Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - May 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
TDN-2   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-3   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $2.40  
TDN-5   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $30.00  
TDN-6   Win (10/6/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $37.00  
TDN-7   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $43.80  
TDN-8   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:153     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXONERATED PREZ 1 1 11 11 11½ 12 11¼ (genovese l)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 28% 2.50 6.30 W
7  FRANCO (MEX) 7 3 53 63½ 31½ 22 21¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 40% 1.50 0.90 P
4  CAMBIASO 4 6 63½ 53 63¼ 54½ 33½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 5.00 6.00  
2  STREET MAX 2 5 31 41½ 51¾ 64¾ 45¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 4.70  
3  BARRELHOUSE 3 4 41½ 31 41¾ 34 55½ (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
6  ALGORIX 6 2 21 21 21½ 44½ 65½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 12.40  
5  GILES 5 7 75 76½ 75¼ 78¼ 79¾ (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 123 5.00 9% 10.40 10.40  
 
TDN-2   05/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICAN PRINCE 2 2 1½ 1½   13½ 15¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 61% 0.60 1.90 W
1  ROGER MCQUEEN 1 4 31½ 43   37 25¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 1.40  
4  AWESOME ENOUGH 4 5 42 3½   23½ 35½ (gall)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 28.60  
6  BOURBON OVER ICE 6 6 66½ 65¼   59 47¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 2.90  
3  UPTOWN GUY 3 3 52 53¼   48 58¾ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
5  LAKE SHORE DRIVE 5 1 2½ 2½   69½ 617¾ (farrior anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 13% 6.50 5.70  
 
TDN-3   05/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUTSPOKEN 5 3 31 1nk   11½ 1½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 117 1.50 49% 1.00 0.70 W
2  LOFTHOUSE 2 1 21 4¾   31½ 2½ (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 1.90  
4  RUN FEARLESS 4 4 41¼ 3.2   21½ 32¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 10.60  
3  LA CUMPARSITA 3 2 11 2nk   42½ 43¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 5% 17.20 10.20  
1  MAGIC PALACE 1 5 52¾ 52¾   54½ 53¾ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 17% 4.90 6.60  
 
TDN-4   05/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RAINBOW'S PRIDE 5 3 31 1nk   2nk 11¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 0.20  
2  MR. BOUMA 2 5 52½ 3.2   1nk 21¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 4.40  
5  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 4 1 11 2nk   34½ 37¾ (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00 20% 4.10 16.90 S
3  MAS ORO 3 2 41½ 56¼   511½ 415 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 45.70  
1  CHURCHILLED 1 4 21 41¾   410½ 519¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 41% 1.40 5.80  
SCR  DIXIE GIANT               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   05/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HITE 3 5 510¾ 44   21 12 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 14.00  
3  LITTLE TOY GUNS 2 3 32½ 31   31½ 22 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 7.40  
6  PROSECUTOR 5 1 1nk 11   11 32¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 29% 2.50 0.30 S
5  EAGLE NEST 4 2 2nk 21   45 412 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 4.40  
2  RED HEAD KID 1 4 42¾ 54½   57 515½ (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 5% 19.00 7.70  
SCR  MARVIN'S EXPRESS               (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   05/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:142     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NAPA DUDE 7 9 99¼ 97¼ 83½ 52¾ 1nk (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 17.50  
9  GRAND DEAL 8 6 42 41 3.2 1nk 2nk (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 6.00 12% 7.60 6.50 P
7  SMALL SAILOR 6 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 3.2 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00 S
10  PLEASANT VALIANT 9 8 75¼ 73¼ 51¾ 63¼ 43¼ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 36% 1.80 3.80  
2  HOUSED 2 4 2nk 2½ 41¾ 4¾ 53¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 1.80  
6  CAPTURE MI 5 2 31½ 31 2nk 3½ 65 (vlaun manuel)RIVERA R 119 8.00 13% 6.70 2.90  
4  ROYAL AIR FORCE 4 7 53½ 52½ 72 73¾ 75 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 9% 10.00 8.90  
3  STEP AHEAD 3 5 63¾ 63 62 84¾ 88¾ (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 22.80  
1  POT COMMITTED 1 1 85¼ 86¼ 98½ 910¾ 919 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 43.30  
SCR  GIZMO'S MISSION               (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   05/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TURNING PAGES 4 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 ★ 20.90  
6  HENRY THE CAT 6 2 53 42¾   31 2¾ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 29.40  
7  BRIG 7 3 31 3.2   2nk 33½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 70% 0.40 0.20 S
3  MANNFORD 3 6 66 65¼   53½ 44½ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
5  BISCUITS AND GRITS 5 1 42 53¼   63¾ 56¾ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 7 78½ 710¼   78¼ 611¼ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 19.70  
2  THEDAYOFTHEGREY 2 5 1nk 2nk   43 717½ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 3.50 5.50  
 
TDN-8   05/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 13 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 55% 0.80 1.50 W
3  EXPRESS FASHION 3 4 32 32   33 23 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.70 P
4  SALUTE THE KID 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 33¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.50 9.80  
5  KETTLE KISS 5 5 56 58½   57½ 46½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 1.10  
2  MOBIL LADY 2 3 43½ 47   46½ 56¾ (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 114 4.00 13% 7.00 4.30  
1  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 1 6 66 611½   612½ 618 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 25.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.