Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-2   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $4.00  
TDN-3   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-4   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-5   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $13.40  
TDN-6   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
TDN-7   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
TDN-8   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $19.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 5 2 11 1   12 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 40% 1.50 1.50 W
OFFICIALLY YOURS 9 1 4 3   22 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 25% 2.90 3.10 P
LARRY'S ANGEL 8 3 21 2   32 3 (cowans william )BRACHO A 121 3.00 2.20 S
BROWNIE 6 6 64 54   4 410½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00 11.50  
THE MIRACLE KIUT 3 7 7 6   6 512 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 9% 9.60 19.40  
QUEENIE ROSE 2 8 910 8   710¼ 613¼ (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 22.50  
ANCHORWOMAN 4 4 32 43   5 714½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
EMERSON JONES 7 9 8 910   811¼ 816½ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 26.30  
GOLD HONEY 1 5 5 7   913¼ 921½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 20.00 61.00  
 
TDN-2   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 1 6 1½ 1½   13 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 1.00  
MIGHTY LES 4 7 5 31   23 2 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 48% 1.10 3.30 P
WITHOUT OBJECTION 3 4 2½ 2½   3 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00 10.00  
QUICK QUICK WHIT 8 1 41 52   5 4 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 5.00 3.10  
COURTHOUSE COVE 6 3 31 42   4 511 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.70 24.00  
POKER PARTNER 5 2 6 6   6 611 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 115 4.50 16% 5.40 9.90  
EL BANDIDO 2 5 8 85   710¾ 713½ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 63.50  
AURA OF GOLD 7 8 7 7   812¼ 815 (madrigal r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.70  
SCR  TOYI               (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLESTON 4 3 2 1nk 15 18 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 0.60 W
LORD MARXMAN 1 1 33 3 35 28 2 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50 7.70  
GREERS FERRY 2 5 510 511½ 5 4 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 1.50  
CAN'T YOU SEE 5 4 4 4 47 38 412 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 12% 7.40 10.60  
BE ON NOTICE 3 2 1 2nk 25 514 531 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 48.20  
SCR  LEAVENWORTH               (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETAWAY BAY 4 1 1 1   1 1 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 45% 1.20 1.10 W
MY BEST DAY EVER 6 2 2 2   2 2 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 3.50 3.40  
MISS EASY 3 4 5 4   4 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 17% 4.70 1.70 S
INSATIABLE EVA 1 3 3 33   3 4 (canegata james)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
PARDY PLEASER 2 5 6 6   5 5 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 115 6.00 19.10  
NOT TODAY 5 6 45 5   611 610 (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00 18.40  
 
TDN-5   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BETTY 1 4 31 3   2 1 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 5.00 5.70  
BACK TO OHIO 3 2 1½ 11   1 2 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.60 54% 0.90 0.60 P
RED HOT LASS 4 1 2½ 21   3 3 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 121 2.50 1.30  
SHEISTHEHERO 2 3 4 4   47 49 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  LURE'EM IN               (meah m)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:012     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MAS CERVEZA 3 1 12 2nk   1nk 1½ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 16% 5.10 2.20 W
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 5 5 22 1nk   2nk 2½ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 47% 1.10 1.10 P
ONE STEP ASIDE 1 4 510½ 510   48 3 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 19.20  
REDDEN 4 2 4 34   35 4 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 2.00  
BIG TIME FLIRT 2 3 3 45   510 5 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 10.00 12.20  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN 1 1 1½ 1 12 12 13 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 6.00 27% 2.70 3.50 W
ROYAL DRAGOON 5 6 613 610½ 6 22 23 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 26.00 P
JOHN'S ROCK 4 3 32 43 4 4 3 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 S
I WANNA WIN 3 2 42 33 22 3 4 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.90  
ONE TEN 2 5 55 5 5 54 59 (vecchio caryn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 5.50  
GOLDEN SPOKE 6 4 2½ 2 32 610 623 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 121 2.50 4.10  
 
TDN-8   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:143     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ENOUGH 1 5 1½ 2nk 22 2nk 14 (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 8.60  
REVENUE TRAIN 6 1 2½ 1nk 12 1nk 24 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.60 51% 1.00 0.60 P
QUICKSTYLE 2 3 5 35 3 33 3 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 4.70  
STAKEMAKER 5 6 6 610¼ 615½ 411 415½ (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 4 2 3 4 410½ 513 530½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 25% 2.90 5.50  
LIME TREE 3 4 4 5 513½ 617 640¼ (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 22.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.