Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/2/5)-(2/4/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/4/8)-(1/7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/8)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/8)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/10/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/6)-(1/10/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/6)-(1/10/6/3)-(9/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/3)-(1/10/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/6/3)-(1/10/6/8/3)-(1/10/6/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/6/3)-(9/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6/3)-(9/8/1)-(1/2/10/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/2/10)-(9/8/1/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/1)-(1/2/10/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/2/10/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/7/3)-(1/2/10/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/7/3)-(1/2/10/7/3)-(1/2/10/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERMISTON Feb09 Jan12 Mar26 Feb26 Feb13 (lavanway dayson)RADKE K 122 15.00    
2  SO CAL MEMORY Feb20 Jan30 Jul08 Apr26 Jan22 (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Feb20 Jan30 Oct15 Sep04 Jul30 (diaz luis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
4  TEAGANS ATM Mar04 Jan13 Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
5  W. WHITEHOUSE Feb13 Oct15 Sep02 Aug18 Apr04 (domingue)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THIRSTY Feb13 Jan31 Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-4   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONRADO Mar04 Feb15 Jan29 Dec14 Sep26 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
2  CARPE BELLUM Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 Dec17 Sep30 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  PLAY CHICKEN Feb23 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Nov26 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 2.50    
4  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Jan30 Jan06 Dec03 Apr17 Mar27 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 4.50    
5  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec08 Nov25 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  DISCRETIONARY DAY Feb15 Jan14 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
TUP-5   03/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT EQUAL Jan31 Jan07 Dec23 Nov24 Nov13 (lund va)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
2  YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Feb26 Aug31       (schnell don)PENA BRYAN 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  BENNY BUCKETS Feb26         (silva-martinez alex)RADKE K 121 8.00    
4  EFFORT Feb18 Oct15       (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  LONG GONE SILVER         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★    
6  DAVID'S FAITH Feb05 Nov13       (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
7  R BARRACUDA Feb22 Jan30 Jan07     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50    
8  SHIVER Aug30 Jul10       (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 7% 12.60    
 
TUP-6   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUDDER Feb15 Jan30 Dec12 Nov06 Sep30 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
2  MOON SHINE TIME Feb15         (kenney ryan)RADKE K 118 5.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of POCKETFUL by TOP HIT)
SCR  BIYOMBO Feb15 Dec12 Jul31     (eiklebe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  OUTOFQUEMADO Sep25 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul24 (rollins mi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NO BABY by OH TANNER)
SCR  LORD BO         (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.50 6% 15.40    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of ROYAL FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
6  CHICKEN WING         (story chad)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JOAN OF ARCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  IMA RASCAL Jan05         (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of WITTY BIDDY by SHARP HUMOR)
 
TUP-7   03/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES FOR GOLD Feb20 Dec20 Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 41% 1.50    
2  FOREST ACCLAMATION Mar04 Dec10 Nov20 Nov08 Oct29 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
3  RAINBOW STEW Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 May14 Apr24 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Aug19 Jul09 Mar09 Feb05   (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SCR  ILA VEIW TOO Feb20 Jan29 Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
6  AUTISM COUNTS Feb18 Jan27 Jan01 Dec08   (si)DA FAUSTO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SALLY STANFORD Feb28 May14 Nov21 Nov04 Oct10 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
8  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Feb14 Jan31 Apr19 Mar27 Mar12 (silva l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 ★    
9  LUCKY LARA Feb13 May30 May08 Apr09 Feb27 (dominguez)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
10  SPRINKLES Feb20 Oct28 Oct08 Jul30 Jul16 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 29% 2.40    
 
TUP-8   03/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRIGHT WINGED Aug20 Jul08 Jun21 Jun10 Apr29 (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUE GESSAMI Apr01 Mar12 Feb25 May07 Apr24 (cruz omar)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 ★    
SCR  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul23 Jul16 Jun18 May21 May14 (ferguson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00    
4  DANIELLE'S SECRET Feb26 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug25 (lawrence h)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00    
5  TWIRLY GIRL Dec26 Dec15 Nov15 Jul04 Apr27 (duarte-norieg)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  DAHLIA'S DANCER Feb21 Feb05 Sep15 Aug07 Jul16 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
7  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Feb19 Jan29 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 (moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 20.00    
8  COALINGA HILLS Feb26 Jan29 Jul01 Dec18 Sep24 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
9  SOFIA STRONG Feb14 Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 Oct25 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
10  DODROPIN Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jun11 Jun04 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
11  FLAG SALUTE Feb07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 (silva juan )MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  JAYCEE Mar09 Jan06 Jul09 May21 Apr30 (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBO WARRIOR Feb27 Dec22       (rojas mur)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
2  TABLE FOR TWO Jan30 Oct21 Sep24 Aug27 Aug03 (fuentes rub)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
3  MARICOPA COUNTY Apr22 Mar06 Feb25 Dec13 May06 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEIR (FR) Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Jan01 Nov11 (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00    
5  SECRET POTION Jan11 Feb09 Dec17 Oct31 Oct05 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
6  BODEMONSTER Feb27 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
7  LIMITED HEATWAVE Feb20 Dec02 Nov04 Oct01 Sep16 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
8  CRYSTAL BANDIT Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 (ortega joe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
SCR  RUSTY B CAUSE Feb17 Feb03 Jan07 Dec16 Dec03 (chamber)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
10  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Feb22 Feb15 Feb06 Dec10 Nov19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00 12% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.