Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-4-3 $33.70 $9.70 40%
TDN-2   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $14.20 $8.20 137%
TDN-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.60 $4.60 77%
TDN-7   WIN (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $15.40 $7.40 93%
TDN-8   DD (2/8/1/5)-(6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-7 $17.30 $1.30 8%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROSECUTOR 6 1 32½ 33   31½ 1nk (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 11% 8.50 2.30 W
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 4 2 21½ 22½   21½ 2nk (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 51% 1.00 1.20 P
3  ZAKARIA 3 3 11½ 12½   11½ 31¼ (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
2  DR. ZARNETT 2 6 74½ 56   56 42½ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 10.00 13.90  
7  LITTLE TOY GUNS 7 5 63½ 45½   45½ 53¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 11% 8.10 5.40  
5  EAGLE NEST 5 4 43 66   68½ 68½ (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 10.00  
1  RUN ROCKY 1 7 53½ 77   710 713¾ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 33.40  
 
TDN-2   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROCKSTAR RO 3 1 21 1nk   1½ 14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 48% 1.10 0.50 W
2  THRU THE VINE 2 3 31½ 34   34½ 24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 19% 4.10 18.90 P
1  AYE AYE SIR 1 2 11 2nk   2½ 34 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 2.50 1.70  
4  STAR ENTERTAINER 4 4 56 46   45½ 44½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.00 15.40  
5  DISCLOSURE 5 5 46 56¼   57 55¼ (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  SUSIE'S KID               (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOXSTER 4 2 2½ 3½   1nk 11¼ (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 12.00 6.80  
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL 6 1 32½ 2½   2nk 21¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 19% 4.40 2.60 P
5  PANTHERA'S FATE 5 4 1½ 1½   3.2 33¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80 44% 1.30 0.80 S
3  INTRANSIGENT 3 5 42½ 41½   42¼ 44¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 6.20  
2  MO SNOW 2 3 56 53   55¼ 59 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 12.20  
1  MIRO 1 6 69½ 67   67¼ 612 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
 
TDN-4   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALENDULA 1 3 13 14 12 11½ 12¼ (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
3  CEVICHE 3 2 23 24 33½ 21½ 22¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50 24.70  
5  FIONA 5 4 34½ 35½ 22 33½ 34 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80 2.20  
6  SPECIAL BEACH 6 1 55½ 57 45 44½ 44¾ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 33% 2.00 3.50  
4  THEODOROPOULOS 4 6 65¾ 47 57½ 59½ 515 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 2.00 39% 1.50 1.70  
2  QUARANTINA 2 5 45½ 610 613½ 612½ 618¼ (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 8.80  
 
TDN-5   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TURNING PAGES 5 1 3½ 1nk   1nk 12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.50 ★ 0.20  
4  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 4 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.00 7.40  
2  OVERLOAD 2 5 58½ 57   33 32¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 38% 1.60 7.20 S
1  TADZIO 1 3 1nk 32   43¼ 47½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 6.90  
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 3 2 44½ 45½   57¼ 5100 (shanyfelt val)BRACHO A 121 5.00 10% 9.50 20.40  
 
TDN-6   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:151     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHARP SHOT 5 2 11½ 11½ 12 15 15¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.60 52% 0.90 0.30 W
5  BIG POPPER 4 4 43 56¼ 44 46½ 25¾ (romero a)PEREZ A 119 8.00 7.90  
4  BLUNDER 3 3 21½ 21½ 22 25 39¼ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 16.90 6.40 S
2  RULE IT 1 5 54½ 46 55 58½ 412 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 8.30  
3  JIMMY JUNGA 2 1 31½ 31½ 32 36½ 514½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 17% 4.80 5.70  
SCR  HIALEAH NATIVE               (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GO GIRL 5 1 1½ 2½   2nk 11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
4  KETTLE KISS 4 7 64½ 64½   56 21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 1.70  
7  SALUTE THE KID 7 2 2½ 1½   1nk 31 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 2.90  
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 3 52 53   44½ 42½ (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00 27.30  
1  RONNI'S WIND 1 5 31½ 31½   33 55¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 6.00 8% 11.10 8.80  
8  EXPRESS FASHION 8 4 42 42   66½ 66¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 9.60 9.80  
3  ONE RICH KITTEN 3 8 78 810½   79 79 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 12.00 30.60  
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 6 88¼ 710½   89½ 89½ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 47% 1.10 3.60  
 
TDN-8   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KAT TRAX 6 1 42½ 42¼   32½ 1¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 17% 5.00 2.00 W
2  DOLCE MARIE 2 4 11½ 12   11½ 2¼ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 121 2.50 3.20  
4  KISS VALENTINA 4 2 21½ 32   21½ 31 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90 S
1  MANDOLIN BREEZE 1 6 53 67¼   65½ 42¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00 10.60  
6  IMA MOM 5 3 63½ 55¼   55½ 52¾ (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 41% 1.40 1.00  
3  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 3 5 32½ 22   44 66¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 29.50  
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL               (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 115 3.00 13% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.