Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(5/4/6)-(7/3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(7/3/4/2)-(2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/4/2)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/2)-(2/1)-(5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/3/2)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CRUISER Jun18 May30 May20 Mar29 Feb25 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  OFFLEE TRICKY Jul25         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  MIESHA Jun17 May28 Apr28 Mar22 Feb25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
4  THE KID'S PRAYER Jun17 May29 May13 Oct06 Sep21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
5  WINDY VALLEY Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
6  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jun18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  COUNTESS COLETTE Jan11         (fadlovich m)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 29% 2.50    
8  MAYBETHEONE May29 Nov30 Oct28 Sep21 Sep04 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 115 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun17 Jun04 Nov07 Oct31 Oct05 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 5% 18.60    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jun13 May21 Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50    
3  BEAUTY IN MOTION Jun10 May15 Apr25 Dec27 Dec04 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
4  ELIKA Jun17 Nov01 Oct23 Oct05 Sep19 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
5  IT FACTOR Jun13 May20 Apr27 Mar29 Jul27 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
6  PEARLINTHEROUGH Jun17 Jun03 May15 Apr22 Mar20 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
7  MAKES SENSE TO ME Jun17 May06 Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 4.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LO BUG         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
2  MY KINDA PARTY         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
3  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jun17         (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 12.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  FLASHY N         (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of FLASHY G by NOTIONAL)
5  TOASTMASTER Jun17         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 28% 2.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  DOLLAR DANCE         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
7  INSTIGATION Jun17         (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
SCR  RENEWED         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of RENEWAL by OLD TRIESTE)
 
TDN-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH CITY May28 Apr30 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
2  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jun11 May28 Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
3  LADY FORTUNE Jun18 Jun03 May21 May04 Mar06 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
4  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jun03 May04 Mar12 Feb13 Jan24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  CUE THE BAND Jun03 May21 Apr30 Feb13 Jan04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  BAY MAGIC Jun18 Jun10 May18 Apr29 Apr04 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Jun05 May09 Apr13 Jan18 Dec14 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 2.00    
2  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jun12 Apr11 Mar26 Mar18 Mar04 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OAKEN Dec12 Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 Sep27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  UPGRADE AL Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 Sep06 Jul14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 14% 6.30    
5  HENRY THE CAT May23 May01 Feb14 Dec14 Nov20 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS Jun22 Jun12 May23 Apr04 Mar18 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
7  GOLDEN MONEY Jun11 May27 Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-6   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNESCORTED Jun10 Apr25 Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  PANOLA Jun13 Apr28 Mar23 Mar03 Jan21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  ZIPPY ZINNY Jun13 May20 Mar15 Feb28 Feb14 (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 ★    
4  MO RISSA Jun24 Jun10 May15 Jan03 Dec05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
5  TORREY STREET Jun13 May30 May08 Apr21 Mar28 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 117 5.00    
6  LADY GIULIANA Jun13 May20 May01 Nov16 Oct31 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-7   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNER KICK Jun10 May18 Dec13 Oct22 Sep29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
2  OAXACA Jun10 May18 Apr24 Feb28 Feb06 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 5.00 9% 10.60    
3  SWEET UNIQUE Jun07 May13 Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  VARTON May27 May08 Apr19 Mar01 Feb09 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
5  CITY SCENE Jun03 May14 Apr24 Oct28 Aug12 (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 1.60 41% 1.50    
6  DANCE MY WAY Jun04 May13 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 8.00    
7  SPARKLING JEWEL Jun07 May18 Nov20 Oct28 Oct05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Jun18 May30 Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  ROLL A QUARTERS Jun08 May04 Apr23     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 9% 10.20    
3  KELLEHER May30 May01 Apr11 Mar08 Jan23 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50    
4  HARTSTEIN Jun05 May08 Apr24 Apr03 Jan30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
5  WOLFINE Jun18 Apr24 Oct10 Oct03 Sep15 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 44% 1.30    
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Jun18 Jun08 May15 Oct30 Oct10 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
7  CAVALETTO Jun18 May15 Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COLOR BEARER Jun05 May08 Apr24 Feb14 Dec14 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.