Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.92 $1.92 32%
CD-3   DD (7/6/1)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-1 $18.56 $9.56 106%
CD-5   EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-5 $20.04 $2.04 11%
CD-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $43.16 $37.16 619%
CD-9   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $29.02 $23.02 384%
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-8 $101.06 $83.06 461%
CD-10   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.56 $3.56 59%
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/8/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-5 $36.18 $18.18 101%
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-4 $83.66 $74.66 830%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FANCY FASCINATOR   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 18.47  
5  INVENTING ANNA   (medina ro)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00 24% 3.20 6.52 P
1  STARCOURT   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 42% 1.40 0.81 S
7  EVOCATION   (caramori cai)TORRES A 121 3.50 6.37  
8  HAND IT OVER   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.99  
6  VIBE CHECK   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 4.64  
3  MY SPRING SUNSHINE   (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 20.00 19.27  
9  LITTLE SASSER   (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 117 20.00 5% 19.00 29.62  
SCR  AMERICAN SPLENDOR   (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 20.00    
 
CD-2   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNO LE   (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 23% 3.40 2.96 W
  (by KLIMT out of MY BLUE SKY by SKY MESA)
3  HIGH SHOT   (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 8.68  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
1  BARBANERA   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.85 S
  (by COLLECTED out of HOMESCHOOLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  FLAT STORMIN   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 7.60  
  (by FLATTER out of STORMBEFORETHECALM by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  SWEET TROUBLE   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.60 43% 1.30 0.87  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  PERFORMABILITY   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAGICAL FLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SUPER DUPER NICE   (nicely nigel)ORANTES CESAR 111 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHULAMITE LADY by GIROLAMO)
 
CD-3   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGO   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 34% 2.00 1.92 W
5  ANGKOR   (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 1.60 35% 1.80 0.83 P
2  MINNESOTA READY   (amoss m)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 2.80  
3  SPANKSTER   (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.82  
SCR  DISCO BALL   (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CALIFORNIA BURRITO   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 4.01  
11  INSTANT REPLAY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 66% 0.50 2.07 P
10  KEVIN'S STRIKE   (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 17.60 5.65 S
6  DEREK'S LAW   (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 9.60  
2  MINTASTIC   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.84  
4  JUJUBEE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.70 4.09  
8  STEELIN BASES   (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 ★ 20.65  
12  SHOTGUN   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 32.55  
13  BOURBONATOR   (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 47.14  
3  ROCK SOLO   (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 54.24  
7  MAZZEO   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 19.86  
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN   (sweezey ken)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  ITSINMYBLOOD   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEST PERFORMER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 69% 0.50 0.91 W
5  MISS TAPPY TONE   (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 ★ 9.19 P
6  MO SENSE   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 6.96  
4  CORKAGE FEE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 5% 17.60 4.26  
2  LATE NITE LIZZIE   (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 12.00 15.77  
3  ROCK STAR DOCTOR   (troiani ni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 4.75  
1  WHAT'S CRACKIN   (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.17  
 
CD-6   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUST FUND PHILLY   (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5.61  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HONOR AND TRUST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
11  GOING STEADY   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.10 2.55 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLUEJEANS by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  SPRING DANCER   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 3.92  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SPRING INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
3  TEMPERS FLY   (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8% 11.10 24.08  
  (by VEKOMA out of RESPECT by THUNDER GULCH)
1  PLATINUM MIDNIGHT   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 23.50  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PLATINUM LADY by IRON RULER (IRE))
6  MOR LUCK   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 27.54  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  CHATTER   (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00 6.61  
  (by VEKOMA out of FLUTTERBY by CONGRATS)
8  LASKO LADY   (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 114 12.00 14% 6.20 35.68  
  (by MASTERY out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
2  RATIONAL THEORY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.80 3.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of AUNT DOROTHY by UNCLE MO)
9  COASTER   (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
  (by VEKOMA out of LAVISHLY by PARAMOUNT JET)
SCR  MENDELA   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CD-7   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY PURSUIT   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00 20.58 W
5  BETTERING   (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00 9.82  
4  BYE BYE LIAM   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 49% 1.00 3.94 S
3  SPURRIER   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 15% 5.50 3.47  
2  SHAKIN LOOSE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 3.65  
6  CHITWOOD   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 1.31  
SCR  EXTRA HALO   (granitz anth)MONCADA IRVING 111 3.00    
SCR  QUENCIO   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
CD-8   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EXTRADITION   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 17.99  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  SHOGUN (IRE)   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 15% 5.80 7.00 P
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
11  PUBLISHER   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 27% 2.70 3.17 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INDIAN PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  BUZZ ROCKET   (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 27.59  
  (by CURLIN out of LOVE THE CHASE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  BURNING GLORY   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 17.35  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
2  EXUBERANT MISCHIEF   (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★ 12.21  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EXUBERANCE by ARCHARCHARCH)
3  OUR FAVORITE SON   (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 5.10  
  (by TAPWRIT out of PUTTHEBABIESDOWN by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
5  AMERICAN PROMISE   (lukas w)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.28  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
4  CONSECRATED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 23.27  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of GONCHAROVA by STREET SENSE)
10  INTO THIN AIR   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 37.71  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ BREATHTAKING by TIZNOW)
1  PIQUANT   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 36% 1.80 5.03  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
 
CD-9   09/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COZEE RAGS   (michael brian)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.51 W
8  BROUGHTY FERRY   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★ 3.99 P
7  MISS HEBRIDES   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00 2.32  
3  LET'S DUET   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 36% 1.80 8.97  
1  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE   (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.55  
2  OFF THE LAM   (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 30.66  
4  CONDONE   (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 10.60  
6  TAKE SHAPE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 40% 1.50 2.68  
 
CD-10   09/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GENERAL MATHIS   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 35% 1.90 3.78 W
5  VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI)   (sanchez a)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 34% 2.00 3.47 P
6  KISSALOT   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 6.47  
7  ROMAN CENTURIAN   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 17.52  
8  TRIDENT HIT   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★ 2.56  
3  OUTLIER   (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 2.79  
2  TAPSASIONAL   (santamari)BEALMEAR C 117 8.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  UNDERDRESSED   (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.