Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $11.30 $5.30 88%
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2-6 $76.70 $70.70 1178%
TDN-5   EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $7.10 $1.10 18%
TDN-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    EXA (5/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-5 $8.60 $4.60 115%
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-6 $21.50 $15.50 258%
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $18.30 $12.30 205%
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-4 $39.80 $33.80 563%
    DD (5/6)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-6 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/6)-(4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-6-6 $45.10 $27.10 151%
TDN-8   DD (4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $14.70 $2.70 23%
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-6-5 $27.50 $3.50 15%
TDN-9   WIN (2/8/13/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $26.00 $16.00 160%
    EXA (2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-8 $112.10 $92.10 461%
    TRI (2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-8-2 $599.60 $539.60 899%
    DD (5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-6 $38.10 $18.10 91%
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-5-6 $146.10 $86.10 144%
    PK4 (5/6)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 120 $0.50 $60.00  6-6-5/7-6 $619.05 $559.05 932%
    PK5 (3/6/5)-(5/6)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 360 $0.50 $180  2/6-6-6-5/7-6 $690.00 $510.00 283%
    PK6 (4/3/1)-(3/6/5)-(5/6)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 1080 $0.20 $216  3/5-2/6-6-6-5/7-6 $512.80 $296.80 137%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EPICUREAN 6 3 11 11½   12 13¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 30% 2.30 0.40 W
5  MISS SHADY 4 4 32 21½   22 23¼ (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 12% 7.60 4.10 P
4  LA CUMPARSITA 3 5 42 42½   44 35½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 22.90  
8  ROSY APPLE 7 1 73¾ 64¾   66 46½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 16.00  
3  MISS OVER THERE 2 6 63¼ 54½   54½ 56¾ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 43.00  
6  MISS FUSSY PANTS 5 2 21 31½   32 67½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 33% 2.10 5.00  
2  SIERRA DIAMOND 1 7 53 77¼   711 714¼ (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
SCR  SKY               (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00    
 
TDN-2   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SABELLE 3 3 12 11½   1½ 1½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 22% 3.50 2.30 W
2  LILAC LACE 2 6 53¼ 31½   31½ 2½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 38% 1.60 4.00 P
6  BLAZING ZENNA 5 4 33 42½   41½ 32¾ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 5% 19.00 26.40 S
7  MAGICGIRL 6 1 22 21½   2½ 43 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 1.00  
5  SWEET EMPIRE 4 2 43 53   52 57¼ (radcliff donald )AVILES YAN 123 15.00 36.90  
1  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 1 5 67¼ 68   66 67¾ (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 5.00  
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
 
TDN-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NICHOLAS JAMES 4 2 31½ 3.2   12 11¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00 1.60  
2  MAS ORO 2 3 2nk 1nk   22 21¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5.40  
3  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 3 1 41¾ 41¾   33 32¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 S
1  LAKE SHORE DRIVE 1 4 1nk 2nk   45 410½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 62% 0.60 1.00  
SCR  FAT DADDY               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:14     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 3 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 11 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 31% 2.30 0.50 W
6  SWELTER 5 2 21 21 2nk 2nk 21 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 6.50  
2  CAMBIASO 2 4 54 42½ 32½ 32½ 35½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00 8.00  
4  BOSS BEAR 4 5 42½ 32 44 45½ 412 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 3.00 36% 1.80 2.40  
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 3 32½ 54 57½ 59½ 517¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 6% 15.90 15.70  
SCR  EXALTED JOY               (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
 
TDN-5   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134     1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BISCAYNE BAY 2 4 1½ 1½ 11 12 1¼ (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 2.20 DQ↓2
6  POWER BANKER 5 3 2½ 2½ 21 22 2¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.00 22% 3.60 1.60 W
1  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 1 5 53½ 45 35 34 31¾ (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 2.70  
4  OUT FOR FUN 3 2 42½ 34 45½ 46 47½ (bailey ricar)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 6.00 4.60  
5  CATABOUT 4 1 32½ 56 59½ 57 59¼ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRETTY PATTY 5 1 11 12   14 16¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00 2.00 W
5  TRULY INCLUSIVE 4 2 32½ 33   24 26¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.00 61% 0.60 4.00 P
4  KISS ME QUICK 3 3 43 45   47½ 38 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 1.10  
1  LADY FORTUNE 1 4 21 22   36 410 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 ★ 4.50  
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 5 59½ 59½   512½ 513¾ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 18.50  
SCR  LADY ABRIL               (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEMON MOUSSE 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 14¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.00 15% 5.70 2.70 W
3  MOBIL LADY 3 4 45 45   35½ 24¼ (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
4  KICHI KITSU 4 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 35¾ (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.50 S
5  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 5 2 31 34   47 410½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 22.30  
2  EXPRESS FASHION 2 5 56 57½   58½ 512 (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 20.90  
1  BOSSY LADY 1 6 67 69½   611 614¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 6.20  
 
TDN-8   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DIAL DIRECT 5 6 42 3.2   2nk 11 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
10  BLUE NOMORE 9 1 53½ 52¼   51¾ 21 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 13.00  
9  FACT NOT FICTION 8 2 21 2nk   1nk 32 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 6% 14.80 19.40 S
1  EKATI'S WAY 1 9 74½ 62¼   41¼ 42½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 20.00 6% 15.60 2.80  
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE 3 4 31½ 4¾   31 52½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 117 6.00 10.50  
8  REIGNING DREAM 7 10 64½ 72½   63¼ 64¾ (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 ★ 10.50  
11  SPIRIT OF AKRON 10 7 86 86   85¼ 79¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 39.00  
2  MAILS HERE 2 8 98 910   98¾ 814¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 12.00 42.60  
6  ROLL A QUARTERS 6 3 11 1nk   73¾ 915½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.00 20% 4.00 7.30  
4  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 4 5 109 1010½   1011¼ 1018¼ (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 60.40  
SCR  RAY'S EMPIRE               (szczepanski )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 30.00    
 
TDN-9   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOESTER 6 7 84 51¼   1½ 14 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00 W
  (by MOBIL out of FOR MY WIFE by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  OKLAHOMA JOE 8 1 51¾ 3½   2½ 24 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 15% 5.90 8.70 P
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
2  EXCITEMENT 2 5 61¾ 72¼   53 34¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 42% 1.40 2.70 S
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
11  THAT'S THE WAY 11 3 95½ 94¼   74½ 47¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 117 10.00 20.50  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST 4 6 4¾ 61¾   63 57½ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 117 10.00 1.90  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of TAKE INTEREST by MORE THAN READY)
13  RELISH THE RIDE 12 11 117 115   105¼ 68 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 9% 10.10 6.20  
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
5  MANGA MAN 5 12 1211 128   117¼ 79 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 15.00 35.20  
  (by KINGSHIP out of SLIGO KNOWS by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
3  THEDAYOFTHEGREY 3 4 3½ 1nk   31 89½ (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00 15.90  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  PROSECUTOR 9 8 1nk 2nk   41½ 99½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 5.00 12.10  
  (by CORFU out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
1  DANEFIELD 1 9 73¾ 84¼   94¾ 1010¾ (bourke john)STANLEY O 117 6.00 7% 13.10 20.10  
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of NESFIELD by PAYNES BAY)
10  MISTER MOBIL 10 10 107 104½   84¾ 1111 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 117 30.00 50.70  
  (by MOBIL out of APPLE ANNIE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  FIRST SONG 7 2 2nk 4¾   128¼ 1219¼ (rivera nesto)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 30.00 42.00  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MINI MOSTEST by ATTICUS)
SCR  MIDNIGHT MIKEY               (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.