Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - May 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
TDN-2   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-3   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
TDN-4   Win (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $16.60 $16.60 8.60
TDN-5   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-6   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $14.40  
TDN-7   Win (6/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OWN THE TOWN 7 3 21 1nk   11 1hd (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 48% 1.10 5.60 W
MORE THAN GOOD 6 2 31 2nk   21 2hd (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.50 19% 4.20 1.60 P
GRAND DEAL 3 7 78 7   64 3 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 123 6.00 23.60  
DIXIE GIANT 4 6 11 3.2   32 4 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 2.00  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 5 4 5 4   43 55 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 1 5 4 5   54 6 (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 20.50  
CHACO SPIRIT 2 1 63 6   7 78 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 9% 10.50 4.70  
 
TDN-2   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTER HUNTER 1 6 613 6   6 1nk (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 2.30  
WEEKEND BUZZ 6 1 32 3   2nk 2nk (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 24% 3.20 2.60 P
KARAMEL CORN 4 4 511 57   5 3 (tumblin an)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 9.40  
OL' L B 5 5 4 43   1nk 42 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70  
THE MAN CAN 3 2 21 21   3.2 5 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
MUCHO PRIMO 2 3 11 11   4 6 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 6.50  
 
TDN-3   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SIGNS 4 4 21 31   2½ 11 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17% 4.80 4.40 W
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 2 6 32 21   1½ 21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 44% 1.30 0.50 P
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 3 2 5 42   42 3 (hurley l)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
ONE RICH KITTEN 6 5 6 5   5 4 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 4.40  
WEEKENDING 1 3 11 11   32 510¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22.10  
BEAUTIFUL LASS 5 1 42 6   610¼ 629 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 15.50  
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   05/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:134     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACE 2 2 33 4 2½ 1 1 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 14% 6.00 7.30 W
GUT INSTINCT 6 1 2 21 1½ 2 2 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.00 8.90  
GREERS FERRY 3 6 510 69 42 3 3 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 51% 0.90 0.30 S
CLOAK AND DAGGER 1 7 713½ 5 5 4 411½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 10% 8.90 10.10  
RIESENBERG 7 4 44 3 3 59 519 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
MOBOT 4 5 612 7 7 613 621½ (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 60.80  
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 5 3 1 11 65 714 731¾ (quartarolo an)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00 12.60  
 
TDN-5   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHOUT OBJECTION 1 3 3 3   1 1¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 34% 1.90 2.40 W
BOURBON ON FIRE 2 5 512 5   45 2¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 6.50  
MIGHTY LES 6 1 2 22   2 31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 1.80 39% 1.60 1.20 S
FLAWLESS CAT 5 2 1 12   32 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
SIR 3 6 613½ 610½   68 5 (rone mike)DIAZ I 119 12.00 9.80  
CREATIVE BEAT 4 4 4 4   5 6 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 24.90  
 
TDN-6   05/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:122     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANTRUM 3 6 4 56 4 4¾ 1¾ (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 3.00 6.20  
FAIR AND SQUARE 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 50% 1.00 0.20 P
I WANNA WIN 1 1 33 32 3 3.2 3 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 23% 3.30 5.90 S
UPTOWN 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 17.10  
OAKS HONEY 4 5 5 45 5 5 5 (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
SAMMY'S SMILE 5 4 66 6 6 6 6 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 17.70  
 
TDN-7   05/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SCENE 6 3 2 2   11 1 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 67% 0.50 0.20 W
EMERSON JONES 7 5 44 4   43 2 (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 29.40  
HELLO SWEETS 3 10 10 8   6 35 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90 S
GO GIRL 1 4 34 3   32 45 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 61.80  
10  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 10 9 56 5   54 5 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 6% 15.20 10.30  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 7 8 7   85 6 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 10.00 31.00  
ANGEL WINGS 2 8 9 9   75 7 (flores israel)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 59.30  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 9 1 1 1   21 811 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 23.70  
GOLD HONEY 4 6 6 6   97 912 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 4.00 19.10  
STEALTH MODE 8 2 7 10   10 1012¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 11.00  
 
TDN-8   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT 5 3 1nk 2nk   1½ 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 8% 10.90 1.90 W
LUCKY STREAK 7 2 4 31   2½ 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 2.60  
POWERFUL MOON 2 5 2nk 1nk   31 37 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 9.40  
KERANOS 3 6 6 611   6 48 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 5% 19.00 32.70  
MR LOOOCH 4 4 3 4   4 510 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.00 57% 0.70 1.50  
CORNER OFFICE 6 1 5 53   5 611¼ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 22.80  
ORO DE MORO MORO 1 7 712¾ 715   79 712 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 8% 12.00 24.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.