Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
TDN-3   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $15.20  
TDN-4   Win (9/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $43.00 $43.00 35.00
TDN-5   Win (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $6.80  
TDN-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.40  
TDN-7   Win (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
TDN-8   Win (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROYAL'D 7 1 13 15   12 1½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
3  PLAY BALL 3 3 23 35   22 2½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 3.00 28% 2.60 3.20 P
2  WORTHY OPPONENT 2 4 44 25   33 34 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 5.10  
4  SWEET LEMON DROP 4 6 55 59½   47 45½ (jackson jame)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50 7% 14.20 5.50  
1  KARAMEL CORN 1 5 77¾ 612   610½ 57¼ (tumb)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
5  MONSTER HUNTER 5 7 67½ 713½   712 68 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 123 8.00 11.70  
6  ATTACK ANGLE 6 2 33 48½   57½ 78¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 39.80  
 
TDN-2   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C OUTWORK 1 3 22 21½   1½ 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 66% 0.50 1.50 W
6  RAMBLER 5 1 43½ 32   2½ 2¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 7% 13.10 1.20 P
4  MOR CRAFTY 3 2 33½ 42   43 34¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 ★ 3.30 S
5  CRACK COMMAND 4 4 12 11½   3½ 45½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 10.00 7.00  
2  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 2 5 56 55   55 57½ (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00 33.50  
SCR  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER               (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
 
TDN-3   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMALL SAILOR 5 2 2nk 1½   1nk 1½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6.60  
4  TOYI 4 5 41¾ 3½   2nk 2½ (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 4.00 3.10  
1  THE RED MAN 1 4 1nk 2½   31½ 32¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
6  EL BANDIDO 6 1 54¼ 53   43½ 44¾ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 11% 7.80 3.50  
2  UNCAPTURED LYON 2 3 3.2 41½   53¾ 55¾ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 10.50  
3  DRAMA'S PRAYER 3 6 64¾ 63¼   66¾ 612¾ (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 1.80 65% 0.50 1.70  
 
TDN-4   07/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :483       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNIS SECOND WIND 1 2 11 1½   12½ 11¾ (cline c)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.50 W
8  SMOKIN JOE 7 1 32½ 3½   22½ 21¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 15.00 10.00  
9  COLONEL COOPER 8 5 64½ 52¾   45 33 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.20 S
2  MISTER ZAZU 2 7 53 2½   33 46½ (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 8.80  
6  AIR RAID (GB) 6 6 75½ 76¾   610 510 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 10% 9.50 1.90  
5  GRETCHENS MANE MAN 5 3 21 4¾   58 613¾ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00 48.50  
3  AQUAVIT 3 4 42½ 62¾   710 717½ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 7.30  
4  PROFESSOR NICK 4 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (zielinski)PILARES P 118 12.00 5% 17.50 19.10  
SCR  DR. GEORGE               (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
 
TDN-5   07/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AUSTRIAN NAVY 7 1 52¾ 41¾   13½ 18¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 2.40  
2  LA CUMPARSITA 2 7 42½ 54¾   55½ 28¼ (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.00 8% 11.10 6.20 P
7  BAREBACK FUN 6 2 31½ 31½   23½ 38¼ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 11.70  
5  EPICUREAN 5 3 2nk 1nk   33½ 410½ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 41% 1.40 2.00  
4  ROSY APPLE 4 4 74¾ 77¾   78 511 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 35.20  
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 5 63¾ 65¾   67 611¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
1  ROCK ROSE 1 6 1nk 2nk   44½ 716½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.50 22% 3.50 2.30  
SCR  MISS SHADY               (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 121 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TITEBLUEJEANS 2 5 45 55   2½ 11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 8.00 DQ↓3
1  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 1 6 68½ 45   3½ 21 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 3.70  
5  MOST ADORABLE 5 2 1nk 11   1½ 33¾ (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 20% 4.00 3.60 P
3  BEAUTIFUL SCORE 3 4 57 65½   44 46¼ (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.50 38% 1.70 2.10  
6  WILD MARIAH 6 1 31 21   54¼ 512¾ (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 110 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
4  OFFICE CHATTER 4 3 2nk 31½   64¾ 615 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 2.50  
 
TDN-7   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SO DIALED IN 3 6 11 1½   12½ 11½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 14% 5.90 3.30 W
2  STATESBORO 2 8 812 87¾   76¼ 21½ (winters michell)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 15.50  
1  GOOD ON YA 1 7 63½ 65¼   65¼ 33 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00 11.00  
8  ALTISSIMO 8 2 43 44   34½ 43¼ (zielinski)PILARES P 123 3.00 27% 2.70 2.40  
6  IRISH UNITY 6 1 21 2½   22½ 53¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00 10.10  
7  DOCTOR WU 7 4 78 75¾   45 63¾ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
5  BREEZY MONEY 5 5 53½ 55   86¾ 75½ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 16.50  
4  TIME TO SHOOT 4 3 32 34   55 85¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.00 25% 2.90 2.00  
 
TDN-8   07/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE DEVIL'S DREAM 3 4 22 21   2½ 1hd (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50 35% 1.80 2.00 W
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 5 2 12 11   1½ 2hd (skerrett jeff)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 2.00 P
8  PANAMANIAC 6 1 44½ 45   42½ 3½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 34% 1.90 1.40 S
3  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 1 6 32½ 33½   32½ 43¼ (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 15.00  
6  RAINBOW SHIP 4 3 68½ 68½   65 53½ (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 53.00  
4  BOSSY LADY 2 5 55½ 56   54 64½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 11.60  
SCR  JETTIN PEGASUS               (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  STATUS SYMBOL               (fernandez edward)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.