Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/6/4)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(7/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(7/3/6/2)-(4/1/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(4/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(4/1/7/8)-(10/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/8)-(10/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/8)-(10/2/1)-(1/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (10/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/1)-(10/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/1)-(10/2/5/1)-(10/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/2/1)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1)-(1/6/3/8)-(6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/8)-(6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/8)-(6/4/1)-(5/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/9/5/1)-(6/4/9/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (5/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM'S REFLECTION Aug29 Aug11 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOURBON LIFE Aug22 Jul18 Jun29 Jun23 Jun01 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  LAWMAKER Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 May25 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
4  EVEN THE WIND Aug22 Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 Aug31 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 1.80    
5  HAY MOON Aug22 Aug01 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 4.50    
 
HAW-2   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOHAAFETH Aug25 Jul28 Jul18 Oct08 Sep14 (dorochenko ge)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00    
2  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Aug27 Jul06 Jun11 Apr16 Jul13 (becker scott)WALES T 122 3.00    
3  CORTESE Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar30 Dec03 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  TABLE MONEY Jun08 May12 Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLOW TORCH Aug29 Aug07 Jul06 Jun15 Apr27 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
6  MISTER KELLY Aug29 Sep23 Aug10 Jul05 Jun15 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-3   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP HERO Jun07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul26 Jun16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00    
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE Aug01 Jun22 Jun08 May12 Mar31 (divito p)FELIX E 122 4.50    
3  WINNEMAC AVENUE Apr21 Mar02 Jan26 Dec17 Oct19 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
4  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Aug31 Aug01 Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 (knott s)MOJICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEVIL'S TOWER Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 Jun07 May10 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  WENT WEST Aug21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 Apr21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
HAW-4   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEATURED POWER Aug22 Jul18 Jun23 May26 Nov14 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
2  LIONS LAW Aug22 Jul21 Jun01 May18 Apr20 (young terr)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
3  IRISH SPARK Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jun01 May18 (divito james )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
4  I DID THE MATH Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 Jun01 May12 (rednour jr)COHEN DAVID 124 4.50    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  THE LAST THRILL Aug22 Jul11 Jun15 May18 Apr20 (lopez elias)EMIGH A 124 6.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
6  ULALUME         (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00 14% 6.30    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of EILEEN EVELYN by SHORE BREEZE)
7  LALY Jul11 Jun23 Jun01 May18   (kirby j)REYES FRANK 121 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
 
HAW-5   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY HELENA Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 Jun10 May10 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 10.00 18% 4.40    
2  LUCY JANE Aug15 Jun02 Apr08 Nov11 Oct01 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00    
3  LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Aug27 Jul13 May28 Dec16 Nov07 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
4  PRINCESS TENKO Aug11 Jul14 Jul05 Jun08 May05 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  COCKTAIL CUTIE Jul30 Jul17 May28 Apr28 Apr07 (manley steve)WALES T 119 4.50    
6  FANCY HILL Sep05 Aug20 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
7  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Aug20 Jun04 May19 Apr13 Jan06 (randazzo fran)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
8  ALLOTROPE Sep05 Aug18 May26 May04 Mar31 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   09/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMINEM         (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MORETA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Aug15 Jun19 May17 Aug20   (haran john)FELIX E 121 5.00 6% 16.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ZIPPIT E by MY GOLDEN SONG)
SCR  DEAL'EM AND WEEP Aug25 Jul11 Jun15     (block chris)MOJICA O 121 2.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Jun15 May19 Apr20 Nov07 Oct17 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  CAIRO DREAM         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 ★    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr20 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Aug22 Aug04       (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of SOPHIE GERMAIN by ALGORITHMS)
8  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Aug15 Jul21 Jul11 Jun30   (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 20.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  WILDWOOD ADIOS Jul06         (becker scott)WALES T 121 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
10  LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) Aug14 Jul15 Apr21 Mar23   (davis christ)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
HAW-7   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  AIR GERRI Aug27 Aug10 Jul23 Jul11 Jun15 (manley steve)WALES T 124 20.00    
3  SANITARIUM Aug22 Aug04       (fosdick steve)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 10% 9.50    
4  RUMBRANDT Sep01 Aug11 Jul11 Jun16 Jun01 (boyce michele)FELIX E 119 4.50    
5  LOST SUNSET Aug18 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
6  MISS MIKOS Jun01 May18 Mar24 Aug31   (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  JOYZELLA Aug29 Aug04 Jul25 Jun30 Jun23 (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
8  COME ON LADY Aug03 Jul11 Jun23 Jun01 May18 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FREEDOM ATTACK Jul25 Jun09 Apr14 Nov18 Oct17 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   09/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NILES CHANNEL Aug22 Jul03 Jun13 Mar14 Feb13 (tracy tanner)EMIGH A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Oct11 Aug30 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
3  LAVENDER EARL Aug29 Aug18 Aug09 Jul23 Jun22 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
4  SAILING SOLO Jun15 Dec22 Nov23 Aug16 Jun15 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  SILVER QUARTERS Aug25 Jun23 Jun04 May13 Mar30 (manley steve)WALES T 122 4.00 ★    
6  BATTLE SCARS May25 Mar23 Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  MCMONEY Aug29 Aug05 May18 Apr27 Mar22 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 15.00    
8  WHAT A COUNTRY Aug25 Aug06 Jun09 May26 May05 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
9  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Aug22 Aug01 Jun16 May30 May13 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   09/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMITYAAZ Aug20 Aug04 Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
2  MAIDEN ROCK Aug11 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUILTING PARTY Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr14 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 4.50    
4  JOCELYN Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 Jun09 (campbell j)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00    
5  GHAALEB'S RANGER Aug17 Jun08 Apr27 Mar07 Dec29 (becker scott)WALES T 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
6  DIXIE LOVING Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 Nov18 Aug26 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
7  SUMMER AT THE SPA Aug11 Jul25 Jun23 Jun01 May12 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 6% 14.70    
8  PADDY GAL Aug31 Jul06 Jun11 May14 Apr30 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.