Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - May 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
TDN-2   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-3   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-4   Win (4/7/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-5   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
TDN-6   Win (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
TDN-7   Win (9/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $3.00  
TDN-8   Win (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUE THE BAND 6 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 8% 11.70 5.20 W
LADY FORTUNE 4 5 3 31   3 2 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 S
OUT MY DEAR 5 2 4 45   5 4 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 2.50  
CAUSE OF LOVE 1 6 5 5   4 5 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10.30  
CARMEN OHIO 3 4 6 6   6 6 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 24.40  
SOLE FACTOR 2 7 7 711¼   710¾ 716½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 41.50  
 
TDN-2   05/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWEARSMYRING 4 3 35 3 32 2½ 11 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 34% 1.90 1.70 W
LIAM'S LASS 3 4 14 1 12 1½ 21 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 26% 2.90 2.70 P
GRACIE DANCE 6 2 4 4 43 44 3 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
SICILIAN STYLE TWO 5 1 24 2 22 3 4 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.50 4.20  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 6 6 6 56 56 5 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 30.80  
DELOVELY 1 5 57 5 67 610 617½ (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50 2.70  
 
TDN-3   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORLEANS STORM 5 6 1½ 11   1 1½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 2.30  
BIG TIME FLIRT 1 3 42 32   4 2½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 22% 3.60 4.30 P
MY HOMBRE 4 1 2½ 21   2 3 (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 S
PLAYING BALL 3 5 6 6   3 4 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
KETTLE KING 2 4 5 53   6 53 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 15.90  
AGNELLO CITY 6 2 32 42   5 6 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 3.30  
SCR  LUCKY VICTOR               (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SNOW 7 3 4 4¾   1nk 1¼ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 12% 7.50 3.10 DQ↓2
JIMMY JUNGA 1 5 12 1½   2nk 2¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 6% 15.20 1.20 W
TURBO TRIP 2 6 22 2½   34 3 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 6.00 16.50  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 8 4 6 5   46 4 (genovese rich)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00 23.60  
HEY HEY GOODBYE 4 8 7 8   5 5 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 6.00 51% 1.00 10.20  
BIG POPPER 3 9 98 9   68 6 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 4.60  
ALWAYS SPRING 9 1 84 6   7 712½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
BOOYAH 6 2 5 73   8 813½ (urieta johan)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 11% 8.40 6.90  
CAMILAS WARRIOR 5 7 3 3½   9 915¾ (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 54.40  
 
TDN-5   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGICO 1 6 44 3   3.2 13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 1.60  
GOING IN STYLE 2 4 11 1½   1nk 23 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 3.10  
GUN LAP 4 3 21 2½   2nk 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7.60  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 2 54 6   5 4 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 29% 2.40 5.50  
GOOD ON YA 3 5 6 4   4 58 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 22% 3.60 3.60  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 6 1 32 5   6 610 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  IRISH UNITY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLIAN 4 2 4 1nk   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 10% 9.40 3.10 W
SOCIAL HISTORY 6 1 53 5   32 2 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00 1.40  
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 8 8 77 7   5 3 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 6.00 8.90  
MOMMA K'S BOY 1 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 4 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
SADIE'S SILVER KID 5 5 8 6   66 59 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 18% 4.70 15.10  
MOMENT IN THE DARK 3 3 1½ 3.2   44 610 (bookman dona)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 45.50  
INDY CARR 2 7 67 8   79 711¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 21.40  
SOULLESS 7 4 31 4¾   810 822¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 50% 1.00 2.80  
 
TDN-7   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NAUGHTY 7 2 2nk 1nk   1 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 3.00 0.50  
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 3 6 42 32   2 2 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 1.90  
EL BANDIDO 1 5 7 712   5 3 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 66.30  
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 2 8 69 6   6 4 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00 23% 3.30 25.80  
AURA OF GOLD 5 4 55 55   4 5 (madrigal r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 26.50  
DESTINO 4 7 8 813½   710¼ 6 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 59.80  
BRION 6 3 1nk 2nk   3 713½ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 7% 14.10 40.30  
COURTHOUSE COVE 8 1 3 43   812¼ 820¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 43% 1.40 8.10  
SCR  ONASA               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50    
 
TDN-8   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK QUICK WHIT 2 5 4 42   22 1 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 2.50 17% 4.80 1.30 W
MEXITEXAFORNIA 8 1 1nk 1½   12 2 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40 P
LORD MARXMAN 6 4 6 79   67 3 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00 32.20  
TAP VALLEY 7 2 3.2 2½   3 4 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 5.70  
IT'S ABOUT TIME 4 8 814¾ 811   77 57 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 37% 1.70 3.10  
SKYPASS 5 6 5 68   8 6 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 9% 9.80 7.00  
PANTHERA'S FATE 3 3 2nk 3½   45 712 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5.60  
BUMPKIN 1 7 7 5   5 813¾ (langley joshua)DIAZ I 119 12.00 17.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.