Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-3   EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $9.50 $3.50 58%
HAW-5   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $20.20 $12.20 153%
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $40.80 $28.80 240%
HAW-7   TRI (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-8 $21.65 $9.65 80%
HAW-8   SFT (6/4/1)-(6/4/9/5/1)-(6/4/9/5/1)-(6/4/9/5/1) 72 $0.20 $14.40  6-4-9-5 $24.44 $10.04 70%
HAW-9   WIN (5/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    TRI (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-8-5 $30.50 $18.50 154%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:133 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON LIFE 2 1 31½ 42 63¼ 31 11¼ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 28% 2.60 1.80 W
4  EVEN THE WIND 4 3 42½ 53 32 11 21¼ (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80 1.50  
6  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 6 4 11½ 11 1½ 21 35¾ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 4.50 11.20  
1  STORM'S REFLECTION 1 2 65 65 53 42 47½ (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
5  HAY MOON 5 5 21½ 21 2½ 54 513 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.50 31% 2.30 4.00  
3  LAWMAKER 3 6 53½ 31½ 42 68½ 624¼ (miller pat)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 122 12.00 40.10  
 
HAW-2   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:224 :463 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLOW TORCH 5 1 2½ 1nk   2½ 1nk (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 4.60  
2  WILDWOOD SICILIAN 2 4 1½ 2nk   1½ 2nk (becker scott)WALES T 122 3.00 1.90  
3  CORTESE 3 5 51¾ 51¾   31½ 32 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80 28% 2.60 2.50 S
1  MOHAAFETH 1 6 62¾ 62¾   44 44½ (dorochenko ge)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00 4.40  
4  TABLE MONEY 4 3 41½ 41½   58 514¾ (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
6  MISTER KELLY 6 2 3½ 3½   68 616 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00 26% 2.90 8.80  
 
HAW-3   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEVIL'S TOWER 4 1 2½ 21   2½ 11½ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 49% 1.00 1.60 W
4  NAVY SEAL (IRE) 3 3 53 55   33 21½ (knott s)MOJICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
1  SHARP HERO 1 2 1½ 11   1½ 33 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 11.20  
6  WENT WEST 5 4 42 33   46 43 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 2.50 18% 4.70 1.50  
3  WINNEMAC AVENUE 2 5 31½ 43½   56½ 59 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 4.60  
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE               (divito p)FELIX E 122 4.50    
 
HAW-4   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LALY 7 2 3½ 2½   11 1¾ (kirby j)REYES FRANK 121 1.60 31% 2.20 0.20 W
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
3  IRISH SPARK 3 7 43 32   21 2¾ (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 2.50 25% 3.00 5.30 P
  (by FIRING LINE out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
4  I DID THE MATH 4 6 711¼ 512½   55½ 36½ (rednour jr)COHEN DAVID 124 4.50 16.70  
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  LIONS LAW 2 3 1½ 1½   31½ 48 (young terr)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00 37.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
5  THE LAST THRILL 5 1 2½ 44½   45 512½ (lopez elias)EMIGH A 124 6.00 20.20  
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
1  FEATURED POWER 1 4 69¼ 714   613½ 627½ (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00 ######  
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
6  ULALUME 6 5 59 613   717½ 735 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00 14% 6.30 92.50  
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of EILEEN EVELYN by SHORE BREEZE)
 
HAW-5   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL 7 2 23½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (randazzo fran)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 8% 10.80 9.10 W
1  LADY HELENA 1 8 33½ 31   31½ 2¼ (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 10.00 18% 4.40 4.10 P
5  COCKTAIL CUTIE 5 6 77¾ 65½   54 33¼ (manley steve)WALES T 119 4.50 7.90  
4  PRINCESS TENKO 4 5 87¾ 76   43½ 44¾ (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.80  
8  ALLOTROPE 8 7 44 42½   65 56¾ (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
2  LUCY JANE 2 1 13½ 2nk   2½ 612 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00 2.10  
6  FANCY HILL 6 4 65¼ 54½   86 714 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 41.70  
3  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY 3 3 55 86¼   76 816 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 19.90  
 
