Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (2/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITASCA Apr22 Dec18 Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
2  SAY HEY KID Apr30 Feb05 Dec27 Dec06 Nov21 (szczepanski e)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE May09 Apr25 Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
4  CANDY CRUSHEM Apr22 Feb19 Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
5  WAR NOVEL Apr24 Apr06 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  BOSS BEAR May04 Apr25 Feb28 Feb19 Jan08 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
7  DUEL FUEL Apr25 Mar25 Mar13 Feb28 Feb13 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEGGUA May01 Apr01 Mar13 Mar04 Feb22 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
2  DONAHUE Apr30 Apr08 Mar19 Mar11 Feb12 (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  SERGEANT COUNTZLER May06 Feb01 Jan03 Dec18 Nov01 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 12% 7.40    
4  MR LAOBAN Apr24 Feb15 Feb05 Jan18 Jan04 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  DOMI Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 Mar12 Feb12 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 3.00    
6  RAMBLIN CHROME Apr30 Apr04 Feb29 Feb12 Jan18 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZ WE SPEAK Mar20         (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 1.80    
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 Feb05 Jan09 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STICK AROUND Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Dec30 (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.50    
4  DERBY DAY KISS Apr13 Dec14 Nov14 Oct30   (cline c)BRACHO A 115 1.20 31% 2.20    
5  BIG FACTS Nov14 Oct28 Sep05     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-4   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED COMET May01 Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb21 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Apr29 Feb28 Jun24 Jun01 Apr26 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.10    
3  MAY MAYHEM Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 Mar04 Sep22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
4  STUNT MAN Apr29 Apr01 Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 1.80    
SCR  MEDIA DARLING Apr29 Apr01 Feb28 Sep25 Aug12 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
6  SPECIALIZED Dec14 Nov14 Oct30 Sep27 Aug31 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
TDN-5   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Oct28 Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 Aug17 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
2  EXCITEMENT May04 Dec13 Nov20 Oct12 Sep28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  CRYPTO COPY Apr22 Apr09 Mar14 Feb29 Feb15 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
4  WILDCAT EXPRESS Mar11 Feb07 Dec26 Nov20 Sep11 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  MUTINY May08 Apr22 Apr04 Mar25 Mar11 (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
6  RAISE THE PURSES Oct28 Oct06 Sep25 Sep13 Aug12 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY LADY May04 Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Sep22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRETTY PATTY May04 Apr25 Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50    
3  MISSION GIRL Jan04 Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep12 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 16% 5.40    
4  DANZA MAGIC Apr30 Feb20 Jan01 Nov28 Nov02 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE May06 Apr23 Mar26 Mar07 Feb22 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  BOX STEP Apr24 Apr10 Jan04 Aug02 Jul17 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  PANAMANIAC Oct11 Oct02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-7   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUARANTINA Apr24 Jan31 Jan23 Dec19 Oct31 (casalinova)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
2  LADY LOTTIE Apr24 Apr13 Feb28 Feb12 Jan25 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 Nov20 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
4  NEECHI Mar14 Feb26 Dec21 Nov20 Nov09 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  OAXACA Apr24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan18 Jan02 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
6  KICHI KITSU May04 Oct05 Sep12 Aug02 May30 (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
7  SPARKLING JEWEL Nov20 Oct28 Oct05 Sep12 Aug26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 7% 12.80    
8  CORNER KICK Dec13 Oct22 Sep29 Aug31 Jul29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
9  SOMUCHSUGAR Jan23 May31 Apr25 Apr10 Mar16 (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSTUME JEWELRY Oct21 Sep28 Sep07 Aug14 Jul26 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
2  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr04 Feb27 Jan23 Nov29 Sep30 (cline ro)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAY MAGIC Apr29 Apr04 Feb27 Feb06 Jan22 (cald)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 8% 11.30    
4  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Apr04 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan09 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 6.00    
SCR  BAREFOOT BEACH Jan23 Dec18 Nov29 Sep28 Sep07 (radosevich j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
6  CATABOUT May04 Apr24 Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
7  OUT FOR FUN May04 Apr24 Apr11 Apr02 Mar07 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  KISSTHECROSS Feb27 Jan23 Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 (cline c)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
9  CAT'S RHYTHM Mar17 Feb27 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 69% 0.40    
10  SWEET EMPIRE May04 Apr04 Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 (radcliff l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.