by TAPIT)
9  SHIRLEY ANN Aug25 Jul22       (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by OUTWORK out of HEY PAIGE by STAY THIRSTY)
10  PARIS LILY         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
11  PRINCESS EM TOO         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PRINCESS WARRIOR by MIDSHIPMAN)
12  BANKING SILVER         (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEAT AND SADDLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.