Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.00  
TDN-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-3   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $16.60  
TDN-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-5   Win (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $3.60  
TDN-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 7.60
TDN-7   Win (10/7/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-8   Win (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $29.40 $29.40 21.40
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COROMANDEL 7 1 31½ 32½   21 12½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 4.50  
4  QADIRA 4 2 1nk 1nk   11 22½ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7.60  
8  MALI BALI 8 8 88¼ 78¼   44½ 35¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 8% 11.00 1.30 S
2  BEAUTY IN MOTION 2 6 63¾ 67¼   64¾ 46½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
3  SURPRISED GEM 3 7 74¼ 88¼   87¼ 56¾ (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 53.50  
6  MO RISSA 6 3 42 57   75¾ 67½ (skerrett jeffrey)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 33% 2.00 9.60  
5  CHARLOTTES WAY 5 4 2nk 2nk   32 710½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 21% 3.70 2.80  
1  WORKING HOLIDAY 1 5 52¼ 46½   54½ 811 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 117 8.00 8.10  
 
TDN-2   05/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THEODOROPOULOS 6 1 21½ 2½   1½ 13¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 61% 0.60 1.00 W
3  PEARLINTHEROUGH 3 5 31½ 45   43½ 23¼ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 16.30 P
1  CITRINA 1 4 11½ 1½   2½ 35½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 117 4.50 3.30  
4  BRIGHT MOON 4 6 42½ 33   33 47¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 1.80 14% 6.40 1.80  
5  BEING CREATIVE 5 2 55 57   57 510¾ (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 3.50 13.20  
2  JUMP INTO SANITY 2 3 65¼ 68½   610 613¼ (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 31.30  
 
TDN-3   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIGHT TRAPPE 3 1 21½ 21 1½ 13 11 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 ★ 7.30  
5  VILLAGE QUEEN 5 5 31½ 32 43½ 23 21 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 5% 19.00 1.80 P
2  ALSANAH 2 3 41¾ 42½ 33 33 31 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 19.20  
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 6 63¼ 54 54½ 54¾ 41¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.50 73% 0.40 0.70  
1  BANK BUSTER 1 2 11½ 11 2½ 43¼ 58 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 ★ 8.90  
4  SUZY Q THE QUEEN 4 7 75¼ 65½ 67½ 69¾ 617¼ (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
7  RIPLEY EFFECT 7 4 53¼ 76 712½ 715¾ 725¼ (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 39.70  
SCR  MISS FUSSY PANTS               (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SCRIMPER 3 1 25 21½   14 16¾ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 115 2.00 59% 0.70 0.70 W
5  CAVALETTO 4 3 38½ 36½   24 26¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.10 6.30 P
2  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 2 4 412½ 410½   46 39¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 29.20  
6  KINDERHOOK 5 2 15 11½   34 412¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00 6% 15.50 1.20  
1  NO MAS CERVEZA 1 5 517 517½   512 517¼ (brown glenroy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 24.90  
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE               (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIRST SONG 2 3 2½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 0.80  
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME 7 2 32 31   2½ 2¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10% 8.70 7.60 P
8  STONE COLD CAT 8 1 55 54½   43 3¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.50 S
5  VENTURE ON 5 6 65½ 79   64½ 41¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 11.50  
4  DR. ZARNETT 4 4 44 44   54 54½ (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 11% 7.80 6.20  
6  WHAT A RUSH 6 7 88 810½   86½ 65 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 15.00 19.60  
3  TIGER TRAIL 3 8 75½ 68½   74½ 77¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 10.00 11.90  
1  POWERFUL PHIL 1 5 1½ 2½   32½ 811 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 40% 1.50 5.10  
 
TDN-6   05/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 4 34 34½   31½ 11½ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 23% 3.30 5.80 W
3  MURTAGH 2 2 11 11   1nk 21½ (jackson james )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 1.80 48% 1.10 1.60 P
7  WHEN IN ROME 6 1 21 21   2nk 31¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 5.40  
2  SMALL SAILOR 1 3 44 45   43½ 44½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 121 4.00 2.60  
6  ON HIS TOES 5 5 57½ 59   57 55½ (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 17.00  
4  GIZMO'S MISSION 3 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
SCR  ARCHARCH CAT               (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EMPIRE'S FIRE 9 4 41¼ 21   1½ 13¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 35% 1.90 0.30 W
7  LIBERATE 7 2 31 11   2½ 23¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 18% 4.70 3.40 P
1  GONE IN A FLASH 1 9 96½ 911¾   58 34½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 12.00 54.00  
2  DARK VADER 2 8 83 710½   45 44½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 5.00 12% 7.50 13.40  
3  HIP HIP HOORAY 3 5 2nk 33   34 55½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 32.20  
5  MO DONT NO 5 7 62¾ 810¾   78½ 610¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 54.60  
4  WICKED WARRIOR 4 6 51¼ 610½   88¾ 711 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 11% 8.10 7.40  
6  SUSIE'S KID 6 1 73 43½   68½ 814 (rett)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 83.50  
8  SIMON SAYS 8 3 1nk 510   910¾ 917¾ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00 ######  
SCR  IT'S OFFICIAL               (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
 
TDN-8   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OVERLOAD 6 1 21½ 21   11½ 12¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 10% 9.10 13.70 W
8  VICTORY DIVISION 8 2 43 42   32 22¼ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 10.00 11.30  
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY 3 5 53¼ 54½   64¼ 33¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.50 S
1  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 1 7 76¼ 64½   52¼ 44 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 7.70  
5  NEBULOSA 5 3 11½ 11   21½ 54 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 6.40  
4  MISTER MOBIL 4 8 88¼ 76½   76¼ 65 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5.10  
7  SHANGHAI PRINCE 7 4 31½ 31½   42 76 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 16% 5.40 3.30  
2  OHIO EAGLE 2 6 65¼ 88   810¼ 812¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.