Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/4/1)-(3/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/1)-(3/5/4/9)-(3/7/2/12/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/9)-(3/5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/9)-(3/5/4/9)-(3/5/4/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/4/9)-(3/7/2/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/9)-(3/7/2/12/5)-(4/7/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/7/2/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5)-(3/7/2/12/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (3/7/2/12/5)-(4/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/12/5)-(4/7/5/3)-(1/9/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/3)-(1/9/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/3)-(1/9/2/3)-(7/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/3)-(1/9/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/3)-(1/9/2/5/3)-(1/9/2/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/9/2/3)-(7/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(3/6/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(3/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/3)-(3/6/1/8)-(1/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 May30 May20 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAD RIGHT Jun22 May30 May09 Apr29 Apr03 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
3  MURTAGH Jun25 Jun08 May15 Aug14 Jul19 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
4  SHELL FIRE Jun19 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Oct31 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  APACHE Jul02 Jun13 May06 Apr25 Apr13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
6  SUDDEN SHIFT Jun24 May27 Mar17 Feb19 Jan10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jun22 Jun08 May18 May09 Apr25 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
8  FRANCO (MEX) Jul02 Jun13 May23 Apr30 Mar25 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
TDN-2   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUTH N SOUL Jul19 Jun14 May29     (douglass dev)HALDAR J 118 5.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
2  PROFESSOR NICK Jul03         (zielins)PILARES P 118 15.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
3  COLONEL COOPER Jul03 Jun14       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
4  DRILL'S BOY         (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
5  SMOKIN JOE Jul03         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MOBIL out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Jul03         (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
SCR  AIR RAID (GB) Jul03         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
8  MISTER ZAZU Jul03         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
9  AQUAVIT Jul03         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of OAK BAY BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
 
TDN-3   07/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM TUFF Jul01 Jun17       (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
2  BUMPKIN Jul01 May29 May21 Mar25   (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 9% 10.70    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  MOBIL MISSION Jul01 May29 Sep05 Aug15   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH Jul02 Jun10 May20 Nov21 Nov08 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
5  VERNON'S BEST Jun17 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 Jun30 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
6  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Jul01 Jun12       (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of METTEMARLAMELVA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  WEEKEND RETREAT Jul01 May13 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
8  EL CHAPIADOR Jul01 Jun12 May29     (lopez jacinto)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
9  TURKODANCER Jul01 Jun12 May29     (langley joshua)BAEZ M 119 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
10  EQUITY CAT Jul01 May28 May07 Apr09 Mar25 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
11  STRIKING LAD Jul02 Jun12 May28 May07 Nov15 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
12  SWAYBACK MOBIL Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 Apr08 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.50 6% 16.70    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
 
TDN-4   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUN LAP Jun24 Jun13 Jun04 May21 Aug14 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
2  R CARDINAL PRINCE Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
3  MR CLINE Jul05 Jun01 May10 Aug18 Jul19 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO ANGEL Jun22 May30 May09 Feb11 Sep17 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  DISCLOSURE Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  NAPA DUDE Jul09 Jun13 May23 Apr29 Apr09 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00    
7  AULD LANGE SYNE Jun26 May20 May09 Mar20 Jan23 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
8  CENTSOFWANDER Jun26 May22 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARLAY Jul01         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
2  INSTIGATION Jul04 Jun17       (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 3.50 6% 16.10    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
3  FLASHY N Jul04         (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
4  BUCKEYE BLUE Jul01 Jun17       (zielinski richard)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  MY KINDA PARTY Jul04         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50 ★    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
6  LO BUG Jul04         (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
7  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul04 Jun17       (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  SIOFRA Jun17         (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
9  COMPLEXITY GIRL         (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
 
TDN-6   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Jul03 Jun11 May27 May09 Apr23 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
2  BLAZING ZENNA Jul08 Jun13 May30 May04 Mar28 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
3  LA REINA DEL NORTE Jun18 May30 May08 Apr11 Apr03 (rotunno syd)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET BELEN Jul09 May30 May22 Mar28 Mar19 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
5  SABELLE May30 May04 Apr11 Feb05 Dec30 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
6  J P'S GLADYS May08 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  INCESSANT Oct01 Sep06 Aug08 Jul16 Jul03 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSITIVELY Jul03 Jun08 May22     (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 15.00 13% 6.50    
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun12 May27 May07 Feb05 Jan11 (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
3  OUR MAGIC PRINCESS Jun30 Mar21 Jan01 Nov04   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  LIME TREE Jul11 Jun10 May15 Mar23 Feb17 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00    
5  LUNA PRIMAVERA Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr10 Jan24 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
6  LIBERTALIA Mar15 Aug15 Jul04 Jun06 May23 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  CAP IS BACK Jun10 May20 May09 Jun23   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
8  SO TEMPTING May23         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Jun07 May28 May09 Apr08 Mar20 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  WINDY VALLEY Jul04 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
3  MIESHA Jul04 Jun17 May28 Apr28 Mar22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 16% 5.30    
4  LADY ITCH Jun25 Jun09 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
5  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jun18 May24 Apr24 Mar20 Feb24 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
6  STICK AROUND Jun18 May18 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.