Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
TDN-2   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.60  
TDN-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60
TDN-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $2.40  
TDN-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-7   Win (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 7.40
TDN-8   Win (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSECUTOR 6 1 3 33   3 1nk (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 11% 8.50 2.30 W
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 4 2 2 2   2 2nk (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 51% 1.00 1.20 P
ZAKARIA 3 3 1 1   1 3 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
DR. ZARNETT 2 6 7 56   56 4 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 10.00 13.90  
LITTLE TOY GUNS 7 5 6 4   4 5 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 11% 8.10 5.40  
EAGLE NEST 5 4 43 66   6 6 (zielinski richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 10.00  
RUN ROCKY 1 7 5 77   710 713¾ (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 33.40  
 
TDN-2   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 3 1 21 1nk   1½ 14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 48% 1.10 0.50 W
THRU THE VINE 2 3 3 34   3 24 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 19% 4.10 18.90 P
AYE AYE SIR 1 2 11 2nk   2½ 34 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 2.50 1.70  
STAR ENTERTAINER 4 4 56 46   4 4 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.00 15.40  
DISCLOSURE 5 5 46 5   57 5 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  SUSIE'S KID               (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOXSTER 4 2 2½ 3½   1nk 1 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 12.00 6.80  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 6 1 3 2½   2nk 2 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 19% 4.40 2.60 P
PANTHERA'S FATE 5 4 1½ 1½   3.2 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80 44% 1.30 0.80 S
INTRANSIGENT 3 5 4 4   4 4 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 6.20  
MO SNOW 2 3 56 53   5 59 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 12.20  
MIRO 1 6 6 67   6 612 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
 
TDN-4   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALENDULA 1 3 13 14 12 1 1 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
CEVICHE 3 2 23 24 3 2 2 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50 24.70  
FIONA 5 4 3 3 22 3 34 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80 2.20  
SPECIAL BEACH 6 1 5 57 45 4 4 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 33% 2.00 3.50  
THEODOROPOULOS 4 6 6 47 5 5 515 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 2.00 39% 1.50 1.70  
QUARANTINA 2 5 4 610 613½ 612½ 618¼ (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 8.80  
 
TDN-5   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNING PAGES 5 1 3½ 1nk   1nk 12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 1.50 0.20  
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 4 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.00 7.40  
OVERLOAD 2 5 5 57   33 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 38% 1.60 7.20 S
TADZIO 1 3 1nk 32   4 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 6.90  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 3 2 4 4   5 5100 (shanyfelt valer)BRACHO A 121 5.00 10% 9.50 20.40  
 
TDN-6   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:151     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP SHOT 5 2 1 1 12 15 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.60 52% 0.90 0.30 W
BIG POPPER 4 4 43 5 44 4 2 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 8.00 7.90  
BLUNDER 3 3 2 2 22 25 3 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 16.90 6.40 S
RULE IT 1 5 5 46 55 5 412 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 8.30  
JIMMY JUNGA 2 1 3 3 32 3 514½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 17% 4.80 5.70  
SCR  HIALEAH NATIVE               (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO GIRL 5 1 1½ 2½   2nk 11 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
KETTLE KISS 4 7 6 6   56 21 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 1.70  
SALUTE THE KID 7 2 2½ 1½   1nk 31 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 2.90  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 3 52 53   4 4 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00 27.30  
RONNI'S WIND 1 5 3 3   33 5 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 6.00 8% 11.10 8.80  
EXPRESS FASHION 8 4 42 42   6 6 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 9.60 9.80  
ONE RICH KITTEN 3 8 78 810½   79 79 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 12.00 30.60  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 6 8 710½   8 8 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 47% 1.10 3.60  
 
TDN-8   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAT TRAX 6 1 4 4   3 1¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 3.50 17% 5.00 2.00 W
DOLCE MARIE 2 4 1 12   1 2¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 121 2.50 3.20  
KISS VALENTINA 4 2 2 32   2 31 (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 1 6 53 6   6 4 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00 10.60  
IMA MOM 5 3 6 5   5 5 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 41% 1.40 1.00  
HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 3 5 3 22   44 6 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 29.50  
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL               (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 115 3.00 13% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.