Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-6   SFT (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-4-6-1 $11.52 $9.12 380%
TDN-7   SFT (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 18 $0.10 $1.80  5-1-4-7 $4.55 $2.75 153%
TDN-9   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    DD (8/7/4/9)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $13.00 $1.00 8%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE NAME 9 2 52 4   5 1¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 6.00 4.60  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF 1 5 1½ 3.2   21 2¼ (foster )DE CRUZ 119 5.00 5.00 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DIAMOND DUST 7 1 31 2nk   31 3¼ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 3.50 47% 1.10 3.70 S
  (by PAYNTER out of RADIANT SKY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
EMPIRE'S FIRE 2 4 2½ 1nk   11 4½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 26% 2.80 1.70  
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of VICTORIA'S ON FIRE by LANGFUHR)
EXCITEMENT 5 6 6 5   4 5 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
MR LOOOCH 3 9 7 6   6 6 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 6.00 14.00  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
HIP HIP HOORAY 8 3 8 7   7 7 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 35.00  
  (by CONGRATS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SPECIALIZED 6 8 9 8   8 8 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 20.00 14.30  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
CHIEF RANDEL 4 7 41 9   911¼ 911¾ (romero a)PEREZ A 119 12.00 29.80  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SHE COULD BE GOOD by DAYLIGHT SAVINGS)
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM               (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 117 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FEMALE DRAMA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
TDN-2   08/10/2024 6600ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:373   2:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR AND SQUARE 4 11 11 1nk 12 1 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 66% 0.50 0.20 W
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
GENERAL MATHIS 1 42 4 42 3 2 2 (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 5.50  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of DYNATAP by TAPIT)
I WANNA WIN 5 21 21 2nk 22 35 3 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 6.00 8% 12.10 14.70 S
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of HARLAN CAT by HARLAN)
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 7 32 3 31 44 47 49 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 29.00  
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of COUNTRY CLUB SUE by TENPINS)
1X  TANTRUM 8 9 76 7 710 612 512¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.00 0.20  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
1A  SILENCE 6 8 1010¾ 910¼ 810 712 613¼ (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 0.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
MISTER MOBIL 3 10 9 8 910¼ 812½ 714½ (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 ######  
  (by MOBIL out of APPLE ANNIE by LEMON DROP KID)
RAVEN MOON 10 76 64 6 69 511 815 (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 45.40  
  (by LANGFUHR out of COCO'S MOUNTAIN by RUNTO THE MOUNTAIN)
HENRY MAC 9 5 54 5 58 913½ 917¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BOOM BOOM BERTIE by THUNDER GULCH)
TEMPERED DREAM 2 65 89 1012¼ 1015¼ 10100 10100 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 ######  
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
TDN-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTISSIMO 2 2 3 31   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 1.60 37% 1.70 0.20 W
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
SUPERWOLF 6 1 2 2nk   2nk 2 (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 23.70  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BOOTS MALONE 1 3 1 1nk   3.2 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 37% 1.70 6.90 S
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
COASTLAND 4 4 4 46   4 415 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50 3.90  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
RONNIS SECOND WIND 3 5 54 5   5 516¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 5.00 5% 19.00 49.00  
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
FULL SPECTRUM 5 6 64 68   6 617 (jackson r)PEREZ A 118 8.00 22.50  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
TDN-4   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:124 1:383   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENEROUS LOVER 2 1 2 2½ 11 16 112¼ (sharp joe)RIVERA R 123 2.50 34% 2.00 0.80 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 6 4 4 4 32 26 212¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 29% 2.40 2.10 P
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
CHANEL SPIRIT 4 2 3 3½ 21 310 317¼ (cline c)GONZALEZ A 123 20.00 44.50  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
SHE'S CRAFTY 5 6 7 79 77 614½ 419½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00 35.30  
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
HERE'S THE SPIDER 3 7 6 65 54 514 520 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 7.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
I RECALL 7 5 5 52 4 413½ 620¾ (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 5.00 17% 4.90 5.40  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
R THREE ANGELS 1 3 1 1½ 6 720½ 732 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 12.00 39.10  
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  BACK TO OHIO               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
 
