Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/6/8)-(5/3/2/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(4/1/6)-(4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/5)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/2/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/4/7)-(9/4/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(9/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(9/4/8/5)-(4/8/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/8/5)-(4/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5)-(4/8/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO EFFECT Apr22 Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 Feb22 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
2  SPUNKY ONE Apr22 Apr10 Mar11 Mar04 Feb21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  FEELING EASY Apr22 Nov30 Oct12 Aug14 Jul24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 31% 2.30    
4  KISSING MEDALS Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 Feb05   (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 12.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Apr22 Mar19       (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 Aug23 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★    
7  THE KID'S PRAYER Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
8  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Apr22 Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Feb27 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 3.00 ★    
9  MOST ADORABLE Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Dec21 Nov22 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE AGENT Apr23 Oct12 Sep13     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
2  RAMBLER Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 Sep26 Sep06 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  CRACK COMMAND Apr23         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of PROUD COMMANDER by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  HIDDEN RANSOM Apr23         (wolochuk david)STANLEY O 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  CANNON MAN Oct31 Oct12       (fernandez edw)BECKMAN ALICE 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  SMOKE SCREEN Mar28 Mar05       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  GRAY TORMENTOR Apr23 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
 
TDN-3   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA MOM Apr24 Feb01 Dec14 Nov28   (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 3.50    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11   (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 115 5.00    
SCR  HERE'S THE SPIDER Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 Aug26   (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
4  NUBLADA Mar12 Feb14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  BROWNIE Apr24 Jul17 Jun24 May24 May06 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE Apr11 Feb24 Dec27 Nov24 Sep13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-4   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON MAX Apr22 Mar25       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
2  BRIGHTER DAY Apr22         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
SCR  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
4  TEMPERED DREAM Apr10         (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  MARQUITOS M Nov22 Oct24 Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 12.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
6  MR SIX         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by TEAM SIX out of RIVER CITY GIRL by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  SWAYBACK MOBIL Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
 
TDN-5   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CUMPARSITA May04 Apr23 Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TATTERED HEART Apr01 Mar18 Feb22 Jan30 Jan08 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
3  SWEET UNIQUE Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.80 57% 0.70    
4  SERGER Apr13 Mar26 Mar13 Oct21 Sep19 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 Mar14 Feb29 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 ★    
6  H. T. XENA Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 Dec29 Nov26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
7  CAUSE OF LOVE Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 Feb13 Jan25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Apr22         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  CINSAULT Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  D J'S FIRST STEP Apr22         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
4  WEEKEND RETREAT Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
5  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Apr13 Apr08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan08 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  WHY KENNY WHY Apr22 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  LUCY'S FIRST SONG         (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
8  OLLIE'S FOLLY Apr22 Mar25 Feb15 Feb01 Jan02 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
 
TDN-7   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHO GIRL Apr22 Mar13 Feb23 Jan24 Jan07 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50    
2  VIMISOFA Apr22 Jan31 Jan01 Sep13 Aug23 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
3  CANDYMONIUM Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
4  MISS EASY Apr22 Mar02 Feb17 Jan24 Dec29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  NOT TODAY May01 Mar20 Feb20 Jan24 Jan04 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRATOGALE Apr25 Jun26       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 5.00    
7  DANCE MY WAY Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Oct31 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
8  OROZIMBA Jan26 Nov19       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 10.00 16% 5.10    
9  KEY TO SUCCESS Apr26 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY HOME Mar20 Mar05 Jan22 Dec21 Dec04 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SCR  CUTLER Apr25 Jul31 Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50    
3  KOSCIUSZKO Apr13 Apr02 Mar17 Feb14 Jan30 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00    
4  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Apr10 Apr01 Mar06 Jan31 Dec30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Apr25 Apr10 Apr01 Jan30 Jan11 (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROADWAY JONES Mar20 Mar05 Feb05 Jan01 Dec07 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 15.00    
7  BOURBON OVER ICE Dec06 Nov02 Oct10 Sep27 Sep12 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 8% 12.20    
8  MUNI MUNI SLEW Apr30 Dec30 Dec07 Nov15 Oct24 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
9  UNCLE KEVIN Apr25 Apr01 Feb29 Feb15 Jan01 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
10  UPTOWN GUY Apr13 Apr02 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.