Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/1)-(2/3/4)-(3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/2/1)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/5/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/5/3)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUBLADA Jun17 May13 Mar12 Feb14   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE Apr11 Feb24 Dec27 Nov24 Sep13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
3  OH GLORIOUS DAY Jun13 May06 Apr13 Feb07 Dec14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 115 10.00    
4  SUGAR LOVES IT Jun17 Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Aug02 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
5  DERBY DAY KISS Jun07 May18 Apr13 Dec14 Nov14 (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 4.50    
6  BUCKEYE CRUISER Jun18 May30 May09 Apr24   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT WONDER Jun17 Jun03 Apr01 Feb07 Dec20 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
TDN-2   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK May27 May04 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER May27 Nov21 Oct31 Sep18 Aug08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  BROADWAY JONES Jun17 May13 Mar20 Mar05 Feb05 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 12.00    
4  CRYO Jun24 Dec06 Nov21 Nov08 Sep24 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  MASTER Jun17 Jan31 Dec30 Dec06 Nov16 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
6  FOREST SURVIVOR Jun26 Jun11 Jan08 Jan01 Nov29 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50    
7  MARLEY LUCK Jun17 May27 May08 Apr13 Apr02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 16% 5.50    
 
TDN-3   07/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BABY BULLET         (langley )FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
2  FULL SPECTRUM         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  BOOTS MALONE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  ED'S REWARD May29         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LEONA'S REWARD by PARENTS' REWARD)
5  GONE WILD         (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  CLEAN MACHINE Jun26         (hamm timoth)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GARAGE KEPT by DEHERE)
 
TDN-4   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALICED Jun11 May22 Jul25 Jun24 Jun07 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMMAND STRIKE Jun11 May22 May01 Oct02 Jul25 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  KAELY'S SISTER Jun15 May12 Apr27 Mar30 Sep25 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 123 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  AFERDITA Jun03 May09 Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
5  LIBERTY BELLE Jun10 Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 Dec05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00    
6  WINE ME UP BABY May22 Apr13 Mar26 Oct05 Sep07 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
 
TDN-5   07/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZING ZENNA Jun13 May30 May04 Mar28 Feb22 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 2.00    
2  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jun13 Dec22 Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGICGIRL Jun13 May22 May04 Sep27 Sep12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
4  HASTY LADY Jun13 Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 Aug16 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
5  IMMACULATE HEART Jun13 Oct18 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  OPULENT WAYS Jun13 May30 Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-6   07/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR JACK FLYER Mar29 Feb28 Feb17 Jan27   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.60 28% 2.60    
2  TONKAWA SPRINGS May17 Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  SKYHOOPER Jun25 Apr19 Mar13 Feb21 Jan27 (morales m)REYES FRANK 119 8.00    
4  SIR Jun08 May14 Apr12 Mar22 Mar10 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
5  CREATIVE BEAT Jun05 May14 Nov30 Nov14   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jun08 May07 Mar07 Feb20 Jan22 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ENOUGH Jun13 May23 Apr25 Apr09 Mar11 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
2  OWN THE TOWN Jun17 May14 Dec13 Oct09 Sep11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
3  COMPASS POINT Jun17 May27 May08 Apr25 Apr02 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEXATOGA Nov21 Nov01 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
5  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jun24 Jun05 May22 Apr30 Mar20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.80 18% 4.50    
6  RAMBLIN CHROME Jun24 May18 Apr30 Apr04 Feb29 (bro)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb29 Feb05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NAUGHTY Jun13 May21 Apr23 Apr01 Feb29 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  BEN DIESEL Jun22 Jun05 Apr26 Mar17 Jan06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MORE LOVE Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 Jul11 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
4  GOTTS GOT IT Apr14 Mar08 Feb09 Dec20 Dec02 (potts g)FELICIANO R 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jun24 Jun07 May23 May09 May01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
6  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Jun13 May21 Apr29 Jan30 Dec30 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
7  HITSVILLE Jun13 May28 Jan30 Jan03 Nov30 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.