Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.48 $2.48 62%
CD-2   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $15.78 $3.78 32%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEVOLENCE 1 4 11 1½ 11½ 15 16½ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.24 W
7  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 6 6 74¾ 77½ 69 46½ 26½ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 20.69  
6  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 5 7 42 31 21½ 25 38¼ (wilkes ian)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 ★ 2.03 S
8  BISA 7 2 64½ 66 46 35 49½ (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 ★ 5.20  
4  LADY RILEY 4 5 53 55½ 58½ 612½ 527 (davis christop)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 8.19  
2  CITY COCKTAILS 2 3 21 2½ 32½ 510 631½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 67% 0.50 3.24  
3  MERCY OTIS 3 1 32 44½ 711½ 717½ 737½ (barrett roddi)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 43.39  
SCR  MARY LOVES LOUIE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DECK OF CARDS 2 2 11 1½   2nk 1¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 0.80 55% 0.80 0.37 W
5  PUNCHY GIRL 5 3 21 2½   1nk 2¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.72 P
6  PENS STREET 6 6 55 44½   34 32¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 5.51  
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 5 610 610½   69 44¾ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 55.07  
1  WINDY BAY 1 4 32½ 32½   45 56 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 12% 7.10 4.28  
3  BIG DIG 3 1 44 56   57½ 67¾ (bahena ism)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 20.80  
 
CD-3   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SARANAC LAKE 2 4 1½ 12 13 15½ 18 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.54  
8  NO SHOW 8 8 85 64 44½ 36 28 (danner kelse)TORRES A 120 12.00 11% 7.70 9.87 P
3  BENET 3 5 31½ 22 23 25½ 39 (hiles je)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.15 S
7  TIZ SALTY 7 3 74½ 86 78 511 413 (thompson michae)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 13.70  
6  TWO LUCYS 6 6 63 75 55 49½ 516 (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 60% 0.70 3.35  
5  ELODINE 5 2 52 53½ 67 613 623¼ (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 4.72  
4  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN 4 7 42 32 34 715 733¾ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 6.54  
1  GATHER THE FACTS 1 1 2½ 43 812 821 849¼ (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 15.00 39.29  
 
CD-4   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CONNIVE 5 5 2½ 2½   14 17¾ (drury j)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 2.42  
4  QUEEN CLANCY 3 1 1½ 1½   24 27¾ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 29% 2.40 2.81 P
3  DIA ESTELAR (ARG) 2 2 31 41½   34 39½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.79 S
1  AVALON GIRL 1 4 41½ 52   57 410½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 4.47  
6  YO LEVEN 4 3 52½ 31½   46½ 511½ (baker james)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 40% 1.50 3.71  
SCR  BABY SASSICAIA               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  JAZZ PARTY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50    
SCR  MOMBAYLA               (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
SCR  STACKING TENS               (guida anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BIG MUCH 8 2 43 52   2½ 1nk (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.84  
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUST by BODEMEISTER)
1  I GOT GAME 1 5 31½ 3½   1½ 2nk (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 4.50 17% 5.00 4.45 P
  (by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
4  ADMIRAL DENNIS 4 7 54½ 41½   41½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.64 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GULF COAST by UNION RAGS)
7  MAJOR DAX 7 10 1111½ 109¼   76 45 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 69.73  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WAR OFFICE by WAR FRONT)
3  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE 3 11 75½ 62¼   54½ 55¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 21% 3.80 3.06  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
12  TETHERED SOUL 10 9 98½ 96¼   86½ 66¾ (gutierrez faust)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.84  
  (by LAOBAN out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
2  SONIC SKIDADDLE 2 8 108½ 75¾   65 77 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 49.92  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
11  PRIDE'S PRINCE 9 3 2½ 1½   31 89¾ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 3.57  
  (by MUNNINGS out of TONASAH by MALIBU MOON)
6  ZAP D'ETAT 6 6 65 85¾   109 914½ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.67  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  POPPA ECHO 5 1 1½ 2½   98½ 1026¼ (milligan )TORRES A 119 6.00 18% 4.60 8.34  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of QUEEN OF ACES by STREET BOSS)
14  KICKING CLEAR 11 4 86½ 1110¾   1117 1135 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 25.44  
  (by KEEN ICE out of CHEEKY CHARM by A.P. INDY)
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of MAGICALCARPETRIDE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SPEED KING               (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of ATHENIAN BEAUTY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  WINTER CREEK               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
 
CD-6   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:111 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KINETIC 3 10 1111 119 115½ 53¼ 1¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 6.59  
4  MIDNIGHT RAID 4 7 76 73½ 84¼ 73½ 2¼ (casse w)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10.29  
14  YELLOW BRICK 11 11 109½ 107½ 94¼ 63¼ 3¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 24% 3.20 6.15 S
2  KING RUSSELL 2 8 53½ 31½ 52½ 22 3¼ (moquett )SANTANA JR 122 15.00 29.17 DH
1  BRUNACINI 1 3 11 1½ 1½ 12 5½ (sims p)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 11% 8.40 2.84  
5  REDEMPTION TIME 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 32 61½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 68.55  
10  GENEROUS TIPPER 9 2 64 63½ 63½ 84½ 74 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.50 3.38  
7  GLEN AIRY 7 9 98½ 95½ 105¼ 106 85½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 14.77  
6  WILL TAKE IT 6 4 31½ 42 41½ 95½ 96 (milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.58  
12  CULPRIT 10 1 43 52½ 31½ 43 107 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 5.29  
9  METALHEAD 8 6 86 85 73¾ 116½ 117 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 8% 11.90 29.00  
SCR  MULTITASK               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
SCR  NATIVE SHAMAN               (arnold ge)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (stinson wi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (amoss tho)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:093 1:351   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PIPELINE 7 2 11 11 12½ 11½ 13 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5.50  
6  BENDOOG 5 4 21 21 22½ 21½ 23 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 44% 1.30 1.32 P
7  GUNOE 6 5 53 66 46½ 34½ 33½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.39 S
3  HAYES STRIKE 2 7 78 710½ 713 710½ 410¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 9.98  
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE 4 3 41½ 44 68 610 512¾ (lynch bri)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.62  
4  SALUTE THE STARS 3 6 31 32 33½ 47 613½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.50 2.26  
1  MIDNIGHT WEST 1 1 63½ 56 57½ 59½ 716½ (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 31.55  
SCR  GUNTOWN               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS PEABODY 6 1 1½ 1½   13 16½ (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 6.11  
5  THE BIG CALHOUNA 4 4 31 32   33½ 26½ (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 7.43  
10  HOUSE OF MAGIC 8 9 95½ 76   87¼ 36½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 55% 0.80 2.84 S
4  SISTER ELLA 3 5 51½ 64½   45 46½ (puhich mi)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 10% 8.80 12.99  
1  SHE'S SPLENDID 1 7 74 97¼   67 58¼ (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 19.89  
11  END OF INNOCENCE 9 8 62 42½   56 68½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 13% 6.80 3.13  
9  THREE POLKS 7 3 2½ 2½   23 79½ (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 ★ 2.83  
2  GOLDBLOODED 2 6 41 86¼   97¾ 810¼ (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 27.61  
7  CALL ME PENNY 5 2 85 54½   77 912¾ (caramori edu)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SCR  KRICKLE               (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET               (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.