HAW-6   09/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :464 :581     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAIRO DREAM 4 7 56 43½   13½ 16 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 ★ 4.20  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 2 5 33½ 32½   34 26 (haran john)FELIX E 121 5.00 6% 16.50 1.80 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
9  WILDWOOD ADIOS 7 3 45½ 54   45½ 312 (becker scott)WALES T 121 8.00 15.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
8  WAHIDA OF MARDAN 6 4 76½ 76½   67 412¾ (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 20.00 61.30  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) 8 6 66½ 65   78 514 (davis christ)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.00 68% 0.50 1.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 3 1 11½ 11½   23½ 616½ (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 30.00 72.40  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
7  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY 5 2 21½ 21½   56 719¾ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 10.00 7.60  
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of SOPHIE GERMAIN by ALGORITHMS)
1  GEMINEM 1 8 812½ 811½   811 822 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 51.40  
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MORETA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY               (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  DEAL'EM AND WEEP               (block chris)MOJICA O 121 2.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
HAW-7   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL 1 7 63 51¾   23 11¼ (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.70 W
6  MISS MIKOS 5 2 21 1nk   13 21¼ (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 18% 4.50 1.10 P
8  COME ON LADY 7 3 31½ 2nk   45 38¼ (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 30.10 S
4  RUMBRANDT 3 4 53 3½   55½ 49¼ (boyce michele)FELIX E 119 4.50 7.60  
7  JOYZELLA 6 6 810½ 87¼   66½ 59½ (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 29.10  
9  FREEDOM ATTACK 8 5 75½ 75¼   78 612½ (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 10.00 38.50  
5  LOST SUNSET 4 1 11 4¾   35 716½ (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 6.00 11.90  
3  SANITARIUM 2 8 42 61¾   814 831½ (fosdick steve)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 10% 9.50 32.60  
SCR  AIR GERRI               (manley steve)WALES T 124 20.00    
 
HAW-8   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BATTLE SCARS 6 6 75¾ 78½ 52¼ 1nk 11½ (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 52% 0.90 0.90 W
4  SAILING SOLO 4 3 21½ 22½ 2nk 2nk 21½ (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.50 P
9  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 9 8 64¾ 56 73½ 33 33 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 29.10 S
5  SILVER QUARTERS 5 7 88¼ 812 86 55½ 44½ (manley steve)WALES T 122 4.00 ★ 6.50  
7  MCMONEY 7 5 43 44½ 42¼ 65¾ 55¼ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 15.00 14.60  
2  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY 2 4 54½ 67 63¼ 87¼ 67¾ (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 21.20  
3  LAVENDER EARL 3 2 11½ 12½ 1nk 44½ 711¾ (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00 30.00  
1  NILES CHANNEL 1 1 33 34½ 32 75¾ 812 (tracy tanner)EMIGH A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
8  WHAT A COUNTRY 8 9 98¾ 912¼ 914 916¼ 931¼ (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 ######  
 
HAW-9   09/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUMMER AT THE SPA 6 3 31½ 21 2nk 2nk 1hd (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 6% 14.70 4.90 W
8  PADDY GAL 7 2 11 11 1nk 1nk 2hd (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.00 P
5  GHAALEB'S RANGER 4 4 615½ 611½ 47½ 43¼ 34¾ (becker scott)WALES T 122 2.50 49% 1.10 2.00 S
1  EMITYAAZ 1 1 21 32 32½ 33 47½ (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 6.00 3.00  
2  MAIDEN ROCK 2 5 49½ 49 58 58¼ 511¼ (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
6  DIXIE LOVING 5 7 718½ 717 715 611¾ 615 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 73.70  
4  JOCELYN 3 6 510½ 510 612½ 712¼ 722¾ (campbell j)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00 21.20  
SCR  QUILTING PARTY               (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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