Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $6.80 $0.80 13%
MNR-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    DD (6/7/2)-(5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-7 $24.40 $12.40 103%
MNR-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $24.20 $12.20 102%
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-5 $38.00 $32.00 533%
Simulator Race results
 
MNR-1   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:122     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR 1 4 31½ 22 1nk 11 11¾ (kintz matth)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 58% 0.70 0.20 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
2  SURF HAPPY 2 1 11 12 2nk 21 21¾ (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 111 4.50 8% 10.90 2.60 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  FACTUM LOVE STYLE 3 3 43 410 322 331 338¼ (shanley t)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00 14.10  
  (by FACTUM out of LOVE YA STYLE by ESSENCE OF DUBAI)
9  NORTHERN WEIGELIA 4 2 21 37 427 453 465½ (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00 11.90  
  (by WEIGELIA out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
SCR  QUEBECK (ARG)               (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 123 10.00    
  (by CISNE BRANCO out of QUEEN CABARET by WILD EVENT)
SCR  KING BUKELE               (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
SCR  F F READY OR NOT               (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of F F SILENT SONG by SIGNORETTO (FR))
SCR  TOO FRACING LUCKY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY               (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
 
MNR-2   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:122     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANFREDI 6 7 31 2nk 12 110 112¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 1.40 ★ 0.10  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LEMON SUGAR by LEMON DROP KID)
5  TIZAWHITEFACECAT 4 6 64 712½ 517 314 212¼ (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70 P
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IVORY CAT by SHANIKO)
2  FORTINBRAS 2 1 11 1nk 22 210 316 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.50 51% 1.00 6.30 S
  (by KHOZAN out of NOBLE INTRIGUE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
1  NORTHERN RUNNER 1 2 41½ 49 316 414½ 419 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00 66.70  
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
6  MIT MONKEY 5 4 74¼ 610½ 416 516½ 522¼ (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 111 8.00 19% 4.10 11.20  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
8  INCITATUSWAY 7 5 21 35 619 631½ 637½ (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 20.00 63.90  
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
4  SENZA STRIKE 3 3 52 510 721 731½ 739 (sanders me)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 30.00 ######  
  (by GATTOPARDO out of TEMILY by TENPINS)
SCR  FASTER               (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PERFECT CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  NOBLE GEM               (morris)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
 
MNR-3   07/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SILVER STICK STAIR 5 1 22 24   23 11¼ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 24% 3.20 2.40 W
1  UNCAPTURED FAITH 1 3 12 14   13 21¼ (wade ju)BRAVO MISAEL 115 20.00 4.90  
2  CALIFORNIA CODE 2 4 44 49   410½ 32½ (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 6.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
3  TWO MINUTE LICK 3 5 59 511   310 42½ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 1.90  
6  FLAG SALUTE 4 2 32 36   510½ 59¼ (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 44% 1.30 6.70  
SCR  ICE FLOE               (silva pablo)AVILES YAN 120 1.60    
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL               (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
 
MNR-4   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUSTWAVEANDSMILE 4 3 32 21   3½ 1¾ (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 4.50 6% 15.20 1.30 W
4  SCRATCHOFF 2 2 21 31½   1½ 2¾ (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 12.00 4.70  
1  WESTWARD LOOK 1 1 11 11   2½ 32½ (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 0.80 1.60  
5  TWO GUNS 3 4 43 44½   43½ 44¾ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00 45% 1.20 3.30  
SCR  FEDERALE               (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  MASKED               (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
SCR  PITCH DARK               (bright derri)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00    
 
MNR-5   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:22 :452 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEYOND GONE 6 1 34 3½   1½ 11 (zook w)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00 27% 2.80 3.50 W
3  MAS CHIKILIN 3 5 46 44½   3½ 21 (murillo ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.50 31% 2.30 2.10 P
5  ELUSIVE VIRTUE 5 3 58 54¾   54 31 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 5% 19.00 5.90 S
4  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 4 2 21 2½   2½ 41¼ (johnson)BRAVO MISAEL 115 6.00 27.50  
1  FRONTLINER 1 6 612 67¾   67 58½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00 3.10  
2  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR 2 4 11 1½   41 69 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.50 3.00  
SCR  MACHO SAM               (monta)MONSERRATE A 120 10.00    
 
MNR-6   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANGLISH 1 4 1nk 1nk   11½ 11½ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.40 W
2  SUGAR LIPS 2 6 64 53¼   46½ 21½ (viands gregory)VEGA L 123 8.00 11.70  
3  SWORD OF DAMOCLES 3 3 2nk 3.2   21½ 31½ (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 35% 1.90 3.30 S
6  TWILIGHT YEARS 5 1 41 2nk   34½ 43¼ (shuler john )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
5  VALHALLA'S PALACE 4 2 3½ 4¼   510½ 513¾ (brown ronne)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 2.00  
7  HARPERSGONEFISHING 6 5 52 67¼   617½ 621 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00 9.70  
SCR  O'RIGSBY               (meehan eliza)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
 
MNR-7   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHIEF RANDEL 6 1 1nk 11   14 15 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90 2.20 W
4  BLACK CANDY 4 5 54½ 42½   45 25 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 120 15.00 17.30  
5  RESCUE FIVE 5 2 32 21   24 38¾ (kocijan mar)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.00 S
3  NOID 3 6 610½ 68½   68½ 48¾ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50 35% 1.90 3.20  
1  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR 1 3 2nk 31½   34½ 510 (collins tim)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50 7.60  
2  BUDDY BUDDY 2 4 43½ 55½   58 612¼ (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60 1.20  
 
MNR-8   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROYAL AIR FORCE 7 3 2nk 1½   2nk 12¼ (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.50 6.10  
5  FOWL NATION 4 2 1nk 2½   1nk 22¼ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 41% 1.40 1.00 P
4  RATE CONFIRMATION 3 5 43½ 46½   39 36½ (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 7.70  
1  READYSEEKGO 1 6 55½ 710½   59¾ 47¾ (lawrence )HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 5% 17.50 9.60  
6  TIGER'S ARROW 5 4 66 59½   610¼ 59¾ (montano wil)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.50 9.00  
3  FAST STUDY 2 7 79 610   710¾ 612 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 27% 2.70 3.10  
7  JACK'S DREAM 6 1 3½ 35½   49½ 719½ (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
SCR  BELLE OF ST. JOHN               (murillo ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.