Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-4   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $36.40 $28.40 355%
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $58.50 $46.50 388%
    DD (6/7/1/8)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-4 $61.40 $45.40 284%
    PK3 (6/4/1/5)-(6/7/1/8)-(2/3/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00  4-6-4 $184.80 $120.80 189%
CNL-5   WIN (4/10/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    EXA (4/10/8/1/2)-(4/10/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-10 $27.10 $7.10 36%
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-4 $85.00 $65.00 325%
    PK3 (6/7/1/8)-(2/3/1/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-4-4 $967.20 $887.20 1109%
    PK4 (6/4/1/5)-(6/7/1/8)-(2/3/1/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 320 $0.50 $160  4-6-4-4 $814.20 $654.20 409%
    PK5 (5/8)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/7/1/8)-(2/3/1/4)-(4/10/8/1/2) 640 $0.50 $320  4/5/6-4-6-4-4 $1265.00 $945.00 295%
CNL-6   PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(4/10/8/1/2)-(2/5/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  4-4-2 $527.30 $447.30 559%
CNL-8   TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-6 $21.75 $9.75 81%
CNL-9   WIN (9/12/8/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.80 $4.80 48%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME FANTASY 4 2 21 2½   12 1 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 1.60 69% 0.40 0.70 W
SWIFT DANCER 3 1 11 1½   22 2 (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 15.00 8.30  
IT'S SAUL GOODMAN 5 4 4 34   3 3 (galligan gerar)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5.90  
WATERMELON CRUSH 2 3 3 44   4 4 (aguirre antho)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 18.20  
COAL MINER 6 5 5 5   5 512¼ (mccutchen )ALBERT S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
MAS VICTORIA 1 6 68 610½   618½ 625 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 113 5.00 11.20  
SCR  DENISTON               (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  FLAT CAP               (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 118 2.00    
 
CNL-2   08/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:223 :442 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPASS FIRE 4 1 1nk 1nk   11 1 (seale christop)ASHTON GAVIN 122 2.00 14% 6.30 1.70 W
MORENA DANCER 2 5 5 6   64 2 (marrero )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00 11.90  
SHUT IT CALI 6 7 6 5   43 32 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 49% 1.00 1.50 S
CORINTH 3 3 4 4   21 4 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 118 8.00 30.70  
CLASSIC DIVA 7 4 3 32   3 55 (payne beale)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 9.20  
LOVE UNLIMITED 5 6 7 710¾   7 6 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
CAJUN EXPECTATION 1 2 2nk 2nk   54 711¾ (hester leann)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 8.00 8% 12.00 4.00  
SCR  WOK DON'T RUN               (vitali m)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
 
CNL-3   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPEST (GB) 6 1 1nk 1½   1 12 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 124 4.50 45% 1.20 2.50 W
AGENT KELLY 1 6 6 6   2 22 (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 118 2.00 14% 6.00 1.60 P
SIN PERMISO 3 5 7 7   6 32 (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 9.10  
MOONFLYER 2 7 8 8   7 43 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 10.00 18.50  
TAP YOUR HEART 8 8 5 5   5 5 (chapman james )ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
WE GOT THIS 7 4 4 3   43 6 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 3.50 16% 5.30 4.40  
VOY Y VENGO 4 3 2nk 2½   33 7 (hemingway mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 5.60  
FRONT DANCER 5 2 32 43   810¼ 818½ (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00 25.10  
 
CNL-4   08/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:111 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEYTON'S DAY 4 8 8 7 65 4¾ 1¼ (rodrigue)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20 W
STAYINYOURLANE 2 4 6 5 53 1½ 2¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 1.60 50% 1.00 2.60 P
NIPPY FITZ 6 5 21 2nk 2nk 5 36 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 5.00 5.00  
DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) 1 2 32 4 3 3½ 4 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 124 5.00 10% 9.20 1.10  
THATSMYBOXER 7 3 4 3 42 6 5 (morris r)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00 55.60  
MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 2½ 6 (brion ke)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 14% 6.30 4.10  
STRAIGHTOUTTAOCALA 5 6 5 6 7 712¾ 719¾ (o'connell kat)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 39.70  
DOUBLE AUGHT BUCK 8 7 7 8 811 815¾ 820¾ (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 88.90  
SCR  EL BAILADOR               (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 8.00    
 
