Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $16.80  
TDN-2   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $24.00  
TDN-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 2.40
TDN-4   Win (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-6   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-7   Win (9/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (4/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $15.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSING MEDALS 4 4 11 1nk   1 12 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 12.00 7.40  
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 8 2 64 6   45 22 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 3.00 4.00 P
FEELING EASY 3 8 7 3   34 32 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 31% 2.30 2.90 S
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 5 3 21 2nk   2 4 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 41% 1.40 5.00  
MOST ADORABLE 9 1 5 812   77 5 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 30.60  
THE KID'S PRAYER 7 5 4 5   5 68 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 34.70  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 6 9 920¼ 923   9 710 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 4.20  
SPUNKY ONE 2 7 8 73   67 810¼ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
HALO EFFECT 1 6 3 4   8 913¼ (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 26.80  
 
TDN-2   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RANSOM 4 6 4 2nk   1½ 1 (wolochuk david)STANLEY O 119 1.60 62% 0.60 0.40 DQ↓2
CANNON MAN 5 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (fernandez edwar)BECKMAN ALICE 119 12.00 11.00  
DOUBLE AGENT 1 7 6 6   411 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 13% 6.80 5.40 S
GRAY TORMENTOR 7 1 7 7   512 410¾ (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 11.60  
RAMBLER 2 4 5 45   3 511¼ (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 7.70  
CRACK COMMAND 3 3 3.2 5   614 619 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 6.00 38.30  
SMOKE SCREEN 6 5 1nk 34   714 725 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
 
TDN-3   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNIE 3 1 3 12   15 1 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.20 W
IMA MOM 1 2 2nk 22   25 2 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 3.50 1.30  
NUBLADA 2 3 1nk 3   3 315¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 45% 1.20 1.00 S
SCR  AMY'S STAR               (ruberto v)BRACHO A 115 5.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
SCR  HERE'S THE SPIDER               (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-4   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTER DAY 2 4 2 22   23 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.50 W
ROLL ON MAX 1 2 1 12   13 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5.20  
SWAYBACK MOBIL 6 5 6 58   46 3 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 4.00 7.30  
TEMPERED DREAM 3 6 5 44   57 48 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
MARQUITOS M 4 1 3 32   35 5 (rettele richar)HALDAR J 123 12.00 28.00  
MR SIX 5 3 43 6   613 626 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
SCR  BUMPKIN               (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-5   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET UNIQUE 3 2 2½ 11   1 16 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.80 57% 0.70 1.30 W
LA CUMPARSITA 1 6 1½ 21   2 26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.60 P
SERGER 4 5 4 44   3 3 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 121 6.00 11% 7.80 5.30 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 1 5 65   47 4 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 7.00  
TATTERED HEART 2 7 33 3   57 5 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 34.30  
CAUSE OF LOVE 7 3 66 7   7 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 35.00  
H. T. XENA 6 4 76 55   6 711 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 1.30  
 
TDN-6   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RETREAT 4 4 4 5   5 1¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40 12.20 DQ↓6
OLLIE'S FOLLY 8 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2¾ (rone mike)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 2.00  
D J'S FIRST STEP 3 6 3 3½   3.2 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 27% 2.70 1.20 P
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 5 7 55 4   4¾ 4 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 20.50  
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 8.00 8.00  
CINSAULT 2 8 8 6   6 6 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 5.70  
WHY KENNY WHY 6 2 7 810   8 715¼ (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 29.90  
LUCY'S FIRST SONG 7 3 6 79   7 816¾ (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 20% 3.90 26.00  
 
TDN-7   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY TO SUCCESS 7 1 6 2nk   14 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80 0.20 W
MISS EASY 3 5 54 5   38 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.80 P
NOT TODAY 4 6 43 4   410 313 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 8.00 5% 19.00 21.10 S
DANCE MY WAY 5 3 3 1nk   24 413½ (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 8.00 27.40  
CANDYMONIUM 2 7 7 7   514 518 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 15.50  
VIMISOFA 1 4 1nk 6   716½ 627¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 64.90  
OROZIMBA 6 2 2nk 31   614½ 727¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 10.00 16% 5.10 16.90  
SCR  MACHO GIRL               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50    
SCR  STRATOGALE               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE KEVIN 7 3 73 5   2 11 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 6.90  
BOURBON OVER ICE 5 4 22 2   3 21 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 8% 12.20 4.30 P
10  UPTOWN GUY 8 1 5 6   62 31 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 12.90  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 6 2 8 85   74 42 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00 30% 2.30 1.00  
KOSCIUSZKO 1 7 6 73   4 52 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 7.70  
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 2 6 4 4   5 6 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 35% 1.90 5.70  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 3 5 12 1   1 7 (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
BROADWAY JONES 4 8 32 3   86 812 (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 15.00 17.40  
SCR  CUTLER               (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50    
SCR  FLY HOME               (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.