Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(6/4/1)-(3/1/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-5   WIN (3/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/8/6/2)-(3/4/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-8   WIN (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/2)-(3/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-9   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THESHACK Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  DANCING WILLIE Sep16 Jul23 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 4.50    
4  NORTHERN JEWEL Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
5  BODEMONSTER Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Apr05 Mar20 (hedge ric)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00    
6  CREDIBILITY Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 May06 Sep14 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
CTD-2   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Sep01 Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
2  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Sep24 Sep10 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00    
3  PRANCE Sep24 Sep16 May02 Apr10 Mar14 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  LITTLE HARPER Sep10 Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Sep19 Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 (brown shelley)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
6  FAVORITE Sep19 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 (brown she)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00    
7  WHISKARITA Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Apr19 Apr01 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50    
 
CTD-3   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMUSING WAY Sep16 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE BEAT Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.00    
3  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 Jun30 Jun10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00    
4  BARE BACK JACK Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jul07 Jun23 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  TUCKER TIME Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (coney jaso)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
6  ESTIFRAAD Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00    
7  BORKAN Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun17 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
CTD-4   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM BLUE Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TONE IT UP Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00    
3  ORANGE THEORY Sep18 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun27 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 3.00    
4  DANCE SHOES Sep16 Sep03 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  MINE ME Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
6  MISSCZECH Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jun16 Jun02 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
CTD-5   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFES ADVENTURE Sep17 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  BRODY'S PAL Sep16 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 122 15.00    
3  SILVERFOOT Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  H K MELODY Sep17 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
5  REMARKABLE ELI Sep16 Sep01 Aug06 Jul22 Oct29 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00    
6  PADDYS ROCKET Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jun30 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 6.00    
7  LOLLIPOP KID Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul08 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
8  BARAK Aug26 Jul30 Jun30 Jun24 Jun10 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-6   09/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE OF SKYE Sep17 Aug13 Jul22 Jun09 May26 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  GRIGORO Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jun09 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 5.00    
3  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Sep17 Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  BIG AL'S VISION Sep17 Sep01 Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 125 12.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC CAFE Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Nov04 Oct21 (ananas edw)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep16 Sep09 Aug25 Aug13 Jul30 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00    
7  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun30 (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 7% 13.70    
8  ALL THAT GOLD Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 (russell mo)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
 
CTD-7   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST Sep17 Aug18 Aug04 Jul22 Jun23 (cone rodne)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
2  MACHINE (ARG) Sep17 Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 (gourde)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  ADIOS Y GRACIAS Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jun30 Jun10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00    
4  KAUAI DAN Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
6  FINALIZE Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PACHECO Sep16 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
8  HANDSOME HENRY Sep17 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.50 ★    
 
CTD-8   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY WAY Sep23         (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of CHARISM by CHARISMATIC)
2  SADIE MY LADY Sep16         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
3  J J'S CAPER Sep16         (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of THREE JACKS by KAHUNA JACK)
4  THISCATSGOTSPEED Sep23         (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 6.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of KITTY KRISSEY by KISSIN KRIS)
5  CAPE'S LEGACY Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jul21   (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
6  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Sep16 Aug04 Jul21     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 4.50 7% 13.90    
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
7  DERMOT'S DILEMMA Sep23 Sep01       (ander)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
8  SAWCHUK Sep16 Sep01       (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by EDISON out of THE CAT'S AFFAIR by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  KULSUM Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 (brown r)NELSON DANE 119 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
 
CTD-9   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR MOON Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 Jun03 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50    
3  TAKE CHARGE GWEN Sep16 Sep10 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  THRILL OF THE NITE Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  QUEEN RHONDA Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (smith ron )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00    
6  MAGICAL LADY Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul23 Jul09 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 3.00    
7  NO BAKK TALK Sep16 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 (smith ron )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00    
8  LOAD ABROAD Sep19 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 (anderson wendy)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 14% 6.10    
9  MOHAYMEN DAY Sep17 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.