Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5/1)-(7/2/3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(1/5/7/8)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/7/8)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(2/7/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/7/8/5)-(3/1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/8/5)-(3/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(2/4/6)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/4/1)-(8/7/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(8/7/4/9)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9/2)-(8/7/4/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/7/4/9)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-9   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Jun02 May10 Apr13 Mar08 Jan26 (foster )DE CRUZ 119 5.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jul16 Jun07 May15 May01 Jul10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of VICTORIA'S ON FIRE by LANGFUHR)
3  MR LOOOCH Jul16 Jun13 Jun04 May14 Dec04 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 6.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
4  CHIEF RANDEL Jul30 Jul09 Apr30 Apr15 Apr04 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SHE COULD BE GOOD by DAYLIGHT SAVINGS)
5  EXCITEMENT Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May18 May04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
6  SPECIALIZED Jul16 Jun07 May18 Dec14 Nov14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
7  DIAMOND DUST Jul04 Jun12 May27 Oct28 Sep18 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by PAYNTER out of RADIANT SKY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
8  HIP HIP HOORAY Jul16 Jun07 May15 Aug18 Jul10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  STAGE NAME Jul16 Jul02 May20 Apr23 Jul29 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul27 Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 117 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FEMALE DRAMA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
TDN-2   08/10/2024 6600ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIR AND SQUARE Jul15 Jun27 Jun07 May14 Oct28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
1A  SILENCE Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May15 Nov14 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEAH'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
1X  TANTRUM Jul15 Jun27 Jun07 May14 Apr09 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
2  GENERAL MATHIS Jun07 Mar08 May06 Apr08 Mar09 (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of DYNATAP by TAPIT)
3  TEMPERED DREAM Jul19 Jun27 Jun05 May13 Apr10 (fernandez edw)SOSA LAUREANO 119 20.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  MISTER MOBIL Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun22 May27 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of APPLE ANNIE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  I WANNA WIN Jul11 Jun13 May14 Oct28 Oct02 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of HARLAN CAT by HARLAN)
6  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jul09 Jun13 May29 May01 Apr11 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of COUNTRY CLUB SUE by TENPINS)
7  HENRY MAC Jul15 Jun07 May01 Dec26 Dec04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BOOM BOOM BERTIE by THUNDER GULCH)
8  RAVEN MOON Jul15 Jun07 May01 Apr04 Mar06 (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of COCO'S MOUNTAIN by RUNTO THE MOUNTAIN)
 
TDN-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTS MALONE Jul19 Jul08       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  FORTISSIMO Jul19 May29       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
3  RONNIS SECOND WIND Jul19 Jul03 Jun14     (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
4  COASTLAND Jul19 Jun26       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
5  FULL SPECTRUM Jul08         (jackson r)PEREZ A 118 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  SUPERWOLF         (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
TDN-4   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R THREE ANGELS Jul23 Jun19 May09 Mar18 Feb29 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  GENEROUS LOVER Jul19 Jun15 May02 Mar21 Feb29 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
3  HERE'S THE SPIDER Jun29 Jun07 May22 Nov25 Oct28 (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
4  CHANEL SPIRIT Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May09 Jan08 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 123 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Jun19 May09 Apr13 Apr03 Mar18 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  BACK TO OHIO Jul11 Dec16 Nov20 Oct05 Aug26 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
7  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jun19 May09 Apr24 Oct28 Oct05 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  I RECALL Jul19 Sep26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
TDN-5   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Best Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOSEBUMPS Jul19 Jun15 May25     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
1A  TOASTMASTER Jul19 Jul04 Jun17     (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1X  HOLLABACK Jul19 May03       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
2  FLASHY N Jul22 Jul04       (rivera nestor)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
3  SILVER KISS Jul19 Jun17       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by BLOFELD out of JUSTGIMMEAKISS by CONGRATS)
4  MY KINDA PARTY Jul22 Jul04       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
5  MALEAH Jul19         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 118 12.00 5% 18.60    
  (by MITOLE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
6  LA ARTISTA Jul19 Jun26       (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
7  LO BUG Jul22 Jul04       (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
 
TDN-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAC'S EMPIRE         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 6% 15.40    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  CLEAN MACHINE Jul08 Jun26       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GARAGE KEPT by DEHERE)
3  DRILL'S BOY Jul22         (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
4  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  AIR RAID (GB) Jul03         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
6  RUNAWAY POWER         (cline c)RIVERA R 118 8.00 6% 15.40    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
7  MOR STORMY         (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
8  TAKE DICTATION         (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 15.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
 
TDN-7   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CUMPARSITA Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun22 Jun03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00 7% 14.40    
2  DANZA MAGIC Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May18 Apr30 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
3  LEXY ANNA Jun25 Jun05 Oct11 Sep19 Aug21 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
4  LOFTY COWTOWN Jul15 Jun22 Dec21 Nov16 Oct23 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 2.50 17% 5.10    
5  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jul11 Jun17 Apr24 Oct28 Sep25 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
6  SHEZ SHACKED UP Jul15 Dec13 Nov02 Jul19 Jun22 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
7  THEODOROPOULOS Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 May27 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-8   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATDID I BUY Jun18 May29 Apr01 Mar14 Feb14 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
2  FLAME FOR REAL Jul23 Jul02 May28 Oct11 Sep25 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 ★    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT Jul23 Feb28       (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
4  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Jul02 Jun17 May09 Jan30   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
5  ROLLIN FREEDOM Jul23 Jul02       (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
6  MANDAVILLA Jul23 Jul02       (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
7  CATZANOVA         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by COAL FRONT out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SILENT RULE         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MODERN LADY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  SMARTASSET Jul23 Jun17 Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 (cline c)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
 
TDN-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STICK AROUND Jul22 Jun18 May18 Mar27 Feb28 (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 115 6.00    
2  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jul04 Jun18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct11 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50    
3  BIG FACTS Jun18 May18 Nov14 Oct28 Sep05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  AZ WE SPEAK Jun18 Jun03 May18 Mar20   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 8% 12.10    
5  CLOUD PRINCESS Jul23 Jul02 Jan09 Dec21   (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
6  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jul22 Jun18 May24 Apr24 Mar20 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.