Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - May 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
TDN-2   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
TDN-3   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-5   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
TDN-7   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $28.00 $28.00 22.00
TDN-8   Win (3/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LEMON DROP 2 4 5 4   4 1¼ (jackson jame)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.00 47% 1.10 3.90 W
BABA LOOEY 1 3 31 31   2nk 2¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00 20% 4.00 6.80 P
NAMBITI 3 6 64 6   5 31 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 6.60  
WORTHY OPPONENT 6 1 21 2nk   1nk 4 (shanyfelt valeri)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 0.40  
FOREIGN 5 2 11 1nk   3.2 5 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5% 19.00 45.60  
ATTACK ANGLE 4 5 42 5   6 6 (skerrett jeffr)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00 13.70  
SCR  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
 
TDN-2   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:144     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAMA QUEEN 6 1 3 31 1 14 11 (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 12% 7.70 6.10 W
IT FACTOR 2 5 5 42 42 34 21 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 64% 0.60 1.40 P
ZIPPY ZINNY 4 6 6 6 2 24 36 (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 3.80 S
LADY GIULIANA 1 2 1nk 1nk 3 4 4 (skerrett jeff)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80 2.20  
ARTUME 3 4 4 5 5 5 512¼ (brins)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 29.80  
ROMANCE IN HABANA 5 3 2nk 2nk 610½ 628¼ 6100 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 7.20  
 
TDN-3   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI CRUISER 4 5 3 21   1 12 (inirio ol)PILARES P 119 4.00 3.30  
NO PAY NO HAY 1 3 4 32   2 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 1.90 P
SPARKLY 5 2 23 42   3 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 6.10  
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 6 1 56 5   4 4 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 8% 11.80 3.40  
GRAY ENOUGH 3 6 67 6   5 5 (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 11.70  
SHARP AZ CAN BE 2 4 13 11   6 618¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 3.80  
SCR  GETAWAY BAY               (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
 
TDN-4   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 3 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 64% 0.60 1.90 W
RUBY LAYNE 2 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (fletcher kevin)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12% 7.70 1.20 P
TITEBLUEJEANS 7 7 42 33   35 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.70  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 5 6 65 6   68 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 7.60  
WELLOILEDCAT 4 5 79 710¼   710 59 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 39.50  
STARLITESLEW 1 4 3 4   4 69 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
ANGIE'S DEAR ONE 6 1 52 5   57 710 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 18.00  
 
TDN-5   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 5 1 31 1½   14 15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 1.10  
STAGE NAME 1 4 2nk 2½   24 25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 27% 2.80 2.70 P
MUGSY MALONE 2 3 1nk 3½   35 3 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 9.70  
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 3 2 5 4   45 410½ (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
OVER THE HILLS 4 5 42 5   57 511½ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 3.00 39% 1.60 2.10  
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP               (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 5.00    
 
TDN-6   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINDNESS IS FREE 5 3 1nk 11   1 1 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 9% 9.70 2.50 W
SISTER CODE 6 2 42 21   2 2 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.50 18% 4.50 1.80 P
LUNA PRIMAVERA 1 4 2nk 3   3 3 (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 4.10  
OH ATLANTA 2 5 3 4   4 4 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
ZULLY BELLA 4 7 7 610½   68 510¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 12.70  
CAP IS BACK 7 1 55 5   5 611¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 50% 1.00 4.80  
BRITTY 3 6 69 714½   713 719 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 16.20  
 
TDN-7   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:113     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SPOKE 4 4 4 21 1 1½ 1nk (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00 W
CHANNEL FURY 6 1 3 3 32 2½ 2nk (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 53% 0.90 0.20 P
SO DIALED IN 3 2 12 11 2 3 37 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 8.00  
CARILLO 1 6 610½ 611 6 4 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 25% 3.10 5.90  
AULD LANGE SYNE 5 5 58 59 58 5 511¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 43.20  
CREDIT RIVER 2 3 22 44 48 68 615¼ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 19.40  
SCR  DISCLOSURE               (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:214 :453 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT 8 1 3 3   31 1 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 10% 9.10 5.70 W
INSIDE STUNT 3 8 811¼ 811½   54 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 56% 0.80 0.80 P
JOKEMEISTER 5 5 15 14   2½ 3 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 8.00 6.40  
SHADOW TRACER 4 4 25 24   1½ 44 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 3.70  
CUGINE 7 3 7 710   7 5 (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
10  GILLIGAN 9 2 6 59   6 6 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 33.90  
OTIS OTIS OTIS 6 7 4 4   44 7 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 16.10  
VENETIAN DREAM 2 9 916¼ 916½   910¼ 8 (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 77.10  
MON CAMO 1 6 5 610   8 914 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 8% 11.20 13.60  
SCR  BACKATYA               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.