Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/9)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/9)-(7/6/1)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(5/1/3)-(11/4/10/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(11/4/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(11/4/10/2)-(7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (11/4/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/10/2)-(11/4/10/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/4/10/2)-(11/4/10/2/8)-(11/4/10/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/4/10/2)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/4/10/2)-(7/4/1)-(2/11/8/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/11/8/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/11/8/3/9)-(4/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-6   WIN (2/11/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/8/3/9)-(2/11/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/8/3/9)-(2/11/8/3/9)-(2/11/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/8/3/9)-(4/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/11/8/3/9)-(4/3/1)-(1/11/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/11/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(1/11/7/5)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-8   WIN (1/11/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/7/5)-(1/11/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/11/7/5)-(1/11/7/2/5)-(1/11/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/11/7/5)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/11/7/5)-(6/3/5)-(4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-9   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CD-10   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARCOURT Aug25 Jul05 Jun06 Apr27 Mar23 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  AMERICAN SPLENDOR Sep13 Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 20.00    
3  MY SPRING SUNSHINE Sep13 Aug23       (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00    
4  FANCY FASCINATOR Jul28 Jun15 May10 Mar15   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
5  INVENTING ANNA Aug21 Jul21 Jun18 Dec03 Nov18 (medina ro)BEALMEAR C 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  VIBE CHECK Aug25 Jul27 Jun16 May19   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
7  EVOCATION Jun07 May30 May14 Apr20 Feb21 (caramori cai)TORRES A 121 3.50    
8  HAND IT OVER Jul28 May25 Apr25 Apr05 Mar06 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  LITTLE SASSER         (cambray a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   09/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBANERA         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HOMESCHOOLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  FLAT STORMIN         (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of STORMBEFORETHECALM by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  HIGH SHOT Sep07 Oct04 Sep16 Aug26   (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
SCR  PERFORMABILITY Aug26 Aug05       (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAGICAL FLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SUPER DUPER NICE Aug26         (nicely nigel)ORANTES CESAR 111 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHULAMITE LADY by GIROLAMO)
6  UNO LE Nov23         (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by KLIMT out of MY BLUE SKY by SKY MESA)
7  SWEET TROUBLE Feb15 Apr07 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CD-3   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGO Jun29 May02 Nov04 Oct06 Sep16 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  MINNESOTA READY Sep01 Jun29 May27 May04 Apr06 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
3  SPANKSTER Aug04 Jun29 May24 May06 Apr06 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DISCO BALL Aug22 Aug08 Jun07 Mar29 Mar03 (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
5  ANGKOR Aug24 Jun29 Jun01 May02 Nov23 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
CD-4   09/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN Jul20 Jun22 Jun08 May26   (sweezey ken)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
2  MINTASTIC         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROCK SOLO         (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00    
4  JUJUBEE Aug10 Jul05       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  ITSINMYBLOOD         (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
6  DEREK'S LAW         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
7  MAZZEO         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
8  STEELIN BASES         (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 ★    
9  CALIFORNIA BURRITO Jul20         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
10  KEVIN'S STRIKE Aug12         (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 17.60    
11  INSTANT REPLAY Aug12         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 66% 0.50    
12  SHOTGUN Aug24         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
13  BOURBONATOR Aug05         (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S CRACKIN Sep17 Aug17 Jun27 Feb10 Dec27 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LATE NITE LIZZIE Jun08 May11 Mar07 Feb12 Jan20 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 12.00    
3  ROCK STAR DOCTOR Jul31 Jun05 May18 Apr11 Jan27 (troiani ni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
4  CORKAGE FEE Sep13 Aug05 Jun14 Apr30 Apr05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 5% 17.60    
5  MISS TAPPY TONE Aug29 Jul13 Jun01 Apr30 Mar21 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 ★    
6  MO SENSE Jul05 Jun14 Apr30 Mar20 Jan27 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
7  BEST PERFORMER Jul28 Jun20 May19 Feb22 Jan15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 69% 0.50    
 
CD-6   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM MIDNIGHT         (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of PLATINUM LADY by IRON RULER (IRE))
2  RATIONAL THEORY Aug18         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of AUNT DOROTHY by UNCLE MO)
3  TEMPERS FLY Aug25         (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 8% 11.10    
  (by VEKOMA out of RESPECT by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  MENDELA         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  SPRING DANCER         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SPRING INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
6  MOR LUCK Sep01         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  TRUST FUND PHILLY         (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HONOR AND TRUST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
8  LASKO LADY Jul13         (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 114 12.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MASTERY out of SWEETEST SOUND by ELOCUTIONIST)
9  COASTER         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of LAVISHLY by PARAMOUNT JET)
10  CHATTER         (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of FLUTTERBY by CONGRATS)
11  GOING STEADY Sep01 Aug11 Jul14     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLUEJEANS by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CD-7   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY PURSUIT Sep06 Aug04 Jul20 May16 Apr27 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAKIN LOOSE Jun20 Jun02 Mar23 Mar03 Jan13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00    
3  SPURRIER Jun14 May19 Apr13 Dec31 Dec10 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  BYE BYE LIAM Aug22 Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Oct29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 49% 1.00    
5  BETTERING Jun12 May18 Apr27 Feb02 Jan12 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 6.00    
6  CHITWOOD Aug05 May01 Mar08 Feb09 Jan05 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
SCR  QUENCIO Jun20 May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar08 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA HALO Sep12 Aug11 Jun23 Jun11 Dec20 (granitz anth)MONCADA IRVING 111 3.00    
 
CD-8   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIQUANT Aug24         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
2  EXUBERANT MISCHIEF Aug24         (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EXUBERANCE by ARCHARCHARCH)
3  OUR FAVORITE SON Aug31         (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PUTTHEBABIESDOWN by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
4  CONSECRATED         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of GONCHAROVA by STREET SENSE)
5  AMERICAN PROMISE Aug29 Jul27       (lukas w)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
6  BURNING GLORY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
7  SHOGUN (IRE) Sep01 Aug11 Jul05     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
8  BUZZ ROCKET         (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of LOVE THE CHASE by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  EXTRADITION Aug03 Jul05       (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  INTO THIN AIR         (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ BREATHTAKING by TIZNOW)
11  PUBLISHER Aug12         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INDIAN PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CD-9   09/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Aug22 Jun08 Nov12 Sep10 Aug19 (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
2  OFF THE LAM Sep05 Aug18 Jul27 Jun15 May12 (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
3  LET'S DUET Jun26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Dec29 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 36% 1.80    
4  CONDONE Jun08 Apr24 Apr07 Feb14 Nov15 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
5  COZEE RAGS Sep08 Jul15 Jun26 May18 Apr05 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAKE SHAPE Sep05 Jun08 May01 Apr11 Mar20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  MISS HEBRIDES Aug18 Jul14       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.00    
8  BROUGHTY FERRY Jul21 Jun12 Apr30 Mar29 Feb01 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★    
 
CD-10   09/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNDERDRESSED Sep12 Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 May13 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
2  TAPSASIONAL Aug18 Jun15 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 (santamari)BEALMEAR C 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUTLIER Aug18 Jul15 Jun15 May30 May12 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50    
4  GENERAL MATHIS Aug10 Jun07 Mar08 May06 Apr08 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI) Aug24 May25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar02 (sanchez a)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  KISSALOT May10 Mar23 May03 Apr01 Mar04 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
7  ROMAN CENTURIAN May30 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
8  TRIDENT HIT Aug18 Apr26 Mar30 Jan26 Oct27 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.