Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (10/7/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-8   Win (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKING HOLIDAY Apr25 Apr10 Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 117 8.00    
2  BEAUTY IN MOTION Apr25 Dec27 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SURPRISED GEM Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan25 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00    
4  QADIRA Apr29 Apr04 Mar20 Sep05   (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
5  CHARLOTTES WAY Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
6  MO RISSA Jan03 Dec05 Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 (skerrett jeffrey)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  COROMANDEL Apr20 Mar23 Mar01 Feb16 Feb04 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80    
8  MALI BALI Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 8% 11.00    
 
TDN-2   05/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITRINA Apr22 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 117 4.50    
2  JUMP INTO SANITY Apr22 Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Dec13 (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00    
3  PEARLINTHEROUGH Apr22 Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRIGHT MOON Apr25 Apr11 Mar30 Mar20 Mar09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 1.80 14% 6.40    
5  BEING CREATIVE Apr04 Feb28 Feb21 Feb14 Jan25 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 3.50    
6  THEODOROPOULOS Apr22 Mar20 Mar07 Feb12 Jan09 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
TDN-3   05/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK BUSTER Apr25 Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 Feb20 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 ★    
2  ALSANAH Apr26 Apr07 Mar22 Feb19 Dec29 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
3  RIGHT TRAPPE Mar17 Mar08 Feb09 Dec15 Oct03 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 ★    
4  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Apr30 Apr03 Mar13 Feb28 Feb12 (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL Apr23 Mar30 Jan09 Dec05 Nov09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.50 73% 0.40    
7  RIPLEY EFFECT Apr23 Sep25 Sep07 Aug24 Aug07 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS FUSSY PANTS May04 Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Feb22 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MAS CERVEZA Apr30 Apr11 Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 (brown glenroy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
2  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Oct30 Oct10 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
3  SCRIMPER Apr13 Nov15 Oct28 Aug12 Jul13 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 115 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 Feb08 Jan24 (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
5  CAVALETTO Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 Jul31 Jun15 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  KINDERHOOK Mar28 Mar04 Nov15 Oct28 Sep06 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00 6% 15.50    
 
TDN-5   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL PHIL Apr24 Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Aug30 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  FIRST SONG May04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Dec26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
3  TIGER TRAIL May01 Feb21 Jan22 Dec26 Dec12 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
4  DR. ZARNETT Nov30 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Aug26 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 11% 7.80    
5  VENTURE ON Dec13 Sep28 Jun24 May23 Mar21 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
6  WHAT A RUSH Jan01 Nov28 Oct09 Sep20 Jul29 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME Apr04 Mar11 Feb28 Nov21 Oct13 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
8  STONE COLD CAT Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 Feb27 Jan24 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARCHARCH CAT Apr30 Dec19 Dec06 Jun06 May24 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
2  SMALL SAILOR Apr24 Apr04 Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
3  MURTAGH Aug14 Jul19 Jul03 Jun10 Jun13 (jackson james )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  GIZMO'S MISSION Jan15 Dec27 Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Apr24 Mar26 Mar11 Feb22 Feb12 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
6  ON HIS TOES Apr24 Apr09 Feb22 Jan27 Jan01 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
7  WHEN IN ROME Apr24 Apr08 Mar27 Feb29 Feb22 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
 
TDN-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Oct28 Oct06 Sep20 Aug24 Aug09 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
2  DARK VADER Mar26 Mar04 Jan31 Jan08 Dec26 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 5.00 12% 7.50    
3  HIP HIP HOORAY Aug18 Jul10 Jun02 May15 Apr04 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
4  WICKED WARRIOR Oct28 Oct02 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  MO DONT NO Oct28 Oct04 Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
6  SUSIE'S KID Oct24 Oct06 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 (rett)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIBERATE Mar11 Dec26 Nov20 Aug06 May30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 18% 4.70    
8  SIMON SAYS Feb14 Jan08 Dec26 Jun24 May17 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
SCR  IT'S OFFICIAL Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Feb20 Jan08 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
10  EMPIRE'S FIRE May01 Jul10 Jun15 Jun02 May11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-8   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Apr24 Feb28 Jan24 Jan02 Dec13 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
2  OHIO EAGLE Dec12 Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY Apr24 Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 Dec30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  MISTER MOBIL May04 Apr11 Apr04 Mar26 Mar14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
5  NEBULOSA Apr23 Oct13 Sep04 Aug03 Jun13 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
6  OVERLOAD Apr02 Mar13 Feb15 Jan15 Dec26 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
7  SHANGHAI PRINCE Apr24 Jun24 Jun06 May06 Mar30 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
8  VICTORY DIVISION Apr22 Apr04 Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.