Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.80 $5.80 73%
TDN-2   DD (8/6/4/1)-(3/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-5 $20.50 $4.50 28%
TDN-3   TRI (3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  3-7-2 $64.50 $4.50 8%
    SFT (3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-7-2-12 $15.13 $3.13 26%
TDN-6   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $17.40 $9.40 118%
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1-6 $14.00 $8.00 133%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:131     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUDDEN SHIFT 6 4 31 2nk 2nk 21 12¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 30% 2.30 5.90 W
3  MURTAGH 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 22¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5.70  
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 7 3 41½ 34 33 34 32½ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 8.10  
2  HAD RIGHT 2 5 64 67 48 47½ 43 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 18.00  
8  FRANCO (MEX) 8 7 75 78½ 69½ 58½ 56¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 35% 1.80 3.90  
1  VENETIAN DREAM 1 2 21 45 59 612½ 69½ (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
5  APACHE 5 8 53 56½ 712 713 79½ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 3.70  
4  SHELL FIRE 4 6 86½ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 121 8.00 10% 9.10 5.00  
 
TDN-2   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMOKIN JOE 4 2 41½ 45¼   33½ 13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.00 32% 2.20 1.00 W
  (by MOBIL out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  COLONEL COOPER 2 5 76¼ 67¼   44½ 23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 40% 1.50 2.30 P
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
2  PROFESSOR NICK 1 6 66 77¼   54¾ 33½ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 10.90  
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
6  GRETCHENS MANE MAN 5 4 1nk 1nk   13½ 43¾ (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 24.50  
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
8  MISTER ZAZU 6 3 2nk 2nk   23½ 56½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 4.50 3.30  
  (by MOBIL out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
9  AQUAVIT 7 1 31 35   615¾ 624¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 5% 19.00 46.00  
  (by BIRDRUN out of OAK BAY BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
4  DRILL'S BOY 3 7 54 56¼   716¼ 724¾ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
SCR  AIR RAID (GB)               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  TRUTH N SOUL               (douglass dev)HALDAR J 118 5.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
 
TDN-3   07/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:143 1:423   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOBIL MISSION 3 3 54 42½ 32 11½ 14½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 32% 2.10 1.70 W
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
7  WEEKEND RETREAT 6 7 64 65½ 54 33½ 24½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20 8.00 P
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
2  BUMPKIN 2 2 11½ 11 11 21½ 38¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 9% 10.70 2.60 S
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
12  SWAYBACK MOBIL 11 10 108¾ 86¼ 64½ 56½ 49½ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.50 6% 16.70 3.80  
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
11  STRIKING LAD 10 8 88 107¾ 810½ 712 514¼ (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 36.30  
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
1  PLUM TUFF 1 1 32 21 21 46½ 616¼ (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 8.40  
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
6  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE 5 4 21½ 32½ 43½ 67½ 720 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 29.00  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of METTEMARLAMELVA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  VERNON'S BEST 4 11 98¼ 97¼ 1012½ 816 823½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
8  EL CHAPIADOR 7 6 74½ 76 710½ 920 935½ (lopez jacinto)DIAZ R 119 20.00 ######  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
9  TURKODANCER 8 9 1112¾ 1112¾ 1114½ 1023 1035¾ (langley joshua)BAEZ M 119 20.00 ######  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
10  EQUITY CAT 9 5 43 54 911 1124½ 1143½ (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 97.30  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
 
TDN-4   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:254 :504 1:153     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CENTSOFWANDER 7 1 21 2nk 1nk 14 15½ (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 5.00 3.50  
5  DISCLOSURE 4 3 53½ 51¾ 31 45 25½ (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 3.50 16% 5.30 3.80 P
3  MR CLINE 2 4 32 41¼ 51¼ 34½ 36 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
7  AULD LANGE SYNE 6 7 42 31 2nk 24 46 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 20% 4.10 6.30  
2  R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 5 64 62¼ 73½ 67 59½ (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 6.00 3.10  
6  NAPA DUDE 5 6 74¼ 73¾ 63¼ 78 610 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 39.30  
4  NO ANGEL 3 2 11 1nk 41¼ 55 713½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 22% 3.50 3.10  
SCR  GUN LAP               (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY KINDA PARTY 4 3 43½ 43½   2nk 12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50 ★ 4.60  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
2  INSTIGATION 1 7 77½ 77   63¼ 22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 3.50 6% 16.10 3.00 P
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
6  LO BUG 5 5 54½ 54½   53 33 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00 5.10  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
8  SIOFRA 7 1 11½ 1½   1nk 47¼ (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 5.20  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
9  COMPLEXITY GIRL 8 2 21½ 2½   31 58¾ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.50  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
3  FLASHY N 2 6 32½ 32½   41½ 68¾ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 38.40  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
7  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP 6 4 65 66   77¼ 710¾ (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00 5.80  
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  BUCKEYE BLUE 3 8 814½ 817   814¼ 817 (zielinski richard)PEREZ A 118 20.00 79.40  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  PARLAY               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
 
TDN-6   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :584       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SABELLE 5 3 1½ 11½   1½ 11¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 10% 9.50 7.70 W
1  BAREBACK FUN 1 4 32 43   2½ 21¼ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 1.20  
7  INCESSANT 7 2 42 32   31 32¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 49% 1.10 2.10 S
2  BLAZING ZENNA 2 5 64 55   43½ 44½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 8.60  
3  LA REINA DEL NORTE 3 7 710 710   66 55¾ (rotunno syd)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
4  SWEET BELEN 4 6 2½ 21½   55 68¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 68.50  
6  J P'S GLADYS 6 1 53 66   77½ 710¼ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
 
TDN-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA 5 1 1½ 12   15 14½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 4.00  
1  POSITIVELY 1 8 43½ 33½   25 24½ (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 15.00 13% 6.50 7.10 P
3  OUR MAGIC PRINCESS 3 5 32½ 44   35½ 35¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.10 5.00 S
7  CAP IS BACK 7 3 78½ 89¾   78¾ 48 (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 32.20  
8  SO TEMPTING 8 4 88¾ 56½   47½ 58¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.90  
4  LIME TREE 4 7 57½ 66½   67¾ 69½ (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00 17.60  
6  LIBERTALIA 6 2 2½ 22   57½ 712¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 30% 2.30 2.40  
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR 2 6 67½ 79½   810¼ 814¼ (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 44.50  
 
TDN-8   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIESHA 3 1 33 41¾ 2nk 12½ 12¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 16% 5.30 3.90 W
1  WORK'N ON A BUZZ 1 6 56½ 3.2 1nk 22½ 22¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.80 53% 0.90 0.20 P
6  STICK AROUND 6 5 66¾ 56¼ 43¼ 37½ 37¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 5% 19.00 16.90 S
4  LADY ITCH 4 3 46½ 66¾ 69¾ 514 416¾ (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 22.10  
5  SHE'S A SOLDIER 5 4 22 1nk 33 412½ 520¼ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 12.00  
2  WINDY VALLEY 2 2 12 2nk 58¼ 618 631¾ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 75.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.