Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.40 $2.40 60%
TDN-5   EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-1 $26.80 $17.80 198%
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-1-4 $77.60 $59.60 331%
    SFT (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  3-1-4-5 $21.89 $20.09 1116%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSING MEDALS 4 4 11 1nk   1 12 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 12.00 7.40  
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 8 2 64 6   45 22 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 3.00 4.00 P
FEELING EASY 3 8 7 3   34 32 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 31% 2.30 2.90 S
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 5 3 21 2nk   2 4 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 41% 1.40 5.00  
MOST ADORABLE 9 1 5 812   77 5 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 30.60  
THE KID'S PRAYER 7 5 4 5   5 68 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 34.70  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 6 9 920¼ 923   9 710 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 4.20  
SPUNKY ONE 2 7 8 73   67 810¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
HALO EFFECT 1 6 3 4   8 913¼ (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 26.80  
 
TDN-2   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RANSOM 4 6 4 2nk   1½ 1 (wolochuk david)STANLEY O 119 1.60 62% 0.60 0.40 DQ↓2
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
CANNON MAN 5 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (fernandez edw)BECKMAN ALICE 119 12.00 11.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
DOUBLE AGENT 1 7 6 6   411 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 13% 6.80 5.40 S
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
GRAY TORMENTOR 7 1 7 7   512 410¾ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 11.60  
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
RAMBLER 2 4 5 45   3 511¼ (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 7.70  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
CRACK COMMAND 3 3 3.2 5   614 619 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00 38.30  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of PROUD COMMANDER by PROUD CITIZEN)
SMOKE SCREEN 6 5 1nk 34   714 725 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
  (by FROSTED out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
TDN-3   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNIE 3 1 3 12   15 1 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.20 W
IMA MOM 1 2 2nk 22   25 2 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 3.50 1.30  
NUBLADA 2 3 1nk 3   3 315¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 45% 1.20 1.00 S
SCR  AMY'S STAR               (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 115 5.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
SCR  HERE'S THE SPIDER               (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-4   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTER DAY 2 4 2 22   23 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.50 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
ROLL ON MAX 1 2 1 12   13 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5.20  
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
SWAYBACK MOBIL 6 5 6 58   46 3 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 4.00 7.30  
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
TEMPERED DREAM 3 6 5 44   57 48 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
MARQUITOS M 4 1 3 32   35 5 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 12.00 28.00  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
MR SIX 5 3 43 6   613 626 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90 10.90  
  (by TEAM SIX out of RIVER CITY GIRL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  BUMPKIN               (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
TDN-5   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET UNIQUE 3 2 2½ 11   1 16 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.80 57% 0.70 1.30 W
LA CUMPARSITA 1 6 1½ 21   2 26 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.60 P
SERGER 4 5 4 44   3 3 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 6.00 11% 7.80 5.30 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 5 1 5 65   47 4 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 7.00  
TATTERED HEART 2 7 33 3   57 5 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 34.30  
CAUSE OF LOVE 7 3 66 7   7 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 35.00  
H. T. XENA 6 4 76 55   6 711 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 1.30  
 
TDN-6   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RETREAT 4 4 4 5   5 1¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40 12.20 DQ↓6
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
OLLIE'S FOLLY 8 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2¾ (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 2.00  
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
D J'S FIRST STEP 3 6 3 3½   3.2 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 27% 2.70 1.20 P
  (by CORFU out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 5 7 55 4   4¾ 4 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 20.50  
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 8.00 8.00  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
CINSAULT 2 8 8 6   6 6 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 5.70  
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
WHY KENNY WHY 6 2 7 810   8 715¼ (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 29.90  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
LUCY'S FIRST SONG 7 3 6 79   7 816¾ (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 20% 3.90 26.00  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
 
TDN-7   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY TO SUCCESS 7 1 6 2nk   14 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80 0.20 W
MISS EASY 3 5 54 5   38 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.80 P
NOT TODAY 4 6 43 4   410 313 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 8.00 5% 19.00 21.10 S
DANCE MY WAY 5 3 3 1nk   24 413½ (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 8.00 27.40  
CANDYMONIUM 2 7 7 7   514 518 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 15.50  
VIMISOFA 1 4 1nk 6   716½ 627¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 64.90  
OROZIMBA 6 2 2nk 31   614½ 727¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 10.00 16% 5.10 16.90  
SCR  MACHO GIRL               (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50    
SCR  STRATOGALE               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE KEVIN 7 3 73 5   2 11 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 6.90  
BOURBON OVER ICE 5 4 22 2   3 21 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 8% 12.20 4.30 P
10  UPTOWN GUY 8 1 5 6   62 31 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 12.90  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 6 2 8 85   74 42 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00 30% 2.30 1.00  
KOSCIUSZKO 1 7 6 73   4 52 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 7.70  
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 2 6 4 4   5 6 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 35% 1.90 5.70  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 3 5 12 1   1 7 (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 33.60  
BROADWAY JONES 4 8 32 3   86 812 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 15.00 17.40  
SCR  CUTLER               (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50    
SCR  FLY HOME               (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.