Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-2   Win (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-5   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $14.60  
TDN-6   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
TDN-7   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-8   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT WONDER 6 2 12 15   16 18 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 67% 0.50 0.20 W
DERBY DAY KISS 4 4 22 35   3 28 (cline c)BRACHO A 117 4.50 11.60  
NUBLADA 1 6 56 4   48 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 5% 19.00 9.30 S
SUGAR LOVES IT 3 3 33 25   26 411 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 57.00  
BUCKEYE CRUISER 5 1 45 510½   512 513 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 4.40  
OH GLORIOUS DAY 2 5 68 617½   626 631¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 10.00 89.60  
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYO 4 5 4 31   23 11 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.00 22% 3.60 0.60 W
FOREST SURVIVOR 6 4 2nk 1½   13 21 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 6.20  
BROADWAY JONES 3 6 5 5   4 36 (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 12.00 28.60  
MARLEY LUCK 7 2 1nk 2½   3 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 16% 5.50 4.40  
MASTER 5 1 31 4   5 5 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 22.60  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 2 7 6 6   6 6 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 41% 1.40 5.40  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK 1 3 7 712½   717¾ 718¾ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
 
TDN-3   07/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTS MALONE 3 3 1 1   16 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 18% 4.40 2.40 W
CLEAN MACHINE 5 2 3 2   26 2 (hamm timothy)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.00 2.20  
FULL SPECTRUM 2 5 5 43   4 310¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.60 S
GONE WILD 4 1 2 3   37 412 (cline c)BRACHO A 118 4.50 3.90  
MY BABY BULLET 1 4 4 5   5 518¾ (langley jo)FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00 20.40  
SCR  ED'S REWARD               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAELY'S SISTER 3 4 3 11   13 1 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 123 1.60 34% 1.90 0.20 W
COMMAND STRIKE 2 3 1½ 21   23 2 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 21% 3.70 3.70 P
MALICED 1 5 53 54   37 3 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60 S
WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 2½ 3   47 410¼ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 21.30  
LIBERTY BELLE 4 2 4 43   59 511¼ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 13.50  
SCR  AFERDITA               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-5   07/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING ZENNA 1 4 31 2   1½ 1 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 6.30  
MAGICGIRL 3 3 4 42   33 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 5.00 6.00  
IMMACULATE HEART 5 2 11 1   2½ 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 26% 2.80 2.10 S
OPULENT WAYS 6 1 21 3   43 4 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 31% 2.20 0.90  
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 2 6 53 56   5 58 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
HASTY LADY 4 5 6 6   6 6 (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 11.50  
 
TDN-6   07/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:13     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONKAWA SPRINGS 2 1 2½ 23 2 2½ 1 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 2.00 51% 1.00 2.20 W
DR JACK FLYER 1 3 1½ 13 1 1½ 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.60 28% 2.60 1.90 P
CREATIVE BEAT 5 4 5 66 4 35 3 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90 S
SIR 4 6 610 5 3 46 411¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 2.90  
SKYHOOPER 3 5 47 34 5 510 516¼ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 7.60  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 6 2 3 44 611 612 620 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 7.20  
 
TDN-7   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:00     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 5 1 21 2½   2nk 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 18% 4.50 1.20 W
AWESOME ENOUGH 1 3 11 1½   1nk 2¾ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 2.70  
COMPASS POINT 3 6 4 32   33 3 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.40 S
LEXATOGA 4 5 6 5   4 4 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 10.70  
RAMBLIN CHROME 6 4 3 43   5 59 (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00 32.50  
OWN THE TOWN 2 2 5 6   6100 6100 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 54% 0.90 2.00  
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NAUGHTY 1 2 1½ 1   1 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 121 2.00 37% 1.70 0.80 W
BEN DIESEL 2 6 4 2   2 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70 P
GOTTS GOT IT 3 5 6 43   3 3 (potts g)FELICIANO R 115 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 4 3 3 53   59 412 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 15.40  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 5 1 2½ 32   49 513 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 15.00 21.00  
HITSVILLE 6 4 52 6   610½ 615½ (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 10.20  
SCR  MORE LOVE               (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.