Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/3/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (10/14/1/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (10/11/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEVOLENCE Aug10         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CITY COCKTAILS Aug17 Jul13       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 67% 0.50    
3  MERCY OTIS Aug25 Jul21 Jun22     (barrett roddina)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
4  LADY RILEY Aug17 Jul21       (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  MARY LOVES LOUIE Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 Jun28   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
6  REIGN CHAMPAGNE Aug31 Jul29 Jun28     (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 ★    
7  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING Aug26         (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
8  BISA Sep08 Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 ★    
 
CD-2   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY BAY Aug19 Jun22 Jun05 May09 Apr04 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 12% 7.10    
2  DECK OF CARDS Aug03 Jul17 Jun21 Apr22 Feb15 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 0.80 55% 0.80    
3  BIG DIG Aug05 Jun26 Jun15 May14 Apr21 (bahena ismae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
4  CHIQUITA MOSCA Aug21 Jul27 Jul17 Jun30 Jun22 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
5  PUNCHY GIRL Aug17 Jun27 May23 May03 Apr13 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PENS STREET Aug25 Jul27 Jun21 Apr27 Mar17 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.00    
 
CD-3   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATHER THE FACTS Aug24 Jul26 Jun07 May02 Mar10 (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 124 15.00    
2  SARANAC LAKE Aug13 Jul09 Jun09 May01 Mar23 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
3  BENET Aug30 Jun06 May09     (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Aug19 Jul22 Jun27     (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
5  ELODINE Aug25 Jul25 Jun30 Jun12 May12 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
6  TWO LUCYS Aug16 Jul14 May29 Apr17 Mar28 (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  TIZ SALTY Aug26 Jul27 Jun26     (thompson michael)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
8  NO SHOW Jul26 May31 Apr21 Mar29 Mar08 (danner kelsey)TORRES A 120 12.00 11% 7.70    
 
CD-4   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVALON GIRL Jul13 Jun12 Nov22     (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  MOMBAYLA Aug26 Jul27       (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
3  DIA ESTELAR         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEEN CLANCY Aug25 Jul27 May25 Apr28 Mar22 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  STACKING TENS Aug23         (guida e)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
6  YO LEVEN Aug18 Jul29 Jun20 May16   (baker james)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  JAZZ PARTY Aug19 Jul27       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50    
8  CONNIVE         (drury jr)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  BABY SASSICAIA Apr18 Nov10 Sep22 Aug13   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
 
CD-5   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT GAME Aug03 Jun20 May30     (amoss m)TORRES A 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  SONIC SKIDADDLE         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
3  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Aug24         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  ADMIRAL DENNIS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  POPPA ECHO Aug24         (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  ZAP D'ETAT Aug19 Jul28       (house ga)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAJOR DAX         (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
8  SPEED KING         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
10  BIG MUCH         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
11  PRIDE'S PRINCE         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
12  TETHERED SOUL         (gutierrez faustio)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  WINTER CREEK Aug20         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
14  KICKING CLEAR         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUNACINI Jul28         (sims p)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 11% 8.40    
2  KING RUSSELL Aug18 Jul21 May24 Apr28 Mar30 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
3  KINETIC Aug03 Jun21       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT RAID Jul21 Jun09 May10 Apr12 Mar03 (casse w)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
5  REDEMPTION TIME Aug19 Dec30 Nov17 Oct19 Sep17 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00    
6  WILL TAKE IT Aug24 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GLEN AIRY Jul21 Jun27 May27 Apr19 Feb08 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D Aug18 Jul21 Jul04 May27 Apr18 (stinson will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
9  METALHEAD Aug12 Jul16       (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 8% 11.90    
10  GENEROUS TIPPER Oct07 Aug28 Aug05 Jul14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  NATIVE SHAMAN Aug24 Jul29 Jun09 May15   (arnold geor)TORRES A 118 15.00    
12  CULPRIT Jul28 Jun23 May04 Jul23 Jun22 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May27 May09 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 12.00    
14  YELLOW BRICK Sep05 Jul20 Apr27 Mar23 Feb24 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  MULTITASK Aug24 Jul28 Jun19     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
 
CD-7   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT WEST Aug29 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  GUNTOWN Aug04 Jul06 Jun06 May18 Apr20 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
3  HAYES STRIKE Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar09 Feb17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
4  SALUTE THE STARS Jul11 Jun12 Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jul14 Jun15 May04 Mar30 Sep23 (lynch brian)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BENDOOG Aug23 Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 Nov19 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
7  GUNOE Nov30 Oct23 Sep11 Jul06 May08 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PIPELINE Aug11 May03 Apr10 Jan27 Dec02 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
 
CD-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SPLENDID May16 Apr19 Mar09 Feb08 Jan18 (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
2  GOLDBLOODED Aug26 Aug03 Aug27 Jul02 May20 (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  MOON FLEET Aug17 Jul13 May31 May04 Apr17 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
4  SISTER ELLA Aug05 May31 May04 Apr14 Mar23 (puhich mike)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 10% 8.80    
5  THE BIG CALHOUNA Aug24 Jun27 Jun08 May16 Apr21 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
SCR  CAROLINA CANDY Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 Apr25 Oct06 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
7  CALL ME PENNY Aug30 Jul18 May25 Apr29 Mar31 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISS PEABODY Jul22 Jun15 Sep13 Aug05 Jun24 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
9  THREE POLKS Aug15 Jul07 May31 May02 Feb17 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
10  HOUSE OF MAGIC Feb16 Jan12 Nov23 Oct21 Aug25 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
11  END OF INNOCENCE Jul29 Jun19 May23 Sep21 Aug02 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  KRICKLE Aug24 Jun28 May30 May09 Jan26 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.