Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-5   TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4-6 $17.00 $11.00 183%
TDN-6   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.60 $1.60 20%
TDN-7   EXA (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $18.80 $6.80 57%
    TRI (2/4/7/9)-(2/4/7/9)-(2/4/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-7-4 $61.20 $37.20 155%
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(2/4/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-2 $18.10 $2.10 13%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WAR NOVEL 5 2 21 2nk 11½ 1½ 1¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 36% 1.80 0.60 W
6  BOSS BEAR 6 7 76½ 76¼ 54½ 32½ 2¾ (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 11% 8.00 6.20 P
1  ITASCA 1 1 11 1nk 21½ 2½ 31¾ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 5.00 3.10  
4  CANDY CRUSHEM 4 5 65½ 42½ 43½ 42½ 43½ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 23% 3.30 6.10  
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 3 32½ 31 32 52¾ 56¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 37.90  
7  DUEL FUEL 7 4 44 62¾ 75 65¼ 68½ (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
2  SAY HEY KID 2 6 54½ 52¾ 65 77¼ 711 (szczepanski)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 24.70  
 
TDN-2   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MR LAOBAN 4 5 43 31 2nk 1½ 13¾ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 64% 0.60 1.20 W
3  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 3 3 21½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 23¾ (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 12% 7.40 1.30 P
1  ELEGGUA 1 2 54 53¼ 48½ 49 33¾ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 19.80  
2  DONAHUE 2 1 11½ 1nk 32½ 36½ 48 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.20  
6  RAMBLIN CHROME 5 4 33 43 510½ 512½ 517½ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14.70  
SCR  DOMI               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DERBY DAY KISS 4 2 21½ 1nk   11½ 13¾ (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90 W
1  AZ WE SPEAK 1 5 44½ 32½   32 23¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 1.80 3.00  
5  BIG FACTS 5 1 11½ 2nk   21½ 35¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 6.00 22% 3.50 1.90 S
3  STICK AROUND 3 4 34½ 42¾   44 46½ (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.50 12.70  
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 3 58½ 511¾   515 522¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70  
 
TDN-4   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPECIALIZED 5 2 2½ 1nk   11½ 14¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 54% 0.90 0.70 W
4  STUNT MAN 4 3 1½ 2nk   21½ 24¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 1.80 1.70  
2  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 2 4 32 31   31½ 34¼ (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.10 6.50 S
3  MAY MAYHEM 3 1 43 42   43 44½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 6.90  
1  RED COMET 1 5 55 511   512 516¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
SCR  MEDIA DARLING               (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXCITEMENT 2 3 24 21½   1nk 13¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 32% 2.10 0.60 W
4  WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 1 14 11½   2nk 23¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.30 P
6  RAISE THE PURSES 5 2 48 49   35 36 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.70 S
3  CRYPTO COPY 3 4 37½ 38   45¼ 47½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 7.90  
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 1 5 59½ 515½   517¼ 522 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 27.60  
SCR  MUTINY               (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
 
TDN-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISSION GIRL 3 4 32 31   21 1¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 16% 5.40 3.80 W
2  PRETTY PATTY 2 5 1½ 1½   11 2¾ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 1.10  
7  PANAMANIAC 7 1 43½ 43   44½ 34¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 40% 1.50 7.30 S
6  BOX STEP 6 2 2½ 2½   32½ 44¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 3.70  
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 5 6 75 54½   65½ 56 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 12% 7.40 25.20  
4  DANZA MAGIC 4 3 64½ 74¾   55½ 66¼ (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 7.70  
1  BOSSY LADY 1 7 54½ 64½   77½ 715¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
 
TDN-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY LOTTIE 2 7 2nk 1½   1nk 1nk (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 52% 0.90 2.60 W
7  SPARKLING JEWEL 6 2 51¾ 52¼   2nk 2nk (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 7% 12.80 7.50 P
4  NEECHI 3 6 1nk 2½   31 31¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 13% 6.80 1.60 S
5  OAXACA 4 5 3.2 3½   42 43¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 5.60  
1  QUARANTINA 1 8 82½ 63¾   64½ 54 (casalino)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 77.50  
9  SOMUCHSUGAR 8 1 72¼ 84¾   86¾ 68 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 59.10  
6  KICHI KITSU 5 4 4¾ 4¾   53½ 78½ (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 32.40  
8  CORNER KICK 7 3 61¾ 74¼   76½ 89¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 3.10  
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE               (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SWEET EMPIRE 8 1 2nk 1nk   13½ 14¼ (radcliff donald )AVILES YAN 119 12.00 9.40  
4  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 4 4 32 36   36½ 24¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 19.30  
7  OUT FOR FUN 6 2 63¾ 69½   58 34½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 ★ 3.70 S
3  BAY MAGIC 3 5 1nk 2nk   23½ 46¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 8% 11.30 2.90  
2  CONGRATS JENSEN 2 7 43½ 47   46½ 58¼ (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
9  CAT'S RHYTHM 7 6 53¾ 58   68¼ 69¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 69% 0.40 1.60  
6  CATABOUT 5 3 74 711   79¼ 79¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 9.30  
1  COSTUME JEWELRY 1 8 86 812   815¾ 819½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 15.40  
SCR  BAREFOOT BEACH               (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
SCR  KISSTHECROSS               (cline c)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.