Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $6.48 $6.48 2.48
CD-2   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.74 $2.74  
CD-3   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.08  
CD-4   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.84  
CD-5   Win (4/3/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $37.68  
CD-6   Win (10/14/1/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $15.18  
CD-7   Win (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $13.00  
CD-8   Win (10/11/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $14.22  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEVOLENCE 1 4 11 1½ 11½ 15 16½ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.24 W
7  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 6 6 74¾ 77½ 69 46½ 26½ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 20.69  
6  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 5 7 42 31 21½ 25 38¼ (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 ★ 2.03 S
8  BISA 7 2 64½ 66 46 35 49½ (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 ★ 5.20  
4  LADY RILEY 4 5 53 55½ 58½ 612½ 527 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 8.19  
2  CITY COCKTAILS 2 3 21 2½ 32½ 510 631½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 67% 0.50 3.24  
3  MERCY OTIS 3 1 32 44½ 711½ 717½ 737½ (barrett roddina)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 43.39  
SCR  MARY LOVES LOUIE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DECK OF CARDS 2 2 11 1½   2nk 1¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 0.80 55% 0.80 0.37 W
5  PUNCHY GIRL 5 3 21 2½   1nk 2¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.72 P
6  PENS STREET 6 6 55 44½   34 32¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 5.51  
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA 4 5 610 610½   69 44¾ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 55.07  
1  WINDY BAY 1 4 32½ 32½   45 56 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 12% 7.10 4.28  
3  BIG DIG 3 1 44 56   57½ 67¾ (bahena ismae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 20.80  
 
CD-3   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SARANAC LAKE 2 4 1½ 12 13 15½ 18 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.54  
8  NO SHOW 8 8 85 64 44½ 36 28 (danner kelsey)TORRES A 120 12.00 11% 7.70 9.87 P
3  BENET 3 5 31½ 22 23 25½ 39 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.15 S
7  TIZ SALTY 7 3 74½ 86 78 511 413 (thompson michael)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 13.70  
6  TWO LUCYS 6 6 63 75 55 49½ 516 (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 60% 0.70 3.35  
5  ELODINE 5 2 52 53½ 67 613 623¼ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 4.72  
4  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN 4 7 42 32 34 715 733¾ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 6.54  
1  GATHER THE FACTS 1 1 2½ 43 812 821 849¼ (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 124 15.00 39.29  
 
CD-4   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CONNIVE 5 5 2½ 2½   14 17¾ (drury jr)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 2.42  
4  QUEEN CLANCY 3 1 1½ 1½   24 27¾ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 29% 2.40 2.81 P
3  DIA ESTELAR (ARG) 2 2 31 41½   34 39½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.79 S
1  AVALON GIRL 1 4 41½ 52   57 410½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 4.47  
6  YO LEVEN 4 3 52½ 31½   46½ 511½ (baker james)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 40% 1.50 3.71  
SCR  BABY SASSICAIA               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
SCR  JAZZ PARTY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50    
SCR  MOMBAYLA               (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
SCR  STACKING TENS               (guida e)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BIG MUCH 8 2 43 52   2½ 1nk (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.84  
1  I GOT GAME 1 5 31½ 3½   1½ 2nk (amoss m)TORRES A 119 4.50 17% 5.00 4.45 P
4  ADMIRAL DENNIS 4 7 54½ 41½   41½ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60 2.64 S
7  MAJOR DAX 7 10 1111½ 109¼   76 45 (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 69.73  
3  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE 3 11 75½ 62¼   54½ 55¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 21% 3.80 3.06  
12  TETHERED SOUL 10 9 98½ 96¼   86½ 66¾ (gutierrez faustio)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 40.84  
2  SONIC SKIDADDLE 2 8 108½ 75¾   65 77 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 49.92  
11  PRIDE'S PRINCE 9 3 2½ 1½   31 89¾ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 3.57  
6  ZAP D'ETAT 6 6 65 85¾   109 914½ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.67  
5  POPPA ECHO 5 1 1½ 2½   98½ 1026¼ (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 6.00 18% 4.60 8.34  
14  KICKING CLEAR 11 4 86½ 1110¾   1117 1135 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 25.44  
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
SCR  SPEED KING               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  WINTER CREEK               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:111 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KINETIC 3 10 1111 119 115½ 53¼ 1¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 6.59  
4  MIDNIGHT RAID 4 7 76 73½ 84¼ 73½ 2¼ (casse w)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10.29  
14  YELLOW BRICK 11 11 109½ 107½ 94¼ 63¼ 3¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 24% 3.20 6.15 S
2  KING RUSSELL 2 8 53½ 31½ 52½ 22 3¼ (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 29.17 DH
1  BRUNACINI 1 3 11 1½ 1½ 12 5½ (sims p)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 11% 8.40 2.84  
5  REDEMPTION TIME 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 32 61½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 68.55  
10  GENEROUS TIPPER 9 2 64 63½ 63½ 84½ 74 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.50 3.38  
7  GLEN AIRY 7 9 98½ 95½ 105¼ 106 85½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 14.77  
6  WILL TAKE IT 6 4 31½ 42 41½ 95½ 96 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.58  
12  CULPRIT 10 1 43 52½ 31½ 43 107 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 5.29  
9  METALHEAD 8 6 86 85 73¾ 116½ 117 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 8% 11.90 29.00  
SCR  MULTITASK               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
SCR  NATIVE SHAMAN               (arnold geor)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (stinson will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:093 1:351   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PIPELINE 7 2 11 11 12½ 11½ 13 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5.50  
6  BENDOOG 5 4 21 21 22½ 21½ 23 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 44% 1.30 1.32 P
7  GUNOE 6 5 53 66 46½ 34½ 33½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.39 S
3  HAYES STRIKE 2 7 78 710½ 713 710½ 410¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 9.98  
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE 4 3 41½ 44 68 610 512¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.62  
4  SALUTE THE STARS 3 6 31 32 33½ 47 613½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.50 2.26  
1  MIDNIGHT WEST 1 1 63½ 56 57½ 59½ 716½ (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00 31.55  
SCR  GUNTOWN               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS PEABODY 6 1 1½ 1½   13 16½ (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 6.11  
5  THE BIG CALHOUNA 4 4 31 32   33½ 26½ (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 7.43  
10  HOUSE OF MAGIC 8 9 95½ 76   87¼ 36½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 55% 0.80 2.84 S
4  SISTER ELLA 3 5 51½ 64½   45 46½ (puhich mike)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 10% 8.80 12.99  
1  SHE'S SPLENDID 1 7 74 97¼   67 58¼ (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 19.89  
11  END OF INNOCENCE 9 8 62 42½   56 68½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 13% 6.80 3.13  
9  THREE POLKS 7 3 2½ 2½   23 79½ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 ★ 2.83  
2  GOLDBLOODED 2 6 41 86¼   97¾ 810¼ (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 27.61  
7  CALL ME PENNY 5 2 85 54½   77 912¾ (caramori eduar)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
SCR  KRICKLE               (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET               (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.