The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TUP-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TUP-5   Win (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $45.00 -6.00
TUP-6   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
TUP-7   Win (1/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
TUP-8   Win (9/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
TUP-9   Win (1/2/10/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 -1.40

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   03/12/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:22 :452       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO CAL MEMORY 2 3 3 3   2nk 1(cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.50 38% 1.70 2.50 W
TEAGANS ATM 4 2 1nk 2nk   3.2 2(tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 2.00 8% 11.00 1.20 P
THIRSTY 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 34 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 124 1.40 34% 2.00 1.40 DQ↓6
HERMISTON 1 5 54 46   444 (lavanway dayson)RADKE K 122 15.00 14.00  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 4 4 5   55(diaz luis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 34.30  
W. WHITEHOUSE 5 6 67 610   610¼ 69 (dominguez )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00 32.60  
 
TUP-4   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:251   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCRETIONARY DAY 6 2 2 2 1 16 1(diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 25% 3.10 1.20 W
CONRADO 1 4 4 3 4 37 2(vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 1.80  
PLAY CHICKEN 3 1 32 5 3 26 3(silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 2.50 4.80  
CARPE BELLUM 2 5 6 4 56 4410½ (silva pabl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 6.20  
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 4 3 1 1 2 5513¼ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 4.50 17% 4.90 7.60  
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 5 6 5 6 6 610½ 613¾ (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 5.00 21.40  
 
TUP-5   03/12/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHOUT EQUAL 1 8 8 8   41(lund valo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 21.50  
DAVID'S FAITH 6 2 6 21   1½ 2(lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 25.30  
YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW 2 6 53 5   3½ 3(schnell don)PENA BRYAN 121 3.00 48% 1.10 1.00 S
R BARRACUDA 7 7 7 6   2½ 4(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 9.00  
LONG GONE SILVER 5 3 3 4   75(essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00 4.60  
SHIVER 8 1 43 31   6612¾ (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 7% 12.60 21.20  
EFFORT 4 4 11 11   53 719 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00 22% 3.60 1.80  
BENNY BUCKETS 3 5 21 7   810½ 826¾ (silva-martinez alexis)RADKE K 121 8.00 44.90  
 
TUP-6   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUDDER 1 3 1½ 1½   11(barraza s)PENA BRYAN 118 3.00 54% 0.90 3.30 W
MOON SHINE TIME 2 1 2½ 2½   22(kenney ryan)RADKE K 118 5.00 4.20  
CHICKEN WING 4 2 3 32   334 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00 0.80 S
OUTOFQUEMADO 3 4 44 4   46 4(rollins mich)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 13.30  
IMA RASCAL 5 5 57 5   511 5(story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 22% 3.60 3.40  
SCR  BIYOMBO               (eikleberr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
SCR  LORD BO               (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.50    
 
TUP-7   03/12/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES FOR GOLD 1 4 21 2½   11¾ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 40% 1.50 0.90 W
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF 4 5 32 3½   22¾ (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 5.00 9.30  
AUTISM COUNTS 5 7 6 42   33(silv)DA FAUSTO 118 6.00 6% 16.40 7.20 S
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 7 9 9 7   56 4(silva l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 3.30  
10  SPRINKLES 9 8 8 8   46 5(matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 29% 2.40 4.20  
RAINBOW STEW 3 3 5 5   66(toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 2 6 7 6   7710¾ (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 57.20  
LUCKY LARA 8 1 42 9   9814 (dominguez a)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 43.80  
SALLY STANFORD 6 2 11 1½   8915¾ (hop mike)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 45.00  
SCR  ILA VEIW TOO               (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   03/12/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:221 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA STRONG 7 3 1nk     11(silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 38% 1.60 0.40 W
COALINGA HILLS 6 2 4     42(crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 36% 1.80 4.50 P
10  DODROPIN 8 4 5     56 3(toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 10.80 S
11  FLAG SALUTE 9 5 2nk     24(silva pa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 7.10  
WRIGHT WINGED 1 1 3.2     32 54 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 6.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 5 7 6     66(moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 20.00 15.60  
BLUE GESSAMI 2 8 810¾     811 7(cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 40.60  
TWIRLY GIRL 4 6 7     711 8(duarte-norieg)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 54.50  
DANIELLE'S SECRET 3 9 916¾     918 911¾ (lawrence hea)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00 26.60  
SCR  DAHLIA'S DANCER               (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
SCR  IMA TROUBLE MAKER               (ferguson l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00    
SCR  JAYCEE               (uranga jesus)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/12/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:112 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLE FOR TWO 2 3 33 5 32 3.2 1¾ (fuentes ruben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 15% 5.90 3.30 W
LIMITED HEATWAVE 7 7 7 8 5 52¾ (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 11% 8.20 4.90 P
ROBO WARRIOR 1 1 1 1 2nk 2nk 3(rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 30% 2.40 11.60 S
SECRET POTION 5 4 43 2 1nk 1nk 4(hone bart)CORBETT W 122 10.00 11.60  
HEIR (FR) 4 9 6 6 6 4¾ 5(evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00 1.20  
BODEMONSTER 6 8 8 4 4 66(hedge rick)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 13.80  
MARICOPA COUNTY 3 5 9 9 7 77(grissom w)MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
10  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL 9 6 55 7 8 88(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00 12% 7.70 5.80  
CRYSTAL BANDIT 8 2 2 3 913¼ 920¾ 928¾ (ortega joe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 49.90  
SCR  RUSTY B CAUSE               (chambers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.