Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (9/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (4/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO EFFECT Apr22 Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 Feb22 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
SPUNKY ONE Apr22 Apr10 Mar11 Mar04 Feb21 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 5% 19.00    
FEELING EASY Apr22 Nov30 Oct12 Aug14 Jul24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 31% 2.30    
KISSING MEDALS Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 Feb05   (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 12.00    
BEAUTIFUL SCORE Apr22 Mar19       (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 41% 1.40    
MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
THE KID'S PRAYER Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Apr22 Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Feb27 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 3.00    
MOST ADORABLE Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Dec21 Nov22 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE AGENT Apr23 Oct12 Sep13     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
RAMBLER Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 Sep26 Sep06 (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
CRACK COMMAND Apr23         (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
HIDDEN RANSOM Apr23         (wolochuk david)STANLEY O 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
CANNON MAN Oct31 Oct12       (fernandez edwar)BECKMAN ALICE 119 12.00    
SMOKE SCREEN Mar28 Mar05       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAY TORMENTOR Apr23 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA MOM Apr24 Feb01 Dec14 Nov28   (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 3.50    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11   (ruberto v)BRACHO A 115 5.00    
SCR  HERE'S THE SPIDER Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 Aug26   (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
NUBLADA Mar12 Feb14       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 45% 1.20    
BROWNIE Apr24 Jul17 Jun24 May24 May06 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE Apr11 Feb24 Dec27 Nov24 Sep13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-4   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ON MAX Apr22 Mar25       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
BRIGHTER DAY Apr22         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 2.00 33% 2.00    
TEMPERED DREAM Apr10         (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MARQUITOS M Nov22 Oct24 Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 (rettele richar)HALDAR J 123 12.00    
MR SIX         (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
SWAYBACK MOBIL Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
 
TDN-5   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CUMPARSITA May04 Apr23 Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TATTERED HEART Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan30 Jan08 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
SWEET UNIQUE Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.80 57% 0.70    
SERGER Apr13 Mar26 Mar13 Oct21 Sep19 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
IN TROUBLED WATERS Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 Mar14 Feb29 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
H. T. XENA Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 Dec29 Nov26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
CAUSE OF LOVE Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 Feb13 Jan25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Apr22         (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
CINSAULT Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
D J'S FIRST STEP Apr22         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
WEEKEND RETREAT Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
DREAMINGABOUTTIME Apr13 Apr08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan08 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
WHY KENNY WHY Apr22 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
LUCY'S FIRST SONG         (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
OLLIE'S FOLLY Apr22 Mar25 Feb15 Feb01 Jan02 (rone mike)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHO GIRL Apr22 Mar13 Feb23 Jan24 Jan07 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50    
VIMISOFA Apr22 Jan31 Jan01 Sep13 Aug23 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
CANDYMONIUM Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
MISS EASY Apr22 Mar02 Feb17 Jan24 Dec29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
NOT TODAY May01 Mar20 Feb20 Jan24 Jan04 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRATOGALE Apr25 Jun26       (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00    
DANCE MY WAY Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Oct31 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
OROZIMBA Jan26 Nov19       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 10.00 16% 5.10    
KEY TO SUCCESS Apr26 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY HOME Mar20 Mar05 Jan22 Dec21 Dec04 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SCR  CUTLER Apr25 Jul31 Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50    
KOSCIUSZKO Apr13 Apr02 Mar17 Feb14 Jan30 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Apr10 Apr01 Mar06 Jan31 Dec30 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME Apr25 Apr10 Apr01 Jan30 Jan11 (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BROADWAY JONES Mar20 Mar05 Feb05 Jan01 Dec07 (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
BOURBON OVER ICE Dec06 Nov02 Oct10 Sep27 Sep12 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 8% 12.20    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Apr30 Dec30 Dec07 Nov15 Oct24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
UNCLE KEVIN Apr25 Apr01 Feb29 Feb15 Jan01 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
10  UPTOWN GUY Apr13 Apr02 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.