CNL-5   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:23 :462 :574     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL' REGARD 4 9 9 8   43 1½ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 23% 3.40 4.60 W
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of GLOOMY I'M KNOT by D'WILDCAT)
10  SPORTING LADY 10 2 2½ 21   1nk 2½ (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 19% 4.40 2.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
BELLE OF THE SOUTH 3 1 1½ 11   2nk 3¾ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 4.50 3.90  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUMMERLAND by HE'S TOPS)
UNSHAKABLE 1 3 31 4   32 4 (schuh tim)ALLEN D 122 6.00 15% 5.70 4.40  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of UNHEDGED by BROKEN VOW)
SMART UNION 5 8 7 7   7 53 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00 4.50  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SMART MISSION by SMART STRIKE)
ABUNDANT LOVE 7 4 4 5   6 6 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 9.80  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
OK BY ME 6 7 6 6   5 76 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 40.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of I B OK by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
DIANE LEE 8 5 5 31   8 8 (milosevic milan)DELGADO A 122 5.00 18% 4.60 12.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of GIULIANA VEE by INTO MISCHIEF)
WIKOLIA LADY 2 10 10 10   910¾ 910½ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00 5% 19.00 48.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SAFE JOURNEY by FLATTER)
MAGIC FRONT 9 6 8 9   1011 1011¼ (huffman kennet)ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00 82.30  
  (by COAL FRONT out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
 
CNL-6   08/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:121 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVATED GAME 2 1 1 12 11 12 1½ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 41% 1.50 3.10 W
ROUNDTOP 3 3 3 3 4 3 2½ (motion graham)CENTENO E 118 5.00 4.30  
SMALL FIELD 4 4 44 4 3 43 3 (huffman kennet)ASHTON GAVIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00 2.60 S
SOUPER ATTENTIVE 5 2 2 22 21 22 42 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 20% 3.90 4.00  
MACKILLOP 1 6 66 6 6 5 5 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00 13% 6.80 3.50  
BOLT FROM ABOVE 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 123 12.00 12.30  
SAVE THE KING 6 5 56 5 55 78 7 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 43.90  
 
CNL-7   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :443 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD WEST JUSTICE 7 1 1 11   1 11 (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 15.00 13.40  
KING COVEE 4 8 5 5   34 21 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 49% 1.00 1.40 P
10  JOLLY BOSS 8 6 2 21   2 3 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 118 4.00 8% 12.10 2.20 S
ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN 5 5 7 75   5 43 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 14% 5.90 5.10  
DESTIN'S RAINBOW 2 2 3 3   44 54 (meyers madison)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 26.60  
PROSPECTIVE LOVE 3 4 4 65   7 68 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 30.00 6% 15.30 15.10  
JOLLY BY GOLLY 6 3 6 4   6 7 (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 9.00  
KING'S RIVER 1 7 8 8   810¾ 89 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 8.00 11.70  
SCR  EASTBOSTONBENNY               (klesaris steve)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
SCR  STREET ROCKIN               (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
CNL-8   08/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:12 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTIN'DOWNONIT 1 3 42 3 32 21 1¼ (beecher mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 36% 1.70 0.70 W
CORONOVA 3 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 2¼ (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 122 4.00 21% 3.70 5.40 P
ONE BITE 6 6 6 7 64 53 31 (servis tyle)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 15% 5.60 5.80 S
ADMIRAL'S WAVE 5 7 7 63 53 42 4 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 6.90  
CASSIUS 2 8 8 8 7 6 52 (hernandez)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 11.80  
DR. HYDE 7 4 2 2½ 2½ 32 6 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
BETTER WATCH IT 4 2 32 42 4 7 7 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 120 30.00 20.70  
MARIO'S ON POINT 8 5 54 53 8 810¾ 815½ (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00 36.90  
 
CNL-9   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:22 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BLOCKS 5 2 22 2   2½ 11 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 118 8.00 5% 17.50 6.40 W
AFTERNEATH 2 4 3 3   3 21 (gorham michae)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5.70  
WHITE HEAT (GB) 6 1 12 1   1½ 3 (boniface)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 2.60  
MOONSHINING 1 9 910¼ 811   710½ 4 (rodrigue)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00 35.80  
CALL THE QUESTION 8 6 66 68   4 5 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50 43% 1.30 4.60  
DELIZIOSA 4 8 7 7   5 6 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 15.40  
WAIT FOR TOMORROW 3 3 54 5   6 79 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
HOPEFUL CURE 7 7 8 911   1015½ 811¼ (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 123 15.00 6% 14.50 11.10  
11  BYRD OF EDEN 9 10 1010¼ 1011¼   915½ 911½ (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 27.40  
12  CHALICE 10 5 44 4   813½ 1013 (merryman elizabe)CURTIS BEN 123 3.50 21% 3.80 3.00  
SCR  ICED MOCHA               (werre danny)ASHTON GAVIN 123 20.00    
SCR  KAPATUDE               (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.