The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TDN-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
TDN-3   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
TDN-4   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TDN-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 1.60
TDN-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
TDN-7   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
TDN-8   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/08/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPPING FISH 4 3 43 32   32 1¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 W
SHADOW TRACER 5 1 21 2nk   1nk 2¼ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 8.30  
IAN GLASS 2 6 5 54   44 3¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.00 S
GOING IN STYLE 1 5 11 1nk   2nk 4 (bailey ricardo)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5.80  
ROCKSTAR RO 6 2 66 6   5 5 (bail)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 18% 4.70 1.90  
DAVID'S GEM 3 4 3 4   6 6 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 7.10  
 
TDN-2   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGER MCQUEEN 1 4 4 42   11 12 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 1.30 W
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 5 5 5   3 22 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 35% 1.80 3.40 P
MARLEY LUCK 2 3 1 2nk   21 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 1.60 1.30  
LEOMBRUNO 5 1 2 31   5 4 (shanyfelt valerie )RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.10 12.30  
COMPASS POINT 3 2 3 1nk   4 5 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00 13.20  
 
TDN-3   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARTON 6 1 1 14   1 13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 64% 0.60 0.30 W
J P'S GLADYS 4 3 2 24   2 23 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 13% 6.50 5.10 P
FRANKLY MY DEAR 2 5 5 36   35 34 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50 4.70  
TONALA 1 6 616½ 615   69 4 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 23.10  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 5 2 46 58   4 56 (rotunno sy)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
SKY 3 4 36 48   57 6 (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00 21.90  
 
TDN-4   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:02     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL DIAMOND 2 1 11 1½   13 18 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 W
BOLD RUBY 3 2 21 2½   23 28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 0.60  
MI CANCION 1 3 3 3   310 314 (erdel john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
SCR  BLUE MOJITO               (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 10.00    
SCR  VERTISALUTE               (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 4 1 1 11   1 1½ (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.80 W
MCGRAW 3 2 3 21   2 2½ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 121 3.00 2.10  
VISUAL MISSION 1 4 44 33   34 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.60 3.00 S
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 3 2 43   4 47 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00 9.00  
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE               (bailey ricardo)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:17     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORREY STREET 4 2 1nk 2nk 1½ 12 1¾ (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 1.30  
FLATTERING HEART 3 4 31 31 2½ 22 2¾ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 8% 11.40 2.40 P
CRY IF I WANT TO 1 3 4 4 31 3 32 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 1.40  
QUICKSTYLE 2 1 2nk 1nk 43 4 4 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 9.40  
SCR  BULLS N BERRY               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
SCR  REMEMBERING               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
TDN-7   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST 6 2 2 2nk   1½ 1 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.40 W
HARTSTEIN 5 3 32 3   3 2 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 4.70  
FLAG RAISER 7 1 1 1nk   2½ 35 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
COLOR BEARER 1 6 43 4   4 4 (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 4.10  
ONE STEP ASIDE 4 4 79 6   5 59 (dacosta ja)FERNANDEZ R 117 2.50 25% 3.00 15.00  
ORVILLE B 2 7 5 5   612 617 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 22.80  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 3 5 6 710   712 718 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 25.80  
 
TDN-8   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 5 1 11 1½   12 1 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 53% 0.90 0.20 W
MAC'S CAILIN 4 3 21 2½   22 2 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 23.30  
WINGS OF HEAVEN 1 4 5 3   36 3 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 13.90  
THIRTY SOMETHING 3 2 3 46   4 410½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
GEMSHINE 2 5 43 58   513½ 521 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30  
SCR  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA               (maddox rachae)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50    
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY               (doering mark)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.