Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(2/3/6)-(1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/3)-(4/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/3/1)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/6/5)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/6)-(4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/1)-(5/6/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/1)-(5/6/9/1/8)-(5/6/9/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/9/1)-(2/8/13/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-9   WIN (2/8/13/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6)-(2/8/13/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKY Apr23 Apr10 Dec12 Nov13 Nov06 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 20.00    
2  SIERRA DIAMOND Apr24 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Oct25 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS OVER THERE Apr23 Feb07 Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
4  LA CUMPARSITA Apr23 Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
5  MISS SHADY Apr01 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Feb07 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 12% 7.60    
6  MISS FUSSY PANTS Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Feb22 Feb07 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
7  EPICUREAN Apr23 Mar27 Mar18 Feb28 Feb07 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
8  ROSY APPLE Apr23 Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb08 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Feb07 Jan23 Nov27 Nov21 Oct31 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
2  LILAC LACE Apr03 Mar11 Feb21 Nov14 Sep25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  SABELLE Apr11 Feb05 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART Oct18 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 Jun12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Apr04 Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 Dec18 (radcliff donald )AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
6  BLAZING ZENNA Mar28 Feb22 Feb07 Dec06 Sep27 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGICGIRL Sep27 Sep12 Aug17 Jun21 May22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Jan30 Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
2  MAS ORO Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb13 Jan11 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
3  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Mar18 Feb14 Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  NICHOLAS JAMES Apr02 Mar17 Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
SCR  FAT DADDY Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12 Aug10 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb29 Feb05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 6% 15.90    
2  CAMBIASO Apr25 Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Feb01 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
3  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Apr25 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 Dec20 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  BOSS BEAR Apr25 Feb28 Feb19 Jan08 Dec30 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  EXALTED JOY Apr09 Mar07 Feb28 Feb15 Dec27 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
6  SWELTER Apr13 Apr02 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Dec30 Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
3  BISCAYNE BAY Apr01 Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 Jan22 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  OUT FOR FUN Apr24 Apr11 Apr02 Mar07 Feb13 (bailey ricar)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 6.00    
5  CATABOUT Apr24 Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan23 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  POWER BANKER Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 Feb13 Nov14 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-6   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY FORTUNE Mar06 Feb27 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 ★    
SCR  LADY ABRIL Mar07 Feb20 Jan01 Dec18 Nov20 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
4  KISS ME QUICK Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 Nov14 Oct11 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50    
5  TRULY INCLUSIVE Mar12 Feb13 Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  PRETTY PATTY Apr25 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Jan31 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY LADY Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Sep22 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
2  EXPRESS FASHION Jan02 Dec21 Nov16 Oct09 Sep14 (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
3  MOBIL LADY Mar11 Sep07 Jun23 May20 Apr27 (meyers sha)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  KICHI KITSU Oct05 Sep12 Aug02 May30 Apr27 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
5  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 Nov28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
6  LEMON MOUSSE Mar25 Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TDN-8   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EKATI'S WAY Apr13 Mar08 Oct28 Oct12   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 20.00 6% 15.60    
2  MAILS HERE Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 Dec12 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 Dec19 Nov16 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 117 6.00    
4  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
5  DIAL DIRECT Mar28 Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  ROLL A QUARTERS Apr23         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  RAY'S EMPIRE Apr09 Feb14 Jan30 Dec28 Jul06 (szczepanski )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 30.00    
8  REIGNING DREAM Apr13 Feb14 Jan08 Dec21 Nov30 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 ★    
9  FACT NOT FICTION Aug15 Jul27 Jul13     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 6% 14.80    
10  BLUE NOMORE Apr10 Mar08 Feb07 Jan10 Nov16 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
11  SPIRIT OF AKRON Apr09         (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
 
TDN-9   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANEFIELD Oct28 Oct10 Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 (bourke john)STANLEY O 117 6.00 7% 13.10    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of NESFIELD by PAYNES BAY)
2  EXCITEMENT Dec13 Nov20 Oct12 Sep28 Aug26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
3  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Apr11 Feb14 Dec26 Nov28 Oct04 (cline c)REYES FRANK 117 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SHARON'S WAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST Apr04 Feb13 Jan30 Dec27 Nov28 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 117 10.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of TAKE INTEREST by MORE THAN READY)
5  MANGA MAN Apr11 Apr04 Jan23 Jan01 Sep28 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 15.00    
  (by KINGSHIP out of SLIGO KNOWS by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
6  MOESTER Apr09 Mar25 Feb07 Jan25 Jan08 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of FOR MY WIFE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  FIRST SONG Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Dec26 Nov30 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 117 30.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MINI MOSTEST by ATTICUS)
8  OKLAHOMA JOE Apr09 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Oct23 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
9  PROSECUTOR Apr01 Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 Jan15 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 5.00    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
10  MISTER MOBIL Apr11 Apr04 Mar26 Mar14 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 117 30.00    
  (by MOBIL out of APPLE ANNIE by LEMON DROP KID)
11  THAT'S THE WAY Apr04 Mar20 Mar11 Feb29 Feb06 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 117 10.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jan31 Jul31 Jun06 May06 Mar23 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 12.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
13  RELISH THE RIDE Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 Aug26 Jun24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 9% 10.10    
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.