Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (3/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (3/7/2/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-4   Win (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (1/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 May30 May20 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAD RIGHT Jun22 May30 May09 Apr29 Apr03 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
MURTAGH Jun25 Jun08 May15 Aug14 Jul19 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
SHELL FIRE Jun19 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Oct31 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
APACHE Jul02 Jun13 May06 Apr25 Apr13 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
SUDDEN SHIFT Jun24 May27 Mar17 Feb19 Jan10 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jun22 Jun08 May18 May09 Apr25 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
FRANCO (MEX) Jul02 Jun13 May23 Apr30 Mar25 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
TDN-2   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUTH N SOUL Jul19 Jun14 May29     (douglass devar)HALDAR J 118 5.00    
PROFESSOR NICK Jul03         (zielinski)PILARES P 118 15.00    
COLONEL COOPER Jul03 Jun14       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
DRILL'S BOY         (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN JOE Jul03         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.00 32% 2.20    
GRETCHENS MANE MAN Jul03         (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
SCR  AIR RAID (GB) Jul03         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
MISTER ZAZU Jul03         (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
AQUAVIT Jul03         (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   07/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM TUFF Jul01 Jun17       (gonzalez donaciano)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
BUMPKIN Jul01 May29 May21 Mar25   (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 9% 10.70    
MOBIL MISSION Jul01 May29 Sep05 Aug15   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH Jul02 Jun10 May20 Nov21 Nov08 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00    
VERNON'S BEST Jun17 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 Jun30 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Jul01 Jun12       (flor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
WEEKEND RETREAT Jul01 May13 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
EL CHAPIADOR Jul01 Jun12 May29     (lopez jacinto)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
TURKODANCER Jul01 Jun12 May29     (langley joshua)BAEZ M 119 20.00    
10  EQUITY CAT Jul01 May28 May07 Apr09 Mar25 (vlaun ma)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
11  STRIKING LAD Jul02 Jun12 May28 May07 Nov15 (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
12  SWAYBACK MOBIL Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 Apr08 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 3.50 6% 16.70    
 
TDN-4   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUN LAP Jun24 Jun13 Jun04 May21 Aug14 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
R CARDINAL PRINCE Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
MR CLINE Jul05 Jun01 May10 Aug18 Jul19 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
NO ANGEL Jun22 May30 May09 Feb11 Sep17 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
DISCLOSURE Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
NAPA DUDE Jul09 Jun13 May23 Apr29 Apr09 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Jun26 May20 May09 Mar20 Jan23 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
CENTSOFWANDER Jun26 May22 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARLAY Jul01         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
INSTIGATION Jul04 Jun17       (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 3.50 6% 16.10    
FLASHY N Jul04         (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUCKEYE BLUE Jul01 Jun17       (zielinski richard)PEREZ A 118 20.00    
MY KINDA PARTY Jul04         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50    
LO BUG Jul04         (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 118 6.00    
SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul04 Jun17       (jackson jame)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00    
SIOFRA Jun17         (wolochuk david)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
COMPLEXITY GIRL         (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-6   07/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAREBACK FUN Jul03 Jun11 May27 May09 Apr23 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
BLAZING ZENNA Jul08 Jun13 May30 May04 Mar28 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
LA REINA DEL NORTE Jun18 May30 May08 Apr11 Apr03 (rotunno sydne)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET BELEN Jul09 May30 May22 Mar28 Mar19 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
SABELLE May30 May04 Apr11 Feb05 Dec30 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
J P'S GLADYS May08 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
INCESSANT Oct01 Sep06 Aug08 Jul16 Jul03 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVELY Jul03 Jun08 May22     (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 15.00 13% 6.50    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun12 May27 May07 Feb05 Jan11 (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
OUR MAGIC PRINCESS Jun30 Mar21 Jan01 Nov04   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
LIME TREE Jul11 Jun10 May15 Mar23 Feb17 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00    
LUNA PRIMAVERA Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr10 Jan24 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
LIBERTALIA Mar15 Aug15 Jul04 Jun06 May23 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
CAP IS BACK Jun10 May20 May09 Jun23   (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
SO TEMPTING May23         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   07/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK'N ON A BUZZ Jun07 May28 May09 Apr08 Mar20 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.80 53% 0.90    
WINDY VALLEY Jul04 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
MIESHA Jul04 Jun17 May28 Apr28 Mar22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 16% 5.30    
LADY ITCH Jun25 Jun09 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 (blackhur)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SHE'S A SOLDIER Jun18 May24 Apr24 Mar20 Feb24 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
STICK AROUND Jun18 May18 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.