Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/7)-(3/8/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/7)-(3/8/9/4/7)-(3/8/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/9/7)-(7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/9/7)-(7/8/2)-(2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(2/7/3)-(8/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(8/6/4/5)-(7/4/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/5)-(7/4/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/5)-(7/4/10/1/11)-(5/1/2/8/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/4/10/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/1/11)-(7/4/10/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/1/11)-(7/4/10/1/11)-(7/4/10/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/10/1/11)-(5/1/2/8/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10/1/11)-(5/1/2/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/1/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/6)-(2/7/8/6)-(2/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A BIT MUCH Feb28 Jun25 Mar19 Mar12 Feb19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 12.00    
2  PIRATE MISCHIEF Mar06 Feb13 Jan31 Dec12 Dec05 (leon alexis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
3  RANTANEN Feb11 May01 Mar25     (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  PHILBIN ROAD Mar13 Feb21 Feb13 Jan30 Dec13 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 ★    
5  MONGOLIAN MASTER Feb24 Jan13 Nov25 Nov11 Sep24 (lucas robe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
6  HERMISTON Mar12 Feb09 Jan12 Mar26 Feb26 (lavanway dayson)RADKE K 124 10.00    
7  ROMEO'S GLORY Mar06 May07 Feb25 Feb04 Dec19 (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Feb19 Feb05 Jan18 Nov13 Jun14 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 6.00 32% 2.20    
9  ROYAL CANDY Jul30 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 May27 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 124 5.00 8% 11.40    
 
TUP-4   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORTH LOOKING Feb27 Feb01 Dec31 Dec17 Nov25 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50    
2  LITTLE CASINO Mar13 Feb21 Feb12 Jan21 Jan13 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  BEDROCK (GB) Mar13 Feb12 Nov14 Oct21 Oct08 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
SCR  XTREME MAYHEM Mar06 Feb20 Oct04 May29 May06 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
5  PRIVATE TRAX Jul16 Jun18 May20 May14 Apr30 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
SCR  LESSONS OF AUTISM Feb27 Feb12 Jan15 Dec30 Nov23 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00    
7  DARNQUICK Feb28 Jun04 Jan27 Jan07 Nov20 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  LAUNCHED Feb29 Dec15 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jul09 Jul01 May06 Apr17 Mar07 (lucas robe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
 
TUP-5   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOFIA STRONG Mar12 Feb14 Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 (christian )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
2  WHERE'S FRANKIE Mar11 Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 Jul26 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
3  COME CORRECT Feb22 Feb06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  A DIME FOR ME Mar05 Feb11 Jan19 Jan01 Nov25 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50    
SCR  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Jan30 Sep14 Jul16 Apr02 Jan31 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
6  JUSTIN'S LADY Feb22 Feb06 Apr02 Mar26 Mar18 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 124 8.00    
7  YOUR RINGER Feb26 Jan30 Dec15 Mar04 Aug21 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  SMOKEMS TAPHOUSE Feb16 Jan19 Dec26 Nov05 Oct02 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   03/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARPE BELLUM Mar12 Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Dec17 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
2  MIGHTY TIGER Feb22 Feb06 Aug18 Jun25 May27 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00    
3  PLAY CHICKEN Mar12 Feb23 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 5.00    
4  YOU ENJOY MYSELF Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 Dec30 Dec09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 9% 10.10    
5  QUEENS EFFORT Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 Oct14 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLLECT DIS MONEY Mar06 Feb14 Jan30 Jan06 Dec08 (belvoir vann)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
7  DRISKILL Feb28 Feb05 Jul02 Jun17 Aug20 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
8  CORN POP Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BRAYBRAY Feb22 Aug26 Jul31 Jul15 Jun17 (martinez a)RADKE K 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   03/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTEEN HUNDRED Nov14 Oct10 Sep23 Aug31   (ferguson c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  QUEEN MYSTIC Feb26 Jun16 Jun04 May21 May13 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
3  HEAVENLY VIOLET Feb20 Feb06 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 10.00    
4  AGUILA DEL RIO Feb26 Feb13 Jan20 Dec08 Nov12 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  SPARKLE IN THE SKY Feb26 Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 Oct08 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00    
6  LOTSA LOU Feb26 Feb07 Mar25 Mar07 Feb04 (person ke)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
7  FIRST EMERALD Feb26         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
8  CHEDOODLE RYLEE Dec10 Dec02 Sep25 Sep11 Sep03 (lawrence heath)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
9  FOREST ACCLAMATION Mar12 Mar04 Dec10 Nov20 Nov08 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
10  SPRINKLES Mar12 Feb20 Oct28 Oct08 Jul30 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
11  ROYAL DANIELLE Nov05 Oct16 Oct08 Feb14 Feb04 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTWARD LOOK Feb20 Feb06 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan18 Dec18 Nov21 Oct29 Oct07 (green greg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Mar04 Feb20 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 (villamar c)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
4  HIJO GALANTE Feb13 Dec26 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
5  REPLETE Feb29 Feb06 Dec18 Nov20 Sep18 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  ARIZONA JEREMY Apr22 Apr15 Mar25 Feb13 Feb01 (laufenberg joyc)CORBETT W 124 20.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  FAR WEST Feb21 Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Nov03 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
8  FAR BEYOND Mar13 Feb27 Dec16 Nov17 Oct28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
9  BOSS NINE Feb20 Feb03 Jan12 Dec01 Jul09 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
10  BERNALINHO Mar05 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 (nelson amy)PENA BRYAN 124 20.00    
11  TOP OF MY GAME Feb15 Jan29 Jan13 Dec08 Nov26 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE KING'S MEN Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 Nov25 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
2  SALINE RIVER Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Oct26 Sep27 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
3  KYSTONE Mar06 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Aug25 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 10.00    
4  DISCRETIONARY DAY Mar12 Feb15 Jan14 Dec09 Nov24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00    
5  CAPITAL JOKE Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Oct29 (green greg)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50    
6  I AM FREAKY FAST Feb22 Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 6% 17.20    
7  TEXTHELEGEND Mar06 Feb12 Jan30 Dec19 Nov28 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 10% 8.70    
8  FOUND MY BALL Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan25 Jan11 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.