Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-6   WIN (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $23.00 $15.00 188%
    EXA (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-4 $58.10 $46.10 384%
    TRI (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-4-6 $68.75 $56.75 473%
    SFT (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-4-6-5 $64.82 $62.42 2601%
    DD (2/7/3)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $25.70 $13.70 114%
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(2/7/3)-(8/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-4/5/7-8 $33.40 $15.40 86%
TUP-7   DD (8/6/4/5)-(7/4/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-10 $30.30 $10.30 52%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILBIN ROAD 3 6 6 54   54 1 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 3.20  
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 7 3 42 1nk   1nk 2 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 6.00 32% 2.20 1.10 P
RANTANEN 2 2 2 32   32 3 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.90 3.60 S
ROYAL CANDY 8 1 1 2nk   2nk 4 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 124 5.00 8% 11.40 3.70  
ROMEO'S GLORY 6 7 77 76   69 5 (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 50.60  
HERMISTON 5 4 32 4   4 6 (lavanway dayson)RADKE K 124 10.00 8.90  
MONGOLIAN MASTER 4 8 812½ 810   7 74 (lucas robe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 69.60  
PIRATE MISCHIEF 1 5 53 6   810 812¼ (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 76.40  
SCR  A BIT MUCH               (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 12.00    
 
TUP-4   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:222 :444 :561     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUNCHED 5 1 11 1   16 1 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 29% 2.50 1.20 W
DARNQUICK 4 5 42 3   26 2 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 33% 2.00 0.80 P
BEDROCK (GB) 2 2 3 2   36 37 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00 8.10  
LITTLE CASINO 1 3 21 4   4 4 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 15% 5.70 6.50  
PRIVATE TRAX 3 4 5 5   518½ 521¾ (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 29.90  
SCR  LESSONS OF AUTISM               (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00    
SCR  PAUL VINCENTS POEM               (lucas robe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  WORTH LOOKING               (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50    
SCR  XTREME MAYHEM               (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-5   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR RINGER 5 3 31 3.2   1½ 1 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 15% 5.60 0.80 W
SMOKEMS TAPHOUSE 6 6 6 5   4 2 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 10.00 9.60  
WHERE'S FRANKIE 2 2 1½ 2nk   2½ 3 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 35% 1.80 4.50 S
JUSTIN'S LADY 4 1 2½ 1nk   31 4 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 124 8.00 7.40  
COME CORRECT 3 5 5 6   6 58 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 12% 7.70 19.20  
SOFIA STRONG 1 4 4 4   5 610 (christian )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 2.70  
SCR  A DIME FOR ME               (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50    
SCR  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL               (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORN POP 7 5 4 3.2   14 1 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 33% 2.00 10.50 W
YOU ENJOY MYSELF 3 7 7 7   45 2 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 9% 10.10 3.20 P
COLLECT DIS MONEY 5 6 6 5   24 3 (belvoir vann)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50 32% 2.10 0.70 S
QUEENS EFFORT 4 3 5 6   3 4 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
PLAY CHICKEN 2 2 2nk 2nk   5 510 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00 7.40 DQ↓6
DRISKILL 6 4 3.2 1nk   7 613½ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 6.50  
MIGHTY TIGER 1 1 1nk 4¼   66 714¾ (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00 57.20  
SCR  BRAYBRAY               (martinez a)RADKE K 122 12.00    
SCR  CARPE BELLUM               (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:221 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SPRINKLES 9 5 3 2   1½ 1½ (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12% 7.40 0.30 W
FIRST EMERALD 6 2 5 33   2½ 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 29% 2.50 3.60 P
FOREST ACCLAMATION 8 9 73 5   32 3¾ (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 88.90  
HEAVENLY VIOLET 2 4 4 6   6 4 (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 10.00 13.70  
LOTSA LOU 5 1 2nk 4   43 5 (person ke)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 ######  
SPARKLE IN THE SKY 4 7 84 89   88 6 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 25.50  
AGUILA DEL RIO 3 3 62 79   7 78 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 3.00 28% 2.60 9.10  
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 7 6 1nk 1   54 89 (lawrence heath)CRUZ M 124 5.00 47.00  
FIFTEEN HUNDRED 1 10 10 912   912½ 913¾ (ferguson c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 9% 10.50 21.50  
11  ROYAL DANIELLE 10 8 96 1015   1018 1024¾ (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
SCR  QUEEN MYSTIC               (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
See original race card.
:224 :443 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TOP OF MY GAME 10 2 32 2nk   1½ 1 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 3.50  
FAR BEYOND 7 6 5 1nk   2½ 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 10% 9.50 3.50 P
REPLETE 5 5 63 5½   35 37 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 27% 2.80 3.50 S
10  BERNALINHO 9 3 42 6   47 49 (nelson amy)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00 84.40  
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 2 10 98 9   6 510¼ (green greg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 17% 5.00 14.90  
BOSS NINE 8 1 1 4¼   57 611 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5.10  
HIJO GALANTE 4 7 85 8   810 715½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 30.90  
WESTWARD LOOK 1 4 2 3.2   79 816¼ (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 18% 4.50 2.30  
MY DAD IS THIRSTY 3 9 10 1012½   1014½ 919¼ (villamar c)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00 74.50  
ARIZONA JEREMY 6 8 7 7   913 1019½ (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 9% 10.40 48.20  
SCR  FAR WEST               (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:102 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALINE RIVER 2 4 5 4 2 12 15 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 45% 1.20 0.60 W
FOUND MY BALL 8 1 11 1½ 1 22 25 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 8% 11.30 4.70 P
DISCRETIONARY DAY 4 3 21 2½ 32 4 37 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00 4.90  
TEXTHELEGEND 7 7 65 5 5 6 4 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 10% 8.70 17.10  
I AM FREAKY FAST 6 5 4 64 7 7 5 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 6% 17.20 17.60  
KYSTONE 3 8 8 8 6 5 6 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 10.00 25.80  
ALL THE KING'S MEN 1 2 32 3 42 3 712½ (story cha)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 8.00  
CAPITAL JOKE 5 6 7 7 87 8 814¼ (green greg)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50 17.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.