The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
TDN-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TDN-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.20 -4.00
TDN-4   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
TDN-5   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
TDN-6   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 2.00
TDN-7   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TDN-8   Win (5/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
TDN-9   Win (2/8/13/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $26.00 $26.00 16.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICUREAN 6 3 11 1   12 1 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 30% 2.30 0.40 W
MISS SHADY 4 4 32 2   22 2 (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 12% 7.60 4.10 P
LA CUMPARSITA 3 5 42 4   44 3 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 22.90  
ROSY APPLE 7 1 7 6   66 4 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 16.00  
MISS OVER THERE 2 6 6 5   5 5 (mann)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 43.00  
MISS FUSSY PANTS 5 2 21 3   32 6 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 33% 2.10 5.00  
SIERRA DIAMOND 1 7 53 7   711 714¼ (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
SCR  SKY               (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00    
 
TDN-2   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABELLE 3 3 12 1   1½ 1½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 22% 3.50 2.30 W
LILAC LACE 2 6 5 3   3 2½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 38% 1.60 4.00 P
BLAZING ZENNA 5 4 33 4   4 3 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 5% 19.00 26.40 S
MAGICGIRL 6 1 22 2   2½ 43 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 1.00  
SWEET EMPIRE 4 2 43 53   52 5 (radcliff l)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 36.90  
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 1 5 6 68   66 6 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 5.00  
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
 
TDN-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICHOLAS JAMES 4 2 3 3.2   12 1 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 3.00 1.60  
MAS ORO 2 3 2nk 1nk   22 2 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5.40  
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 3 1 4 4   33 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 S
LAKE SHORE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 2nk   45 410½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 62% 0.60 1.00  
SCR  FAT DADDY               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:14     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 3 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 11 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 31% 2.30 0.50 W
SWELTER 5 2 21 21 2nk 2nk 21 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 6.50  
CAMBIASO 2 4 54 4 3 3 3 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00 8.00  
BOSS BEAR 4 5 4 32 44 4 412 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.40  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 3 3 54 5 5 517¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 6% 15.90 15.70  
SCR  EXALTED JOY               (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
 
TDN-5   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISCAYNE BAY 2 4 1½ 1½ 11 12 1¼ (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 2.20 DQ↓2
POWER BANKER 5 3 2½ 2½ 21 22 2¼ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 2.00 22% 3.60 1.60 W
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 1 5 5 45 35 34 3 (huffman candace)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 2.70  
OUT FOR FUN 3 2 4 34 4 46 4 (bailey ricardo)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 6.00 4.60  
CATABOUT 4 1 3 56 5 57 5 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY 5 1 11 12   14 1 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00 2.00 W
TRULY INCLUSIVE 4 2 3 33   24 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.00 61% 0.60 4.00 P
KISS ME QUICK 3 3 43 45   4 38 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 1.10  
LADY FORTUNE 1 4 21 22   36 410 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 4.50  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 5 5 5   512½ 513¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 18.50  
SCR  LADY ABRIL               (huffman candace)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON MOUSSE 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 4.00 15% 5.70 2.70 W
MOBIL LADY 3 4 45 45   3 2 (meyers shane)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
KICHI KITSU 4 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.50 S
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 5 2 31 34   47 410½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 22.30  
EXPRESS FASHION 2 5 56 5   5 512 (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 20.90  
BOSSY LADY 1 6 67 6   611 614¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 6.20  
 
TDN-8   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL DIRECT 5 6 42 3.2   2nk 11 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
10  BLUE NOMORE 9 1 5 5   5 21 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 13.00  
FACT NOT FICTION 8 2 21 2nk   1nk 32 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 6% 14.80 19.40 S
EKATI'S WAY 1 9 7 6   4 4 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 20.00 6% 15.60 2.80  
ROMANIAN PRINCE 3 4 3 4¾   31 5 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 117 6.00 10.50  
REIGNING DREAM 7 10 6 7   6 6 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 10.50  
11  SPIRIT OF AKRON 10 7 86 86   8 7 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 39.00  
MAILS HERE 2 8 98 910   9 814¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 12.00 42.60  
ROLL A QUARTERS 6 3 11 1nk   7 915½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.00 20% 4.00 7.30  
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 4 5 109 1010½   1011¼ 1018¼ (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 60.40  
SCR  RAY'S EMPIRE               (szczepanski em)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 30.00    
 
TDN-9   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOESTER 6 7 84 5   1½ 14 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00 W
OKLAHOMA JOE 8 1 5 3½   2½ 24 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 15% 5.90 8.70 P
EXCITEMENT 2 5 6 7   53 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 42% 1.40 2.70 S
11  THAT'S THE WAY 11 3 9 9   7 4 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 117 10.00 20.50  
REINVESTEDINTEREST 4 6 4¾ 6   63 5 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 117 10.00 1.90  
13  RELISH THE RIDE 12 11 117 115   10 68 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 9% 10.10 6.20  
MANGA MAN 5 12 1211 128   11 79 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 15.00 35.20  
THEDAYOFTHEGREY 3 4 3½ 1nk   31 8 (cline ro)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 15.90  
PROSECUTOR 9 8 1nk 2nk   4 9 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 121 5.00 12.10  
DANEFIELD 1 9 7 8   9 1010¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 117 6.00 7% 13.10 20.10  
10  MISTER MOBIL 10 10 107 10   8 1111 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 117 30.00 50.70  
FIRST SONG 7 2 2nk 4¾   12 1219¼ (rivera nestor)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 30.00 42.00  
SCR  MIDNIGHT MIKEY               (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.