TDN-5   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER KISS 4 2 1 1   1 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.60 53% 0.90 0.10 W
  (by BLOFELD out of JUSTGIMMEAKISS by CONGRATS)
MY KINDA PARTY 5 1 55 2   2 2 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 10.10  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
LO BUG 9 3 44 44   3 3 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 5.00 38.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
GOOSEBUMPS 2 8 8 97   58 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 21% 3.90 5.90  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
1X  HOLLABACK 7 5 7 8   69 5 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.50 5.90  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
1A  TOASTMASTER 3 6 34 3   4 613¾ (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 5.90  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
FLASHY N 1 9 9 76   712 714¾ (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 118 20.00 ######  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
MALEAH 6 4 2 5   817 821 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 18.60 30.10  
  (by MITOLE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
LA ARTISTA 8 7 6 6   917¼ 922¾ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 36.20  
  (by KLIMT out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
 
TDN-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :471       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAN MACHINE 2 3 11 1½   1 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80 1.50 W
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GARAGE KEPT by DEHERE)
HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT 4 2 21 2½   2 2 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 17% 4.90 1.20 P
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
RUNAWAY POWER 6 5 4 48   3 311½ (cline c)RIVERA R 118 8.00 6% 15.40 8.70 S
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
JAC'S EMPIRE 1 8 817½ 816½   614½ 417¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 6% 15.40 65.10  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
AIR RAID (GB) 5 1 510½ 511½   514½ 518¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 7.70  
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
TAKE DICTATION 8 7 711½ 611½   715 620¾ (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00 69.80  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
DRILL'S BOY 3 4 35 36   412½ 723½ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00 53.80  
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
MOR STORMY 7 6 611 713½   817 823½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 5.00 7.30  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
 
TDN-7   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 5 2 1½ 1½   1 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 53% 0.90 0.05 W
LA CUMPARSITA 1 6 6 34   39 2 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00 7% 14.40 34.60 P
LOFTY COWTOWN 4 4 4 2½   2 310 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 2.50 17% 5.10 8.10 S
THEODOROPOULOS 7 5 53 55   514½ 415 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 13.60  
DANZA MAGIC 2 7 7 7   615½ 515¼ (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 66.40  
LEXY ANNA 3 3 3 44   413 618¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 64.40  
SHEZ SHACKED UP 6 1 2½ 68   718½ 725 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 83.30  
 
TDN-8   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT RULE 8 4 33 1   16 111½ (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ROLLIN FREEDOM 5 2 54 5   47 211½ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 8.10  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
SMARTASSET 9 1 2 3   26 315¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
FLAME FOR REAL 2 6 1 2   3 415¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 15.70  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 4 5 66 6   610 516¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.00 3.90  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
CATZANOVA 7 3 4 44   58 620¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 21% 3.70 1.70  
  (by COAL FRONT out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
JUSTWORTHASHOT 3 7 76 79   712 720¼ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 15.00 40.90  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
MANDAVILLA 6 9 8 811   817 826¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 13.70  
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
WHATDID I BUY 1 8 9 915   923 934¼ (flo)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 20.00 99.60  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
 
TDN-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG FACTS 3 3 3 21   15 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 2.50 40% 1.50 3.20 W
STICK AROUND 1 5 5 4   25 2 (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 115 6.00 2.50  
AZ WE SPEAK 4 6 6 6   5 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 8% 12.10 2.60 S
SHE'S A SOLDIER 6 2 2½ 31   48 411¼ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 2.00 20% 4.10 5.20  
SALTMAKESHERSWEET 2 1 1½ 11   35 513½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 3.60  
CLOUD PRINCESS 5 4 46 57   615¼ 620¾ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 17.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.