Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/7/2)-(5/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/6/5)-(5/3/1/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Jul15 Jun26 Jan24 Dec09 Nov04 (kintz )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUPER SCOOP by TAPIT)
SURF HAPPY Jul03 Jun09 Apr26 Mar01 Nov27 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 111 4.50 8% 10.90    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Jul02 Jun12 Feb12 Dec23 Dec01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
SCR  TOO FRACING LUCKY May30 Apr19       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
FACTUM LOVE STYLE Jun29 Jun20 Oct23 Sep01 Aug23 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 123 8.00    
  (by FACTUM out of LOVE YA STYLE by ESSENCE OF DUBAI)
SCR  F F READY OR NOT Jul07 Jun10 May19 Apr28 Jan18 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of F F SILENT SONG by SIGNORETTO (FR))
SCR  KING BUKELE Jul07 Jun15 Jun07 May25 May11 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
SCR  QUEBECK (ARG)         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 123 10.00    
  (by CISNE BRANCO out of QUEEN CABARET by WILD EVENT)
NORTHERN WEIGELIA Jul07 Nov17 Sep27 Aug23 Jul28 (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
 
MNR-2   07/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN RUNNER Jul07 Jun04 Dec13 Nov20 Nov06 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
FORTINBRAS Jul07 Jun14 May25 Apr19 Mar17 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of NOBLE INTRIGUE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  NOBLE GEM Jul19 Jul07 Oct19     (morris)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
SENZA STRIKE Jul01 Jun19 May19 Apr22 Feb17 (sanders me)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of TEMILY by TENPINS)
TIZAWHITEFACECAT Jul07 May29 May08 Apr24 Nov02 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IVORY CAT by SHANIKO)
MIT MONKEY Jun16         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 111 8.00 19% 4.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
MANFREDI Jul07 Jun10 May04 Mar07 Feb03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 1.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LEMON SUGAR by LEMON DROP KID)
INCITATUSWAY Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 May20 May14 (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
SCR  FASTER Jul05 Apr27 Mar02 Dec21 Nov11 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 8.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PERFECT CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MNR-3   07/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED FAITH Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 Jun23 May05 (wade ju)BRAVO MISAEL 115 20.00    
CALIFORNIA CODE Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May11 Apr25 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
TWO MINUTE LICK Jul17 Jul03 Jun01 May10 Apr09 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
SCR  ICE FLOE Jul21 Jun16 May21 May07 Apr23 (silva pablo)AVILES YAN 120 1.60    
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL Jul21 Jun18 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (gotera ju)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
FLAG SALUTE Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 44% 1.30    
SILVER STICK STAIR Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May20 May05 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
MNR-4   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTWARD LOOK Jul14 Jul08 Jun17 May04 Mar21 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 0.80    
SCR  MASKED Jul08 Jun23 Nov06 Sep05 Aug14 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
SCR  PITCH DARK Jul08 Nov14 Aug27 Aug02 Jun21 (bright derri)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00    
SCRATCHOFF Jul24 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May22 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 12.00    
TWO GUNS Jun17 Apr23 Mar06 Feb14 Jan15 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  FEDERALE Jul08 Jun10 May28 Dec10 Nov27 (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00    
JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Jul08 Jun17 Mar09 Feb04 Nov20 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 4.50 6% 15.20    
 
MNR-5   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONTLINER May06 Apr01 Feb24 Jan18 Jan03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00    
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Jun23 May26 May06 Apr22 Jan27 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.50    
MAS CHIKILIN Jul21 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 May27 (murillo ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.50 31% 2.30    
ONEMORANDTHECHECK Jul08 May27 May04 Apr02 Mar26 (johnson)BRAVO MISAEL 115 6.00    
ELUSIVE VIRTUE Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 May26 Mar03 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
BEYOND GONE Jun24 Jun04 Dec10 Nov14 Oct22 (zook w)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  MACHO SAM Jun19 Jun04 Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 (monta)MONSERRATE A 120 10.00    
 
MNR-6   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANGLISH Sep02 Jul06 May27 Apr22 Feb22 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
SUGAR LIPS Jul14 Jun28 Jun13 May23 May02 (viands gregory)VEGA L 123 8.00    
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Jul14 Jun24 Jun16 Apr28 Nov07 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  O'RIGSBY Jul09 Jun24 Jun07 May24 Mar09 (meehan eliza)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
VALHALLA'S PALACE Jul03 Jun20 Apr19 Mar29 Feb15 (brown ronne)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50    
TWILIGHT YEARS Jun24 May03 Feb09 Nov07 Oct16 (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HARPERSGONEFISHING Mar09 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
 
MNR-7   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Jun19 Jun04 May13 Apr30 Apr05 (collins tim)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50    
BUDDY BUDDY Jul20 Jun18 Oct28 Aug25 Aug04 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60    
NOID Apr22 Apr01 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
BLACK CANDY Jul16 Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 Oct28 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
RESCUE FIVE Jul23 Jul09 Jun16 Dec18 Jul03 (kocijan mar)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF RANDEL Jul09 Apr30 Apr15 Apr04 Mar20 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MNR-8   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READYSEEKGO May04 Mar23 Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 (lawrence )HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Jul17 Jun20 May30 Mar02 Sep28 (murillo ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 12.00    
FAST STUDY Jul15 Jun09 Apr30 Apr23 Feb12 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
RATE CONFIRMATION Jul15 Jul03 May30 May08 Mar30 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
FOWL NATION Jul14 Jun01 May18 Apr29 Apr01 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
TIGER'S ARROW Jul23 Jul08 Jul02 May26 Mar09 (montano wil)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.50    
JACK'S DREAM Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL AIR FORCE Jul02 Jun08 May23 Apr30 Apr13 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.