Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - May 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (3/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABA LOOEY Jan24 Dec04 Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP Aug03 Jul11 Jun07 May31 May08 (jackson jame)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
3  NAMBITI Apr29 Apr08 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
4  ATTACK ANGLE Feb19 Feb06 Jan24 Dec04 Nov08 (skerrett jeffr)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00    
SCR  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Apr29 Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00    
6  FOREIGN Feb27 Feb05 Dec04 Oct11 Sep18 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct28 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 (shanyfelt valeri)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80    
 
TDN-2   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GIULIANA May01 Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Aug24 (skerrett jeff)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80    
2  IT FACTOR Apr27 Mar29 Jul27 Jul05 May19 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
3  ARTUME Dec27 Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 Jan02 (brins)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00    
4  ZIPPY ZINNY Mar15 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan14 (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROMANCE IN HABANA Sep21 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 Jun03 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
6  TRAMA QUEEN May01 Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 Oct05 (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 12% 7.70    
 
TDN-3   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PAY NO HAY Apr28 Mar28 Feb25 Feb10 Jan26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 ★    
2  SHARP AZ CAN BE Apr25 Feb22 Nov25 Sep10   (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
3  GRAY ENOUGH Mar20 Feb09       (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
4  CALI CRUISER Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Jan24 Jan10 (inirio ol)PILARES P 119 4.00 ★    
5  SPARKLY May03 Apr20 Mar16 Jan27   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Mar07         (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
7  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Oct19 Sep26 Sep05 Aug17 Jul21 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
TDN-4   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLITESLEW May06 Mar27 Feb22 Aug31 Aug09 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUBY LAYNE Jan11 Jan05 Dec06 Jun22 May31 (fletcher kevin)BRACHO A 119 12.00 12% 7.70    
3  LIGHTENING LOTTIE May08 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 64% 0.60    
4  WELLOILEDCAT May06 Jan11 Dec21 Dec05 Nov06 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
5  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Oct02 Sep21 Aug31 Feb16 Feb01 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
6  ANGIE'S DEAR ONE May07 Apr22 Apr08 Mar20 Sep04 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 ★    
7  TITEBLUEJEANS May06 Apr11 Mar27 Feb22 Feb05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Apr25 Jun02 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 5.00    
2  STAGE NAME Apr23 Jul29 Jun27 Jun02 May08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 27% 2.80    
3  MUGSY MALONE Jan10 Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep18 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Apr25 Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 Jul10 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OVER THE HILLS Apr25 Feb20 Jan25 Jan08 Dec20 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  ROCKSTAR RO May08 Mar28 Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
 
TDN-6   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA PRIMAVERA Apr29 Apr10 Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
2  OH ATLANTA Apr29 Apr10 Mar07     (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRITTY Aug18 Apr30 Jan11 Oct01 Sep11 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
4  ZULLY BELLA Apr25 Feb28 Feb18 Dec28 Nov24 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 2.50    
5  KINDNESS IS FREE Apr29 Feb21 Jan10 Dec28 Nov25 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 9% 9.70    
6  SISTER CODE Apr29 Apr10 Apr02 Jan24 Jan01 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
7  CAP IS BACK May09 Jun23       (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-7   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARILLO Nov02 Oct03 Sep08 Jul05 Jun06 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 25% 3.10    
2  CREDIT RIVER May01 Apr09 Dec20 Dec04 Jul25 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
3  SO DIALED IN May01 Feb26 Jan24 Dec21 Nov14 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
SCR  DISCLOSURE May06 Apr22 Apr09 Apr02 Mar12 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
5  GOLDEN SPOKE May06 Apr25 Apr08 Mar06 Feb01 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AULD LANGE SYNE May09 Mar20 Jan23 Jan01 Dec18 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 12.00    
7  CHANNEL FURY May01 Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 Jun11 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-8   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON CAMO Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 Aug30 Jul26 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 8% 11.20    
2  VENETIAN DREAM Jan10 Dec26 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
3  INSIDE STUNT Apr22 Mar28 Mar17 Feb20 Feb07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  SHADOW TRACER May08 Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 Jul26 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
5  JOKEMEISTER Apr25 Apr11 Mar20 Feb29 Sep05 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 8.00    
SCR  BACKATYA Apr25 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
7  OTIS OTIS OTIS Apr30 Apr13 Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
8  CUGINE Dec20 Nov29 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Apr22 Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 Dec20 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
10  GILLIGAN Apr23 Mar17 Feb28 Feb14 Jan15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.