Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(5/6/3)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/5/4)-(3/2/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/2/1/7)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/1/7)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/7)-(6/1/5)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/1/4)-(6/10/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/10/3)-(4/5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/3)-(6/10/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/3)-(6/10/3/8/4)-(6/10/3/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (6/10/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
2  CHACO SPIRIT Apr23 Feb05 Dec13 Jun05 May08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 9% 10.50    
3  GRAND DEAL Oct30 Oct04 Sep18 Aug17 Jul31 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
4  DIXIE GIANT Apr30 Apr13 Feb13 Feb01 Jan24 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50    
5  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 Feb20 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MORE THAN GOOD May06 Apr23 Dec12 Nov21 Nov02 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  OWN THE TOWN Dec13 Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 48% 1.10    
 
TDN-2   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTER HUNTER Apr29 Apr02 Mar14 Feb27 Feb14 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50    
2  MUCHO PRIMO May01 Jan01 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
3  THE MAN CAN Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KARAMEL CORN May01 Apr23 Apr08 Feb28 Feb19 (tumblin )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
5  OL' L B Dec19 Nov21 Oct30 Aug28 Jul31 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  WEEKEND BUZZ Apr24 Mar18 Feb28 Feb19 Jan24 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-3   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKENDING Apr24 Mar26 Feb27 Jan24 Jan09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
2  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Apr25 Nov16 Oct21 Oct03 Sep19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS May04 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
4  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Apr24 Feb06 Jan01 Oct28 Sep21 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CITY SIGNS Apr24 Jan01 Nov28 Nov20 Nov01 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00    
7  ONE RICH KITTEN Apr03 Mar04 Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00    
 
TDN-4   05/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOAK AND DAGGER Apr14 Mar24 Feb29 Jan31   (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
2  PACE Apr29 May16 Apr14 Mar17 Feb17 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAKE IT SNAPPY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  GREERS FERRY Apr27 Apr07 Mar28 Mar10 Feb11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 51% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  MOBOT May01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan17 Dec31 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
5  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Apr19         (quartarolo )PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of CALL ME FANCY by BERNARDINI)
6  GUT INSTINCT Apr26 Mar23 Feb21     (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FINE INSTINCTS by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  RIESENBERG Mar29 Mar02       (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BODEGA BAY by BODEMEISTER)
 
TDN-5   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT OBJECTION Apr28 Apr13 Mar16 Feb11 Dec29 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60 34% 1.90    
2  BOURBON ON FIRE Apr27 Apr13 Mar15 Mar08 Feb18 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
3  SIR Apr12 Mar22 Mar10 Feb23 Jan27 (rone mike)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
4  CREATIVE BEAT Nov30 Nov14       (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
5  FLAWLESS CAT Mar26 Mar04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIGHTY LES Apr23 Mar28 Mar13     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-6   05/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WANNA WIN Oct28 Oct02 Aug12 Jun27 Jun06 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  FAIR AND SQUARE Oct28 Sep13 Aug12 Jul18 Jun24 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
3  TANTRUM Apr09 Nov14 Oct28 Oct02 Aug12 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
4  OAKS HONEY Apr22 Apr04 Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAMMY'S SMILE Apr23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul18 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
6  UPTOWN Apr25 May10 Mar21 Feb23 Jan10 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Apr25 Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Dec20 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
2  ANGEL WINGS Mar13 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (flores isra)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
3  HELLO SWEETS Mar27 Mar12 Aug28 Aug14 Jun27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLD HONEY Apr13 Mar28 Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 4.00 ★    
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 Feb08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 10.00    
6  CITY SCENE Apr24 Oct28 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 67% 0.50    
7  EMERSON JONES Apr25 Feb26 Jan08 Dec21 Dec07 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
8  STEALTH MODE Apr25 Oct21 Sep28 Sep04 Aug03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 ★    
9  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Apr25 Feb26 Dec21 Dec07 Nov22 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
10  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Jan10 Dec21 Aug31 May23 Apr24 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 6% 15.20    
 
TDN-8   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO DE MORO MORO Apr30 Apr13 Apr08 Feb20 Feb01 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 8% 12.00    
2  POWERFUL MOON Apr23 Apr11 Mar05 Feb12 Aug17 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00    
3  KERANOS Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar06 Feb19 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR LOOOCH Dec04 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep13 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.00 57% 0.70    
5  SMOKIN' HOT Apr27 Apr13 Feb17 Dec29 Nov16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  CORNER OFFICE Apr23 Oct03 Aug28 Jul27 Jun24 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
7  LUCKY STREAK Apr09 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 Jan08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.