Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-2   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $7.40 $1.40 23%
TDN-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00  5 $3.60 $1.60 80%
    DD (3/2)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-5 $6.70 $4.70 235%
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/2)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-5 $7.40 $1.40 23%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPPING FISH 4 3 43 32   32 1¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 W
SHADOW TRACER 5 1 21 2nk   1nk 2¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 8.30  
IAN GLASS 2 6 5 54   44 3¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.00 S
GOING IN STYLE 1 5 11 1nk   2nk 4 (bailey ricard)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5.80  
ROCKSTAR RO 6 2 66 6   5 5 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 18% 4.70 1.90  
DAVID'S GEM 3 4 3 4   6 6 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 7.10  
 
TDN-2   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGER MCQUEEN 1 4 4 42   11 12 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 1.30 W
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 5 5 5   3 22 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 35% 1.80 3.40 P
MARLEY LUCK 2 3 1 2nk   21 3 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 1.60 1.30  
LEOMBRUNO 5 1 2 31   5 4 (shanyfelt valeri)RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.10 12.30  
COMPASS POINT 3 2 3 1nk   4 5 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00 13.20  
 
TDN-3   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VARTON 6 1 1 14   1 13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 64% 0.60 0.30 W
J P'S GLADYS 4 3 2 24   2 23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 13% 6.50 5.10 P
FRANKLY MY DEAR 2 5 5 36   35 34 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50 4.70  
TONALA 1 6 616½ 615   69 4 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 23.10  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 5 2 46 58   4 56 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
SKY 3 4 36 48   57 6 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00 21.90  
 
TDN-4   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:02     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL DIAMOND 2 1 11 1½   13 18 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
BOLD RUBY 3 2 21 2½   23 28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60 0.60  
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
MI CANCION 1 3 3 3   310 314 (erdel john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  BLUE MOJITO               (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of ROCK HARD CANDY by RICHTER SCALE)
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 10.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
SCR  VERTISALUTE               (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
TDN-5   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 4 1 1 11   1 1½ (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.80 W
MCGRAW 3 2 3 21   2 2½ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 3.00 2.10  
VISUAL MISSION 1 4 44 33   34 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.60 3.00 S
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 3 2 43   4 47 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00 9.00  
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE               (bailey ricard)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:17     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORREY STREET 4 2 1nk 2nk 1½ 12 1¾ (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 1.30  
  (by KANTHAROS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FLATTERING HEART 3 4 31 31 2½ 22 2¾ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 32% 2.20 2.40 P
  (by FLATTER out of HEART D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CRY IF I WANT TO 1 3 4 4 31 3 32 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 1.40  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
QUICKSTYLE 2 1 2nk 1nk 43 4 4 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
SCR  BULLS N BERRY               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
SCR  REMEMBERING               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
TDN-7   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST 6 2 2 2nk   1½ 1 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.40 W
HARTSTEIN 5 3 32 3   3 2 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 4.70  
FLAG RAISER 7 1 1 1nk   2½ 35 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.30 S
COLOR BEARER 1 6 43 4   4 4 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 4.10  
ONE STEP ASIDE 4 4 79 6   5 59 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 117 2.50 25% 3.00 15.00  
ORVILLE B 2 7 5 5   612 617 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 22.80  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 3 5 6 710   712 718 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00 25.80  
 
TDN-8   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 5 1 11 1½   12 1 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 53% 0.90 0.20 W
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
MAC'S CAILIN 4 3 21 2½   22 2 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 23.30  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
WINGS OF HEAVEN 1 4 5 3   36 3 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 13.90  
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
THIRTY SOMETHING 3 2 3 46   4 410½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
GEMSHINE 2 5 43 58   513½ 521 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30  
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
SCR  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA               (maddox rach)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY               (doering mar)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.