Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(3/2/5)-(5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/3)-(6/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/3/4)-(2/8/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/8/1/5)-(6/7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/5)-(6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ROCKY Jun17 Aug09 Jul27 Jan05 Nov30 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  DR. ZARNETT Jun22 May27 May15 Nov30 Oct11 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
3  ZAKARIA Jun17 Feb20 Dec13 Nov14 Oct06 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jun17 May20 Apr25 Oct28 Sep28 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  EAGLE NEST Jun17 May23 May08 Apr24 Apr03 (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 119 4.50    
6  PROSECUTOR Jun17 May23 May04 Apr01 Mar18 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 11% 8.50    
7  LITTLE TOY GUNS Jun22 May23 Apr03 Dec14 Nov29 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 11% 8.10    
 
TDN-2   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AYE AYE SIR Jun12 May22 Nov02 Sep11 Aug09 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 119 2.50    
2  THRU THE VINE Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 Nov01 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
3  ROCKSTAR RO Jun26 Jun11 May29 May20 May08 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  STAR ENTERTAINER Jun25 Jun04 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
5  DISCLOSURE Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 Apr22 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUSIE'S KID Jun04 May15 Oct24 Oct06 Sep13 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRO Dec29 Dec08 Oct08 Sep17 Sep08 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  MO SNOW Jun22 Jun12 May21 May01 Apr13 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00    
3  INTRANSIGENT Jun19 May17 Apr11 Feb25 Feb09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
4  BOXSTER Jun17 May09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct16 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
5  PANTHERA'S FATE May21 Apr29 Jul28 Jun10   (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL Jun19 May28 May07 Nov02 Oct09 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-4   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALENDULA Jun08 Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  QUARANTINA May18 Apr24 Jan31 Jan23 Dec19 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
3  CEVICHE Jun22 Jun11 May27 May01 Jan31 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50    
4  THEODOROPOULOS Jun24 Jun12 May27 May15 Apr22 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  FIONA Jun22 Jun03 May06 Feb13 Aug07 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80    
6  SPECIAL BEACH Jun12 May27 Apr23 Mar13 Jan09 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-5   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TADZIO Jun18 Jun08 May07 Mar28 Mar05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
2  OVERLOAD May15 Apr02 Mar13 Feb15 Jan15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT May28 May07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep13 (shanyfelt val)BRACHO A 121 5.00 10% 9.50    
4  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jun18 May22 May06 Apr02 Mar13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.00    
5  TURNING PAGES Jun18 May23 Oct12 Sep11 Aug12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   07/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIALEAH NATIVE Jun27 May31 Apr18 Mar28 Mar13 (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
2  RULE IT Jun13 Apr21 Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
3  JIMMY JUNGA Jun08 May21 May07 Oct23 Sep06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  BLUNDER Jun13 Dec11 Nov01 Oct24 Jul26 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 16.90    
5  BIG POPPER Jun25 Jun10 May21 Nov29 Nov15 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 8.00    
6  SHARP SHOT Jun13 May06 Apr12 Mar01 Jan05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
TDN-7   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S WIND Jun18 May28 May07 Oct06 Sep14 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jun19 Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr09 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 47% 1.10    
3  ONE RICH KITTEN Jun25 May14 Apr03 Mar04 Feb08 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
4  KETTLE KISS Jun19 May23 Dec15 Nov16 Oct23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
5  GO GIRL Jun19 May14 Apr25 Mar28 Mar13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jun19 May28 May07 Apr24 Apr11 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00    
7  SALUTE THE KID Jun22 May23 May07 Aug02 Jul17 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50    
8  EXPRESS FASHION Jun22 May23 May04 Jan02 Dec21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9% 9.60    
 
TDN-8   07/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANDOLIN BREEZE Jun17 May29 May13 Nov21 Nov06 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00    
2  DOLCE MARIE Jun22 May29 Apr22 Nov21 Nov06 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
3  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Feb20 Jan10 Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
4  KISS VALENTINA Jun19 May28 May07 Apr24 Apr11 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Jun19 Oct12 Sep21 Sep04 Aug14 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 115 3.00 13% 7.00    
6  IMA MOM Jun22 May28 May13 Apr24 Feb01 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 41% 1.40    
7  KAT TRAX Jun19 May28 May07 Apr11 Feb27 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.