Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $29.10 $17.10 143%
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-4-7 $139.90 $115.90 483%
    SFT (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-4-7-5 $22.04 $19.64 818%
TDN-2   EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3-6 $77.20 $71.20 1187%
    DD (7/5/6/4)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $22.90 $10.90 91%
TDN-8   EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $25.40 $13.40 112%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUE THE BAND 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 8% 11.70 5.20 W
LADY FORTUNE 4 5 3 31   3 2 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 S
OUT MY DEAR 5 2 4 45   5 4 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 2.50  
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 6 5 5   4 5 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10.30  
CARMEN OHIO 3 4 6 6   6 6 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 24.40  
SOLE FACTOR 2 7 7 711¼   710¾ 716½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 41.50  
 
TDN-2   05/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWEARSMYRING 4 3 35 3 32 2½ 11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 34% 1.90 1.70 W
LIAM'S LASS 3 4 14 1 12 1½ 21 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 26% 2.90 2.70 P
GRACIE DANCE 6 2 4 4 43 44 3 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 5 1 24 2 22 3 4 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.50 4.20  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 6 6 6 56 56 5 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 30.80  
DELOVELY 1 5 57 5 67 610 617½ (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50 2.70  
 
TDN-3   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORLEANS STORM 5 6 1½ 11   1 1½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 2.30  
BIG TIME FLIRT 1 3 42 32   4 2½ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 22% 3.60 4.30 P
MY HOMBRE 4 1 2½ 21   2 3 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 S
PLAYING BALL 3 5 6 6   3 4 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
KETTLE KING 2 4 5 53   6 53 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 15.90  
AGNELLO CITY 6 2 32 42   5 6 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 3.30  
SCR  LUCKY VICTOR               (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SNOW 7 3 4 4¾   1nk 1¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 12% 7.50 3.10 DQ↓2
JIMMY JUNGA 1 5 12 1½   2nk 2¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 6% 15.20 1.20 W
TURBO TRIP 2 6 22 2½   34 3 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 6.00 16.50  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 8 4 6 5   46 4 (genovese ri)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 23.60  
HEY HEY GOODBYE 4 8 7 8   5 5 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00 51% 1.00 10.20  
BIG POPPER 3 9 98 9   68 6 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 4.60  
ALWAYS SPRING 9 1 84 6   7 712½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
BOOYAH 6 2 5 73   8 813½ (urieta joh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 11% 8.40 6.90  
CAMILAS WARRIOR 5 7 3 3½   9 915¾ (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 54.40  
 
TDN-5   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGICO 1 6 44 3   3.2 13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 1.60  
GOING IN STYLE 2 4 11 1½   1nk 23 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 3.10  
GUN LAP 4 3 21 2½   2nk 3 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7.60  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 2 54 6   5 4 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 29% 2.40 5.50  
GOOD ON YA 3 5 6 4   4 58 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 22% 3.60 3.60  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 6 1 32 5   6 610 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  IRISH UNITY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLIAN 4 2 4 1nk   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 10% 9.40 3.10 W
SOCIAL HISTORY 6 1 53 5   32 2 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00 1.40  
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 8 8 77 7   5 3 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 6.00 8.90  
MOMMA K'S BOY 1 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 4 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
SADIE'S SILVER KID 5 5 8 6   66 59 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 18% 4.70 15.10  
MOMENT IN THE DARK 3 3 1½ 3.2   44 610 (bookman do)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 45.50  
INDY CARR 2 7 67 8   79 711¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 21.40  
SOULLESS 7 4 31 4¾   810 822¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 50% 1.00 2.80  
 
TDN-7   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NAUGHTY 7 2 2nk 1nk   1 1 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 3.00 0.50  
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 3 6 42 32   2 2 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 1.90  
EL BANDIDO 1 5 7 712   5 3 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 66.30  
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 2 8 69 6   6 4 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00 23% 3.30 25.80  
AURA OF GOLD 5 4 55 55   4 5 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 26.50  
DESTINO 4 7 8 813½   710¼ 6 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 59.80  
BRION 6 3 1nk 2nk   3 713½ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 7% 14.10 40.30  
COURTHOUSE COVE 8 1 3 43   812¼ 820¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 43% 1.40 8.10  
SCR  ONASA               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50    
 
TDN-8   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK QUICK WHIT 2 5 4 42   22 1 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 2.50 17% 4.80 1.30 W
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
MEXITEXAFORNIA 8 1 1nk 1½   12 2 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40 P
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
LORD MARXMAN 6 4 6 79   67 3 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00 32.20  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
TAP VALLEY 7 2 3.2 2½   3 4 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 5.70  
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASHCONSIDERATIONS by SUPER SAVER)
IT'S ABOUT TIME 4 8 814¾ 811   77 57 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 37% 1.70 3.10  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHUT IT UP by VIOLENCE)
SKYPASS 5 6 5 68   8 6 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 9% 9.80 7.00  
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
PANTHERA'S FATE 3 3 2nk 3½   45 712 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5.60  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SENECA DESTINY by SENECA JONES)
BUMPKIN 1 7 7 5   5 813¾ (langley joshua)DIAZ I 119 12.00 17.80  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.