Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-6   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD HONEY Jun03 May14 Apr13 Mar28 Mar12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 20.00    
QUEENIE ROSE Jan10 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
THE MIRACLE KIUT Mar28 Mar13 Dec21 Nov28 Nov09 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 9% 9.60    
ANCHORWOMAN Jun27 Dec21 Nov22 Oct21 Sep19 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jun17 Apr24 Oct28 Sep25 Aug12 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
BROWNIE Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr24 Jul17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
EMERSON JONES Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr25 Feb26 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
LARRY'S ANGEL Jun07 May02 Feb08 Jun02 Mar23 (cowans william )BRACHO A 121 3.00    
OFFICIALLY YOURS Jun07 May06 Mar12 Dec14 Nov29 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 25% 2.90    
 
TDN-2   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY May21 May07 Apr14 Mar22 Mar14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
EL BANDIDO Jul03 May21 May07 Apr03 Mar19 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
WITHOUT OBJECTION Jun22 May14 Apr28 Apr13 Mar16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 6.00    
SCR  TOYI Jul03 Jun25 May28 May07 Apr24 (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
MIGHTY LES Jun22 Jun08 May14 Apr23 Mar28 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 48% 1.10    
POKER PARTNER Jun22 May07 Apr29 Mar19 Mar11 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 115 4.50 16% 5.40    
COURTHOUSE COVE May21 Aug12 Jun17 Apr15 Mar09 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
AURA OF GOLD Jun22 May21 May07 Apr03 Jan24 (madrigal r)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUICK QUICK WHIT Jun24 Jun05 May21 Apr29 Feb20 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD MARXMAN Jun22 May21       (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50    
SCR  LEAVENWORTH Jun19 Jun04 Apr20 Mar28 Mar13 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00    
GREERS FERRY Jun22 Jun04 May14 Apr27 Apr07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
BE ON NOTICE Jul02 Jun10 May20 Dec01 Nov12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLESTON Jun22 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
CAN'T YOU SEE Jun12 Apr25 Feb09     (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-4   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSATIABLE EVA Jun22 May30 May09 Jan10 Oct08 (canegata james)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PARDY PLEASER Jun22 Jun04 Feb21 Jan25 Dec02 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 115 6.00    
MISS EASY Jun04 May13 Apr22 Mar02 Feb17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
GETAWAY BAY Jul02 Jun11 Mar07     (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
NOT TODAY Jun22 May30 May13 May01 Mar20 (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00    
MY BEST DAY EVER Jun22 Jun03 Oct22 Sep15   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 3.50    
 
TDN-5   07/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BETTY Jun19 May27 Dec13 Nov19 Nov01 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 5.00    
SHEISTHEHERO May22 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BACK TO OHIO Dec16 Nov20 Oct05 Aug26 Jul11 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.60 54% 0.90    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May24 Dec23 Nov03 Sep29 Jul08 (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
RED HOT LASS Jun22 Jun03 May01 Aug15 Jul20 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
SCR  LURE'EM IN Jun27 Jun07 May18 Apr24 Jan06 (meah m)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00    
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr26 Mar09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
 
TDN-6   07/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE STEP ASIDE Jun19 Jun05 May28 May08 Mar13 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN Jun05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 Dec14 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG TIME FLIRT Jun26 Jun11 May21 May01 Feb08 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 10.00    
NO MAS CERVEZA Jun19 Jun05 May28 May15 Apr30 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 16% 5.10    
REDDEN Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 Mar25 Feb21 (cline c)ROSARIO L 121 3.00    
LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jun19 May28 May07 Apr04 Jan30 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
TDN-7   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN Jun12 May22 May01 May19 Apr22 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
ONE TEN Jun25 Apr04 Feb07 Jan06 Dec16 (vecchio caryn)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50    
I WANNA WIN Jun13 May14 Oct28 Oct02 Aug12 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
JOHN'S ROCK Jun27 Apr09 Feb26 Dec05 Nov14 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
ROYAL DRAGOON Jun25 Jun04 Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN SPOKE Jun26 Jun05 May20 May06 Apr25 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 121 2.50    
 
TDN-8   07/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ENOUGH Jun19 May20 Mar20 Feb09   (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
QUICKSTYLE Jun19 Jun04 May08 Apr02 Mar07 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
LIME TREE Jun10 May15 Mar23 Feb17 Jan28 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Jun19 Jun04 May20 Oct19 Sep26 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 25% 2.90    
STAKEMAKER Jun19 Jun04 May01 Apr06   (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
REVENUE TRAIN Jun26 Nov20 Sep14 Aug13   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.