Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (2/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (8/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-9   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Jun02 May10 Apr13 Mar08 Jan26 (foster er)DE CRUZ 119 5.00    
EMPIRE'S FIRE Jul16 Jun07 May15 May01 Jul10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
MR LOOOCH Jul16 Jun13 Jun04 May14 Dec04 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
CHIEF RANDEL Jul30 Jul09 Apr30 Apr15 Apr04 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
EXCITEMENT Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May18 May04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIALIZED Jul16 Jun07 May18 Dec14 Nov14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 20.00    
DIAMOND DUST Jul04 Jun12 May27 Oct28 Sep18 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
HIP HIP HOORAY Jul16 Jun07 May15 Aug18 Jul10 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
STAGE NAME Jul16 Jul02 May20 Apr23 Jul29 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul27 Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 117 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/10/2024 6600ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR AND SQUARE Jul15 Jun27 Jun07 May14 Oct28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 66% 0.50    
1A  SILENCE Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May15 Nov14 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
1X  TANTRUM Jul15 Jun27 Jun07 May14 Apr09 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.00    
GENERAL MATHIS Jun07 Mar08 May06 Apr08 Mar09 (devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50    
TEMPERED DREAM Jul19 Jun27 Jun05 May13 Apr10 (fernandez edwar)SOSA LAUREANO 119 20.00    
MISTER MOBIL Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun22 May27 (bail)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
I WANNA WIN Jul11 Jun13 May14 Oct28 Oct02 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jul09 Jun13 May29 May01 Apr11 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
HENRY MAC Jul15 Jun07 May01 Dec26 Dec04 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
RAVEN MOON Jul15 Jun07 May01 Apr04 Mar06 (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTS MALONE Jul19 Jul08       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
FORTISSIMO Jul19 May29       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
RONNIS SECOND WIND Jul19 Jul03 Jun14     (cline c)BRACHO A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
COASTLAND Jul19 Jun26       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
FULL SPECTRUM Jul08         (jackson r)PEREZ A 118 8.00    
SUPERWOLF         (gorham rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
TDN-4   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS Jul23 Jun19 May09 Mar18 Feb29 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
GENEROUS LOVER Jul19 Jun15 May02 Mar21 Feb29 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
HERE'S THE SPIDER Jun29 Jun07 May22 Nov25 Oct28 (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
CHANEL SPIRIT Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May09 Jan08 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 123 20.00    
SHE'S CRAFTY Jun19 May09 Apr13 Apr03 Mar18 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK TO OHIO Jul11 Dec16 Nov20 Oct05 Aug26 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00    
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jun19 May09 Apr24 Oct28 Oct05 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
I RECALL Jul19 Sep26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-5   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSEBUMPS Jul19 Jun15 May25     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 21% 3.90    
1A  TOASTMASTER Jul19 Jul04 Jun17     (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
1X  HOLLABACK Jul19 May03       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.50    
FLASHY N Jul22 Jul04       (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
SILVER KISS Jul19 Jun17       (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
MY KINDA PARTY Jul22 Jul04       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
MALEAH Jul19         (anderson susan )BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 18.60    
LA ARTISTA Jul19 Jun26       (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LO BUG Jul22 Jul04       (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
 
TDN-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAC'S EMPIRE         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 6% 15.40    
CLEAN MACHINE Jul08 Jun26       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
DRILL'S BOY Jul22         (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 17% 4.90    
AIR RAID (GB) Jul03         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
RUNAWAY POWER         (cline c)RIVERA R 118 8.00 6% 15.40    
MOR STORMY         (cline c)BRACHO A 118 5.00    
TAKE DICTATION         (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CUMPARSITA Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun22 Jun03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00 7% 14.40    
DANZA MAGIC Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May18 Apr30 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
LEXY ANNA Jun25 Jun05 Oct11 Sep19 Aug21 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
LOFTY COWTOWN Jul15 Jun22 Dec21 Nov16 Oct23 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 121 2.50 17% 5.10    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jul11 Jun17 Apr24 Oct28 Sep25 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
SHEZ SHACKED UP Jul15 Dec13 Nov02 Jul19 Jun22 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
THEODOROPOULOS Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 May27 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATDID I BUY Jun18 May29 Apr01 Mar14 Feb14 (flor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
FLAME FOR REAL Jul23 Jul02 May28 Oct11 Sep25 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
JUSTWORTHASHOT Jul23 Feb28       (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Jul02 Jun17 May09 Jan30   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
ROLLIN FREEDOM Jul23 Jul02       (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
MANDAVILLA Jul23 Jul02       (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
CATZANOVA         (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
SILENT RULE         (bernardini jay)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SMARTASSET Jul23 Jun17 Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 (cline c)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STICK AROUND Jul22 Jun18 May18 Mar27 Feb28 (gorham rober)CORRALES GERARDO 115 6.00    
SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jul04 Jun18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct11 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50    
BIG FACTS Jun18 May18 Nov14 Oct28 Sep05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
AZ WE SPEAK Jun18 Jun03 May18 Mar20   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 8% 12.10    
CLOUD PRINCESS Jul23 Jul02 Jan09 Dec21   (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
SHE'S A SOLDIER Jul22 Jun18 May24 Apr24 Mar20 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.