Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-6 $22.50 $13.50 150%
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00  5-6-1 $88.70 $70.70 393%
TDN-3   EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $22.80 $10.80 90%
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-5 $19.30 $7.30 61%
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  1-5-5 $68.40 $20.40 43%
TDN-4   PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-5-5 $58.10 $22.10 61%
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $10.30 $4.30 72%
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5-2 $75.10 $69.10 1152%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CRUISER 1 8 54¼ 41¼   1nk 11½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 117 2.50 30% 2.30 0.80 W
3  MIESHA 3 6 32½ 31   3.2 21½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 4.10  
7  COUNTESS COLETTE 7 5 86½ 66¼   57¼ 33½ (fadlovich m)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 29% 2.50 6.10 S
6  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 6 2 2nk 11   2nk 44 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
2  OFFLEE TRICKY 2 4 1nk 21   45¼ 54½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 19% 4.20 4.20  
4  THE KID'S PRAYER 4 7 76¼ 77¾   610¾ 612 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 16.10  
8  MAYBETHEONE 8 1 64¼ 55¼   712¼ 723 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00 34.80  
5  WINDY VALLEY 5 3 44 87¾   815¼ 827 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 55.30  
 
TDN-2   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IT FACTOR 5 4 32½ 21½ 2nk 1nk 12¾ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 49% 1.00 2.80 W
6  PEARLINTHEROUGH 6 3 68 67¼ 76 55¼ 22¾ (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 3.50 17% 4.80 4.80 P
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN 1 1 11 11½ 1nk 2nk 33¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 18.60 5.30 S
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 6 43½ 42½ 33 33½ 44¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 6.30  
3  BEAUTY IN MOTION 3 2 21 31½ 43½ 67¼ 512¾ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 10.50  
4  ELIKA 4 7 53½ 52¾ 54½ 78¾ 616¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 8.40  
7  MAKES SENSE TO ME 7 5 710 79¾ 65½ 43¾ 7100 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 4.00 ★ 2.20  
 
TDN-3   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOASTMASTER 5 3 21½ 22   31 11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 28% 2.50 2.40 W
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  INSTIGATION 7 2 63¼ 42¼   42 21 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00 P
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
2  MY KINDA PARTY 2 5 32 32   2½ 31½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 20.50  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
1  LO BUG 1 6 43 53¾   52 42 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.90 7.10  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
3  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP 3 1 11½ 12   1½ 52¾ (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 12.00 4.90  
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  FLASHY N 4 7 78¼ 78¾   66 67 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 30% 2.30 2.40  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
6  DOLLAR DANCE 6 4 53 67¾   716 725¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 4.20  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  RENEWED               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
 
TDN-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CUE THE BAND 5 2 31½ 2nk   13 15½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 W
3  LADY FORTUNE 3 3 2½ 1nk   23 25½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 2.10  
4  TRULY INCLUSIVE 4 6 613 610¾   48 38½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 20% 4.00 4.60 S
2  TWENTY FOUR KARAT 2 4 1½ 3.2   38 414¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 5.60  
1  HITCH CITY 1 5 42 43¾   510 521 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 36.10  
6  BAY MAGIC 6 1 53 59¾   630 6100 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
 
TDN-5   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS 6 1 31 45½   34½ 1hd (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 6.00 2.30  
5  HENRY THE CAT 5 2 1½ 21½   21½ 2hd (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 2.30  
1  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 1 7 2½ 11½   11½ 31½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 2.00 3.10  
3  OAKEN 3 4 52 56½   56 44½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
7  GOLDEN MONEY 7 3 62¼ 67   67½ 56¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 5.00 27% 2.70 6.30  
4  UPGRADE AL 4 5 74¼ 78   78½ 66¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 14% 6.30 12.90  
2  RUMBLE STRIP RON 2 6 42 35½   46 77 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
 
TDN-6   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:143     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY GIULIANA 6 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 12½ 14½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 2.60  
1  UNESCORTED 1 4 32 63 67 59 24½ (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 22% 3.50 9.60 P
3  ZIPPY ZINNY 3 1 1½ 1½ 31 22½ 34¾ (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 ★ 1.90 S
4  MO RISSA 4 5 52¼ 53 54 47 45½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 13.40  
5  TORREY STREET 5 6 62¼ 31½ 2nk 33½ 56½ (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 117 5.00 4.40  
2  PANOLA 2 2 42 42 43 612½ 620½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 28% 2.60 2.80  
 
TDN-7   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SWEET UNIQUE 3 5 53 53   42½ 11¼ (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.30 W
5  CITY SCENE 4 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 21¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 1.60 41% 1.50 1.30 P
2  OAXACA 2 3 1½ 31½   2½ 32¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 5.00 9% 10.60 8.40 S
1  CORNER KICK 1 6 42 42   53 43½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00 7.50  
6  DANCE MY WAY 5 2 31 2nk   32 53½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 8.00 12.80  
7  SPARKLING JEWEL 6 1 63 63½   64½ 66¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 2.10  
SCR  VARTON               (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
 
TDN-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KELLEHER 3 7 73¾ 31   1nk 16¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 5.60  
5  WOLFINE 5 3 2½ 21   43 26¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 44% 1.30 25.20 P
1  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 1 5 32 41½   54 36½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 4.50 23% 3.30 4.30 S
2  ROLL A QUARTERS 2 6 1½ 11   2nk 47¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 9% 10.20 1.50  
4  HARTSTEIN 4 8 63¾ 51¾   31½ 58½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 6.10  
7  CAVALETTO 7 1 52¼ 62¼   66 611 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 6 4 84 84¾   77½ 711¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 37.00  
8  COLOR BEARER 8 2 42 73¼   88 813¼ (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 3.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.