The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CTD-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.20 -6.00
CTD-2   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
CTD-3   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -0.90
CTD-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
CTD-5   Win (3/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $21.10 $21.10 13.10
CTD-6   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $23.60 $23.60 15.60
CTD-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
CTD-8   Win (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.90 $7.90 -0.10
CTD-9   Win (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $13.30 $13.30 5.30
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-1   09/30/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:222 :452         :452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FATHER O'FLAHERTY 3 5 54½ 54   21 1nk (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 4.60  
1  THESHACK 1 1 1½ 1½   11 2nk (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.60 42% 1.40 1.30 P
5  BODEMONSTER 5 4 42 2½   31 3½ (hedge rick)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00 18.70  
2  DANCING WILLIE 2 2 2½ 31½   52¼ 42½ (robertson je)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
6  CREDIBILITY 6 3 31½ 42½   62¾ 52¾ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80 32% 2.20 2.30  
4  NORTHERN JEWEL 4 6 65½ 65½   42 63¾ (cone rodney)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00 12.25  
 
CTD-2   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:232 :471 1:123 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRANCE 3 6 43 51¾ 21 14 15¼ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 29% 2.50 1.05 W
7  WHISKARITA 7 4 53 31 41¼ 24 25¼ (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 2.80  
6  FAVORITE 6 7 76 64¾ 64¾ 47 39½ (brown shell)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 12.80  
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT 5 1 32 21 11 35 411¼ (brown shelley)BRYAN D 125 10.00 8.75  
2  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 2 3 11 11 31 57 514½ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00 16.75  
4  LITTLE HARPER 4 5 21 41½ 53¼ 68 615¾ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 25% 3.00 8.25  
1  MIDNIGHT GARDEN 1 2 64 75¾ 77¾ 712 719 (smith c)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 14% 6.20 9.30  
 
CTD-3   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
:221 :453 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BARE BACK JACK 4 4 42¾ 31   2½ 1¼ (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 45% 1.20 1.55 W
6  ESTIFRAAD 5 5 54¼ 41¼   1½ 2¼ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 4.20  
2  THE BEAT 2 6 69¼ 67¼   54 34¾ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.00 4.20  
3  COMMON KNOWLEDGE 3 2 1nk 11   31½ 44¾ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 16.55  
7  BORKAN 6 3 32½ 21   44 55¾ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 27% 2.70 2.45  
1  AMUSING WAY 1 1 2nk 52¼   68 610¾ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 16.85  
SCR  TUCKER TIME               (coney jason)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
 
CTD-4   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:224 :454 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISSCZECH 6 1 11½ 11   14 1¾ (anderson go)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 43% 1.30 1.80 W
1  PLUM BLUE 1 3 65¾ 45   24 2¾ (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00 P
4  DANCE SHOES 4 5 21½ 21   35½ 35½ (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 29% 2.40 1.00 S
2  TONE IT UP 2 2 55½ 67   49½ 411½ (nicholson d)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 9.95  
5  MINE ME 5 4 31½ 31   510 511¾ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 9.45  
3  ORANGE THEORY 3 6 42½ 56   612 613¾ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 3.00 10.45  
 
CTD-5   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
:222 :452 1:094     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFES ADVENTURE 1 1 11 12½   12½ 11½ (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 27% 2.70 9.55 W
2  BRODY'S PAL 2 4 21 22½   22½ 21½ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 122 15.00 22.30  
3  SILVERFOOT 3 6 75¾ 56½   36½ 33 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 31% 2.20 1.20 S
4  H K MELODY 4 8 87¼ 78   49 45¾ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 5.45  
7  LOLLIPOP KID 7 5 52¼ 33½   513 511½ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 16% 5.40 20.95  
5  REMARKABLE ELI 5 2 32 46½   614 613 (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 4.25  
6  PADDYS ROCKET 6 3 42 67   716½ 717 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 6.00 5.10  
8  BARAK 8 7 65¼ 811   820 821½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 20.00 5% 19.00 28.80  
 
CTD-6   09/30/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:224 :454       1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS 6 3 41¼ 31   2nk 12¾ (kettleson a)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 7% 13.70 10.80 W
6  PUMP THE BRAKES 5 1 3.2 2nk   3½ 22¾ (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 4.80  
4  BIG AL'S VISION 4 7 76¾ 74¾   43 32¾ (frey carson)RIZO ALEXIS 125 12.00 13.90  
1  ISLE OF SKYE 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 44¼ (o'hagan co)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 2.50 41% 1.40 1.05  
2  GRIGORO 2 4 52¾ 53   55½ 56½ (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 5.00 4.45  
3  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 3 6 62¾ 64½   68 69¼ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 29% 2.50 5.20  
8  ALL THAT GOLD 7 5 1nk 42   712 716¼ (russell moni)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00 37.70  
SCR  MAJESTIC CAFE               (ananas edwin)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:222 :454 1:093     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KAUAI DAN 4 8 31 11   14 13 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 26% 2.90 0.60 W
8  HANDSOME HENRY 8 5 41½ 42   24 23 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.50 ★ 14.90 P
1  CALI CONQUEST 1 4 74 52¼   56½ 34 (cone rodney)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 10.30  
2  MACHINE 2 3 63½ 62¼   45½ 44 (gourdeau)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 45% 1.20 5.25  
6  FINALIZE 6 1 2nk 21   34½ 57 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
5  VANTASTICCANAVERAL 5 2 1nk 31   69 69¾ (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00 53.50  
7  PACHECO 7 7 52½ 73¼   710½ 710¾ (kettleson a)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 4.95  
3  ADIOS Y GRACIAS 3 6 86 86¾   814½ 816¾ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 43.50  
 
CTD-8   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
:22 :462 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUDDENLY FAMOUS 6 1 2nk 1nk   14 14 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 122 4.50 7% 13.90 2.95 W
8  SAWCHUK 8 8 75 54   24 24 (davies deanne)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.50 20% 3.90 6.15 P
4  THISCATSGOTSPEED 4 4 53½ 43   34½ 35 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 6.00 17.95  
9  KULSUM 9 6 32 32   47 48¼ (brown r)NELSON DANE 119 12.00 17.50  
3  J J'S CAPER 3 2 1nk 2nk   57½ 59¾ (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 2.00 51% 1.00 1.50  
5  CAPE'S LEGACY 5 7 86 87¾   710½ 612½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 15.00 10.00  
7  DERMOT'S DILEMMA 7 3 64 65½   610½ 713½ (anderso)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00 28.20  
1  SUNNY WAY 1 5 43 99¼   920 815½ (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00 35.45  
2  SADIE MY LADY 2 9 98 75¾   812 927 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.55  
 
CTD-9   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THRILL OF THE NITE 4 1 2nk 1½   1½ 12 (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 16% 5.40 5.65 W
2  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE 2 4 31 2½   2½ 22 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50 5.45  
7  NO BAKK TALK 7 3 41¼ 41½   32½ 32¾ (smith k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00 10.70  
6  MAGICAL LADY 6 9 63¾ 52   43 44¼ (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 3.00 4.25  
5  QUEEN RHONDA 5 8 84 84¼   66 57 (smith k)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00 48.45  
1  SUGAR MOON 1 2 1nk 31½   55½ 67 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 15.00 5% 19.00 31.80  
9  MOHAYMEN DAY 9 6 73¾ 74   77 77½ (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 8.00 4.05  
3  TAKE CHARGE GWEN 3 7 95½ 95¼   89½ 89¼ (robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 41% 1.40 7.15  
8  LOAD ABROAD 8 5 52¾ 63   912 912¼ (anderson wendy)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 14% 6.10 3.45  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.