Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(4/5/1)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/4/5)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/2)-(5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/3)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/4/7)-(7/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING IN STYLE Apr22 Mar28 Mar19 Mar06 Feb15 (bailey ricard)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
2  IAN GLASS Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb02 Jan05 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DAVID'S GEM Apr08 Mar19 Feb06 Jan15 Nov29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00    
4  FLIPPING FISH Mar06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  SHADOW TRACER Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 Jul26 Jun21 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
6  ROCKSTAR RO Mar28 Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
TDN-2   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGER MCQUEEN Apr13 Mar13 Feb23 Jan24 Dec20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MARLEY LUCK Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 1.60    
3  COMPASS POINT Apr25 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb14 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Jan08 Dec12 Nov06 Oct21 Sep26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
5  LEOMBRUNO Aug24 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun15 (shanyfelt valeri)RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-3   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONALA Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 Jan01 Dec11 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
2  FRANKLY MY DEAR Apr11 Mar28 Mar05 Feb19 Feb07 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
3  SKY Apr23 Apr10 Dec12 Nov13 Nov06 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00    
4  J P'S GLADYS Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 Dec27 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  LA REINA DEL NORTE Apr11 Apr03 Mar17 Mar05 Feb19 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  VARTON Apr19 Mar01 Feb09 Dec22 Nov15 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
TDN-4   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLD NICKY Feb19 Jan23 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 10.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
2  MI CANCION Feb19 Dec11 Nov22 Nov07 Oct04 (erdel john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
3  NATIONAL DIAMOND Apr22 Oct10       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
SCR  BLUE MOJITO         (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of ROCK HARD CANDY by RICHTER SCALE)
5  BOLD RUBY Apr24 Dec13       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.60    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  VERTISALUTE Oct10         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
TDN-5   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MISSION Apr22 Apr04 Mar14 Mar06 Feb14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.60 ★    
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Apr24 Apr01 Mar11 Feb27 Dec19 (bailey ricard)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
3  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Apr23 Apr02 Mar13 Mar06 Feb06 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00    
4  MCGRAW Apr01 Jan31 Jan01 Sep23 Aug12 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 3.00    
5  MUTINY Apr22 Apr04 Mar25 Mar11 Feb29 (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
 
TDN-6   05/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REMEMBERING Feb15 Jan24 Dec13 Oct13 Sep14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  CRY IF I WANT TO Apr21 Mar29 Mar14 Feb18 Feb04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of HIGH CRY by STREET CRY)
3  QUICKSTYLE Apr02 Mar07 Feb15 Feb06 Dec13 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of SIMPLISTIC by ANDROMEDA'S HERO)
4  FLATTERING HEART Dec29 Dec01 Nov01     (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 32% 2.20    
  (by FLATTER out of HEART D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BULLS N BERRY Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Apr13   (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
6  TORREY STREET Apr21 Mar28 Mar02 Feb17   (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TDN-7   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOR BEARER Apr24 Feb14 Dec14 Nov14 Oct24 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
2  ORVILLE B Mar18 Jan24 Dec26 Nov22 Oct24 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
3  RIVERS OF DENIRO Mar18 Feb26 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00    
4  ONE STEP ASIDE Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 Feb01 Jan23 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  HARTSTEIN Apr24 Apr03 Jan30 Jan09 Dec21 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
6  EAGLE NEST Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  FLAG RAISER Mar18 Feb14 Aug26 Aug12 Jul25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   05/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS OF HEAVEN Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Feb19 Feb07 Jan23 Dec20   (maddox rach)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3  GEMSHINE Dec20 Nov22       (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 Nov28 (doering mar)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  THIRTY SOMETHING Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 Nov28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
6  MAC'S CAILIN Nov28 Nov14 Oct10     (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
7  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.