Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/4)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/4)-(4/3/6)-(4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/1/3)-(4/7/6/1/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/7/6/1/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/7/6/1/9)-(6/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/7/6/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1/9)-(4/7/6/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1/9)-(4/7/6/1/9)-(4/7/6/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1/9)-(6/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/1/9)-(6/4/7)-(7/5/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(7/5/4/1)-(9/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/1)-(9/2/7)-(4/2/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/7)-(9/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/7)-(9/2/7/6)-(9/2/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (9/2/7)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE OF LOVE May13 Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 Feb13 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
2  SOLE FACTOR Apr30 Apr11 Nov02 Sep18 Aug07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
3  CARMEN OHIO Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
4  LADY FORTUNE May04 Mar06 Feb27 Feb13 Jan24 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUT MY DEAR Oct10 Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  CUE THE BAND Apr30 Feb13 Jan04 Jul13 Jun24 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 8% 11.70    
7  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Oct10 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-2   05/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELOVELY May01 Apr08 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
3  LIAM'S LASS Jan13 Dec19 Nov21 Oct15 Sep12 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
4  SHEWEARSMYRING Apr25 Apr13 Mar13 Mar04 Feb28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Apr25 Jan04 Dec19 Dec07 Nov16 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
6  GRACIE DANCE Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 Jul03 Jun10 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME FLIRT May01 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
2  KETTLE KING Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 10.00    
3  PLAYING BALL Apr30 Mar14 Feb29 Feb08 Jan24 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY HOMBRE May07 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  LUCKY VICTOR May06 Apr22 Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 1.80    
6  ORLEANS STORM May07 Apr24 Mar25 Mar13 Mar04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
7  AGNELLO CITY Apr30 Feb26 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
 
TDN-4   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY JUNGA May07 Oct23 Sep06     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 6% 15.20    
2  TURBO TRIP May07         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 6.00    
3  BIG POPPER Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
4  HEY HEY GOODBYE May01 Mar14       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00 51% 1.00    
5  CAMILAS WARRIOR May01 Mar28 Mar04 Dec06 Nov26 (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
6  BOOYAH Jan12 Oct13 Sep05 Aug11 Jun21 (urieta joh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 11% 8.40    
7  MO SNOW May01 Apr13 Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
8  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY May01 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 Sep21 (genovese ri)PETERSON FERRIN 123 12.00    
9  ALWAYS SPRING May07 Jul10 Jun20 May29 May11 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOGICO Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan01 Nov25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
2  GOING IN STYLE May08 Apr22 Mar28 Mar19 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
SCR  IRISH UNITY May01 Nov01 Oct19 Oct02 Aug29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
4  GOOD ON YA Jan27 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 Nov01 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  GUN LAP Aug14 Jul04 May30 May11 Apr26 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 Dec04 Nov20 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Apr29 Jan30 Dec30 Dec20 Nov21 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA K'S BOY May01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul06   (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  INDY CARR Apr11 Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 Nov08 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
3  MOMENT IN THE DARK May01 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb07 (bookman do)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
4  VILLIAN Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 10% 9.40    
5  SADIE'S SILVER KID Oct28         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  SOCIAL HISTORY May01 Feb08 Jan24 Dec21 Nov15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00    
7  SOULLESS Apr22         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Apr11 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BANDIDO May07 Apr03 Mar19 Mar11 Mar04 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
2  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF May07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb06 Dec20 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 10.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ONASA Jul20 Jun24 Mar26 Mar09 Jan21 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50    
4  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY May07 Apr14 Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
5  DESTINO May07 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 Feb15 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
6  AURA OF GOLD May07 Apr03 Jan24 Nov09 Sep03 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 ★    
7  BRION Jan01 Dec21 Dec02 Nov11 May28 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 7% 14.10    
8  REAL NAUGHTY Apr23 Apr01 Feb29 Feb17 Jan12 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 3.00    
9  COURTHOUSE COVE Aug12 Jun17 Apr15 Mar09 Feb26 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 43% 1.40    
 
TDN-8   05/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley joshua)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  QUICK QUICK WHIT Apr29 Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 Dec18 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
3  PANTHERA'S FATE Apr29 Jul28 Jun10     (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SENECA DESTINY by SENECA JONES)
4  IT'S ABOUT TIME Mar03         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHUT IT UP by VIOLENCE)
5  SKYPASS Mar24 Feb06 Jan25 Nov07 Oct24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 9% 9.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
6  LORD MARXMAN         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
7  TAP VALLEY Apr20 Mar28 Feb23 Aug30 Jun30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASHCONSIDERATIONS by SUPER SAVER)
8  MEXITEXAFORNIA Apr29 Apr01 Mar14 Oct23 Sep28 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.